The Final Countdown (UPDATES)

In Commentary And Analysis by Rice Cube143 Comments

I think we would all have liked the Cubs to sweep the Cardinals, but sweeps are hard no matter the team, and winning the season series while basically forcing the other guys to sell off all their good players is fun too. But it hasn’t been just the bad teams that the Cubs have done well against, as I remarked on this FB thread and also as shown from the B-Ref breakdown below:

from B-Ref

I believe the Cubs have done enough to get some additions pending the efforts of Jed Hoyer’s front office. Even as the Dodgers are being goddamned useless against the Reds this weekend, the Cubs have gradually trimmed the deficit and are within striking range of the Wild Card and the division, though obviously they’d want to win the division since a couple of the teams in front of them in the wild card race are also in the division. The Cubs also leaked earlier that they weren’t trading Cody Bellinger, which is awesome, but because this team is inherently flawed on the offensive side and might need more than one meh lefty reliever and could also use some insurance if some of the starters have a bad time, some additions are needed.

My guess is that because this team isn’t quite ready to go all-in like the Rangers just did this weekend, they’re going to want to add at the margins and preferably guys with multiple years of club control or cheaper rentals. You can probably go over to MLBTR and check all the rumors, but on my end, I’m anticipating that the top 10 organizational prospects are untouchable this year (explore again this offseason), but there is still plenty of depth to make something happen.

On the internal side of things, at some point they’ll probably call up some of the guys from Iowa (i.e., Matt Mervis and friends, and hell, maybe even David Bote since they’re paying him anyway) to shore up the lineup, as well as pitchers to help eat some starts down the stretch. I think there’s a nonzero chance they eventually determine that certain guys on the big league team are no longer useful and do minor trades or DFA to clear spots.

We have a little under 48 hours to go as of this writing, so it hopefully will not be a disappointment, although I don’t anticipate anything splashy. Taking a wait and see approach.

UPDATE 7/31 6:27 PM Eastern: Oh hello, old friend:

Morosi confirms Michael Cerami’s report on the platform formerly known as twitter:

UPDATE 8:03 PM Eastern: Not even going to pretend I know who this pitcher is but good luck to Nelly:

UPDATE 8/1 9:13 AM Pacific: Decided not to do time zone math anymore, Cubs and Rays did a trade and now we expect the guys going to Tampa to become perennial Cy Young winners:

UPDATE 3:28 PM Pacific: Guess the Cubs are intent on just Jeimer and maybe Cuas whenever they call him up, as there were no real buzzer beaters to speak of:

Stay tuned for some pod.

UPDATE 3:36 PM: In addition to subtracting Trey Mancini, the Cubs don’t have to pay too much for the remaining service time they’ll get from Jeimer:

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  1. Author
    Rice Cube

    Cubs remaining schedule, in order:

    4 v CIN
    3 v ATL
    3 @ Mets
    3 @ TOR
    2 v White Sox
    3 v KC
    3 @ DET
    4 @ PIT
    3 v MIL

    Then September rolls around

    4 @ CIN
    3 v SF
    4 v AZ
    3 @ COL
    3 @ AZ
    3 v PIT
    3 v COL
    3 @ ATL
    3 @ MIL

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  2. Author
    Rice Cube

    Cubs are at 53-52 with 57 left, need to go 30-27 to get to 83 wins which is around where our preseason predictions were, obviously will have to run the table a few times to get to 90 and a near guaranteed postseason berth

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  3. BVS

    Rice Cube,

    If the Rox are gonna do a big selloff, they have a 3b rotting in the outfield who’s better than Madrigal. He comes with long term control. Rox would have to kick in about $50M.

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  4. andcounting

    There are three members of the 3,000-hit club who played at least one game for the Chicago Cubs, only one of whom spent very much time as a Cub and even he never played after the 19th century. That was a doomsday category for me.

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  5. Perkins

    ⚾️ Immaculate Grid 120 8/9:
    Rarity: 217
    🟩🟩🟩
    🟩🟩🟩
    ⬜️🟩🟩

    The 3000 hits one was very tough.

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  6. Author
    Rice Cube

    3. Series Preview: Reds @ Cubs

    The NL Central has been one of this summer’s most back-and-forth division races, and a coming four-game set between the Reds and Cubs at Wrigley Field could once against turn the tides in their division. The Reds took the lead in the Central yesterday, putting them half a game ahead of Milwaukee and four games ahead of Chicago. The Reds are 3-3 in their last six games, while the Cubs just saw an eight-game win streak snapped by a loss last night. The Reds will try to pull further ahead in the Central with rookie left-hander Andrew Abbott on the mound (1.90 ERA). The Cubs will counter with right-hander Marcus Stroman (3.51 ERA) as they try to gain ground in the division.

    The Reds may or may not be legit but I hope for the bulk of these final 8 head-to-head games they get destroyed

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  7. Perkins

    Rice Cube:
    Perkins,

    A lot of the modern Cleveland guys never got there so that requires some shot in the dark knowledge

    I guessed Manny Ramirez for Cleveland and was foiled. Miracled my way into Palmeiro because I was pretty sure none of Banks, Williams, Sandberg, or Sosa had done it and he was the only other long/good career guy I could think of who had been a Cub.

    Somewhat proud of Larry Bowa for Cubs/Phillies though I’m sure someone here got an even more obscure player.

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  8. andcounting

    Rice Cube,

    Perkins,

    The Cubs and Phillies in the 1980s were practically each other’s farm systems. That’s the sweet spot of my baseball card memory. Ivan DeJesus, Keith Moreland, Bob Dernier, Ryno, Bowa, Sarge, Fergie (who I mistakenly thought played for the A’s). Dallas Green really liked maintaining his network.

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  9. berselius

    ⚾️ Immaculate Grid 120 8/9:
    Rarity: 210
    🟩🟩🟩
    🟩🟩🟩
    🟩⬜️🟩

    Man Cubs 3k hits was a rough one. Was shocked when Ernie wasn’t an answer, he had a long career.

    Also pretty surprised that Palmiero got to 3k.

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  10. berselius

    Perkins,

    I went with Phillies legend Doug Glanville as well, who I always remember from my uncle’s writeups of his memories of the 90’s phillies / his kids growing up:

    As a prelude to the big day numerous Valentine’s Day cards were constructed for Brad’s frends and raletions across Rutledge and across the nation. When we were all through making cards I asked Brad whether we had forgotten anyone. He informed me of these three important personages we had somehow omitted:

    1)God

    2) Santa Claus

    3)(Phillies Centerfielder) Doug Glanville

    Holy, Holy, Holy! Blessed Trinity?

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  11. berselius

    I managed to pull Nap Lajoie for the cleveland 3k hitter out of my ass thanks to the section in Bill Veeck’s book about the 50s Indians, which IIRC Lajoie managed.

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  12. berselius

    BVS:
    Rice Cube,

    If the Rox are gonna do a big selloff, they have a 3b rotting in the outfield who’s better than Madrigal. He comes with long term control. Rox would have to kick in about $50M.

    Given their past track record with ex-Rockies, I fully expect the Cardinals to trade a bag of balls for him at some point, followed by KB winning 2 more MVPs.

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  13. BVS

    andcounting,

    Me too, AC. If the Soviets had managed to find a death ray to stream out of WGN feeds in Indiana in the late 70s early 80s, maybe there’d be two less occasional podcasters now. Unless I misremembered where you grew up.

    I used De Jesus. But forgot his son played MLB and lost a guess clicking Jr first. Arg

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  14. Author
    Rice Cube

    Wish I had more time and money to go to ball games to boost this number

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  15. Author
    Rice Cube

    About time

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  16. BVS

    Rice Cube,

    I saw Made in Myrtle Beach. Great glove. Might be a Sergio Alcantara, but don’t think he’s Rey Sanchez or Ronny Cedeño.

    Herz either skipped MB or I missed him. But the chatter was already moving him away from starting.

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  17. BVS

    Cubs traded Jeimer and Isaac Paredes to the Tigers for a few months Al Avila and Justin Wilson. I think Wilson had a year remaining which is why the Cubs got 1.5 yr from him. Together Paredes and Jeimar have been worth 15.7 WAR since they left the Cubs.

    Cubs traded Madé and Herz to get Jeimer back. I’d be surprised if these two total 15.7 WAR in their careers because I think they are quintessential Berselian TINSTAAPs. So I’m glad the Cubs are using some capital.

    Nelly for a decent bullpen arm makes sense. Surprised they didn’t get a lefty though. Nelly should get playing time. Good for him.

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  18. berselius

    BVS: quintessential Berselian TINSTAAPs. So I’m glad the Cubs are using some capital.

    My inner Dave Dombrowski approves.

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  19. berselius

    Assad has been pretty sharp tonight. Wonder if he gets a look if Stro gets a mini get-right IL stint to let whatever lingering blister stuff heal.

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  20. Author
    Rice Cube

    If they’re just going to PH for Mancini in a high leverage situation like this then I feel like they should just make up an IL stint or something

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  21. berselius

    Would have loved for a W, but a close and meaningful game as the calendar turns to August definitely feels great.

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  22. Perkins

    ⚾️ Immaculate Grid 121 9/9:
    Rarity: 95
    IMMACULATE!
    🟩🟩🟩
    🟩🟩🟩
    🟩🟩🟩

    Proud of Brandon Morrow at 0.5% and Shaun Marcum at 2% but wishing I’d thought of Jim Bouton for MIL-HOU before I put Carlos Lee.

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  23. BVS

    ⚾️ Immaculate Grid 121 6/9:
    Rarity: 448
    🟩🟩🟩
    🟩⬜️🟩
    ⬜️⬜️🟩
    Play at:
    https://immaculategrid.com
    @immaculategrid x @baseball_ref

    I’m really not good at this. But once again my thick thumbs mistapped a choice.

    However, I was certain Rod Carew stayed fast when he moved West. But no

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  24. berselius

    ⚾️ Immaculate Grid 121 8/9:
    Rarity: 242
    🟩🟩🟩
    ⬜️🟩🟩
    🟩🟩🟩

    Memory holed the fact that The Big Unit briefly pitched for the Astros

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  25. berselius

    I’m amazed that anyone would ever make a trade with the Rays (dying laughing). Much like the existence of the city of Phoenix, trying to get one over on TB is a monument to man’s arrogance.

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  26. Author
    Rice Cube

    Might as well…plus Cubs Twitter is salivating over Pete Alonso’s potential availability

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  27. Author
    Rice Cube

    Cerami says our long Mancini nightmare may soon be over, this would appear to be a move to accommodate a trade that isn’t Candelario since he would just need the spot vacated by the Rios outright

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  28. Author
    Rice Cube

    BVS:
    Rice Cube,

    Seems like an effort to clear the 40 man even and to do right by Sampson who was already off.

    Not so much the 40-man as it is pre-clearing the minor league rosters because the org limit is about to drop from 180 to 165 across all levels, so fringe guys and Rule 5 eligible guys are probably on the way out.

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  29. BVS

    Is Bruce Levine at all credible? Or is he in the Bob Nightengale camp of making S up.

    Heyman seems pretty credible, at least when it comes to Boras clients.

    Maybe trade Mancini to Seattle, they seem to take all kinds of underachievers.

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  30. Author
    Rice Cube

    I wonder if it makes sense to keep Madrigal and his contact bat in the lineup and at 3B and let Candyman handle 1B but they probably also want to keep Tauchman in there too and that means Belli has to be 1B

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  31. BVS

    Surprised they couldn’t find someone to take a flyer on either Mancini or Wisdom to open a spot for Candelario.

    But the emergence of Madrigal and Tauchman has this team suddenly appearing to have some depth.

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  32. Author
    Rice Cube

    BVS,

    They probably passed through waivers and then some, teams probably just waiting for the eventual release before they give it a shot…less than two hours left!

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  33. Author
    Rice Cube

    There it is, and I think free agents can be pretty confident the Cubs will give them a fair shake before they cut bait

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  34. Author
    Rice Cube

    Rice Cube:
    I wonder if it makes sense to keep Madrigal and his contact bat in the lineup and at 3B and let Candyman handle 1B but they probably also want to keep Tauchman in there too and that means Belli has to be 1B

    Sometimes I’m not a complete idiot

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  35. Author
    Rice Cube

    Tonight’s starter gets an ERA boost before the Reds try to blow it up again

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  36. Author
    Rice Cube

    You guys wanna see a Mutombo-level rejection?

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  37. Author
    Rice Cube

    Probably will do a lot of matchups and also ease Suzuki back into the groove if he ever figures it out, what with Cody in CF and Tauchman doing RF tonight as an example

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  38. Author
    Rice Cube

    OK Kim Ng, give it the solid try

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  39. Perkins

    Crush their souls, Cubs. Make ‘em wish they’d never been born. Or don’t. I can’t tell you what to do.

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