The Children Are The Future-Cubs Minor League Update Sponsored by Bain Capital

In Minor Leagues by Obstructed View Staff238 Comments

(Ed Note- Due to OV's recent acquisition by Bain Capital DylanJ's job has been retroactively outsourced. Today's update will be presented by "John" Prapalapakesh).

Iowa-

Brett Jackson struck out 3 times in 4 AB's, so you know he is getting close to MLB ready. Brooks Raley had a decent start and if Ryan Dempster ever gets over his shock and awe at being traded I wouldn't mind Raley getting a look. He's done well this season in Iowa. 

Smokies

No Game

Daytona

Rainout

Peoria

Yao Lin Wang made his second start since moving back to the rotation. Wang worked 3.2 IP and struck out 5 while not allowing a single run. Wang now has 46 K's in 42 IP. 

Boise (As always keep in mind low minor stats don't count. So ignore the following non-information)

Tayler Scott turned in a great outing last night pitching 6 shutout innings while striking out 4 and walking 1. Scott has been the best pitcher in Boise this season but needs to work on the walks a bit. He has 17 in 37 IP. Gioskar Amaya just keeps hitting going 3-4 with a pair of stolen bases. After a strong start Jeimer Candelario has really cooled off and is now sporting a pedestrian .771 OPS. But he is also the youngest guy on the team so I'm not too worried at this point. 

AZL

Albert Almora hit a crushing HR off the scoreboard last night in his first pro game. If you haven't seen the video go search around and enjoy it. Soler was 0-5 with a pair of strikeouts and in what is hopefully his last AZL game Dan Vogelbach went 1-5 with a double. Vogelbach got the call to Boise and finished his AZL season with a fake .324/.391/.686 good for a 1.078 OPS.

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  1. Author
    Suburban kid

    Ed Note- Due to OV’s recent acquisition by Bain Capital DylanJ’s job has been retroactively outsourced. Today’s update will be presented by Mish’s cousin “John” Prapalapakesh

    Racist.

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  2. GW

    Hey armchair psychologists, what say we pitch in to take out a full page ad in the trib effusively thanking Dempster for his time with the cubs. Think that might work?

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  3. Berselius

    GW wrote:

    Hey armchair psychologists, what say we pitch in to get Will Ferrell to make a unfunny Harry Caray video effusively thanking Dempster for his time with the cubs. Think that might work?

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  4. Author
    SVB

    Berselius wrote:

    GW wrote:

    Hey armchair psychologists, what say we pitch in to get Will Ferrell to make a unfunny Harry Caray video effusively thanking Dempster for his time with the cubs. Think that might work?

    Based on his enthusiasm and talent for these types of projects, it’ll cost us of us more in postage than the check we’d have to write to cover our portion.

    I vote that DJ pays for it out of his severance from Bain.

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  5. Author
    mb21

    It’s days like these that make me so fucking glad I don’t spend much time on twitter or facebook.

    @ bubblesdachimp:
    Why? Has he fucked your main bitch or something? Shit in your cereal? Piss in your mouth? Oh, he hasn’t accepted a trade yet. Yeah, getting mad at him is perfectly rational.

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  6. Author
    mb21

    @ bubblesdachimp:
    What the fuck? It’s his motherfucking decision. If he wants to accept a trade he will. If he doens’t, it’s his fucking right. You’re going to punish him for exercising his motherfucking right? I think we should send you to prison for exercising your right to free speech by that comment.

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  7. Edwin

    I always assumed that baseball players were robot puppets put on the earth soley for our enjoyment. A puppet like Dempster being allowed free will? Not on my watch!

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  8. Author
    bubblesdachimp

    i think dempsters latest tweet thanking the fans and acknowledging nothing is official is a sign he is going to accept and go

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  9. Author
    bubblesdachimp

    @ Rice Cube:

    I would love to get woken up from a nap to find myself in a playoff race while making 15 million a year.

    Where do i sign up for that?

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  10. Author
    josh

    @ mb21:
    That’s what I was saying. How can we be mad at him when a) he has the right under his contract do reject trades and b) we don’t really know the full story, we’re just sort of guessing at motivation or even at the details.

    I want an awesome rebuild on this team as much as the next guy, but I’m also pretty sure plan b of just offering him arb and taking the draft pick would work about as well as a trade, so there’s no point in getting emotional.

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  11. Author
    mb21

    @ bubblesdachimp:
    He’s been there 9 years, has a family, it takes time. You obviously don’t have anyone in your life that you’d have to talk to before making a decision or are so selfish that you think his purpose on earth is to please you. The Cubs should have notified him. I don’t give a fuck who leaked it. They absolutely should have notified Dempster before he heard on twitter. It’s a trade. Sources leak shit and then it’s on twitter. The Cubs should know this and should have contacted him. Common decency. I hope you’re fired someday on twitter, bubs. Let me know what you think then.

    I don’t undertand sports fans.

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  12. Author
    mb21

    @ bubblesdachimp:
    I’m sure Dempster would love that. And I’m sure he’d like to wake up next to his wife with his daughter in the next room as frequently as possible. But hey, bubs would do it without thought so Dempster ought to motherfucking do it too.

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  13. Author
    mb21

    @ josh:
    Agreed. Even if the Cubs were getting Bryce Harper and Stephen Strasburg I’m not going to be upset if Dempster declined. I have absolutely no business being upset over something that doesn’t affect me one damn bit. Most people end up living close to where they grew up, but most baseball fans think their players should get on a plane and move wherever the fuck they’re told even if they can decline. And apparently, if they do, they should be benched because we have to penalize the rat bastard for exercising a right he earned over many years.

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  14. Author
    SVB

    MB21:

    It’s days like these that make me so fucking glad I don’t spend much time on twitter or facebook.

    Guess that’s why I’ve never signed up for Twitter. Except for something like “Check out so-and-so’s latest article on biogeochemical cycling of novel forests in African submontane regions” I don’t think I’d get any value out of it.

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  15. Author
    bubblesdachimp

    He wasnt fucking fired on twitter cmmon (dying laughing) (dying laughing)

    That is absurd

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  16. Author
    mb21

    Bubs, you’ve undoubtedly been butthurt when you favorite wrestler. You’ve surely been butthurt for at least a week when your Gamecocks lose, but you’re going to talk about someone being butthurt because they have to decide if they want to move away from their wife, child and the city they’ve called home for a decade? Any person who has gotten butthurt over their favorite team losing a game can’t possibly say a damn word about Dempster here.

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  17. Mobile MO

    MB you analogy isn’t even close to apt and the fact you’re blaming the Cubs gir s leak that came from the Braves is bizarre

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  18. Author
    mb21

    @ bubblesdachimp:
    I know, but I’m assuming you can’t be traded so the equivalent is getting fired. Regardless of how absurd that comment may have been, I can guarantee it’s not as absurd as your comments about Dempster.

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  19. Author
    josh

    Besides all that, we don’t really know if the trade has even been nixed. If we’re throwing stock into Twitter rumors, I’ve seen rumblings that its still on the table.

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  20. Author
    mb21

    @ Mobile MO:
    The Cubs don’t know that something like this is going to be leaked? This isn’t Theo’s first year in baseball. He knows how this shit goes and it’s irrelevant anyway. I don’t care if he’s home crying. It’s his decision. At no point in time did he relinquish that right.

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  21. Author
    Rice Cube

    Imagine the scenario…

    You tell your boss that you have a list of places you’d like to go if they can swing it but you want approval first.

    Boss finalizes the details before bringing it to you for approval, but your entire company knows before you do and throws you a party and you have no idea what the fuck is going on because you haven’t approved anything and didn’t know any of the details.

    You have a family firmly entrenched in the original location and a daughter with special needs who is receiving care from doctors that you trust, and you haven’t yet established a) a new home in the new location b) doctors you trust in said new location (even if it’s a temporary move).

    How would you feel?

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  22. Author
    bubblesdachimp

    @ mb21:

    Look the scenario is very simple:

    Its two months on the road. He gets to go to a potential playoff team. He already said he would go there. I am sure he already talked to his family about it..

    Its not like this was The Oakland A’s… he is butthurt for no reason

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  23. Author
    mb21

    @ josh:
    Yeah, it hasn’t even been called off yet. It’s most likely going to happen, but even if it doesn’t, there’s not one Cubs fan who can be mad about this and say he’s even being somewhat rational.

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  24. Author
    dylanj

    Rosenthal says this is about Dempster wanting to go to LA. In that case say no, tell him he’s a Cub the rest of the year and take the draft pick

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  25. Author
    bubblesdachimp

    Fuck it. If they dont offer Lee keep him. I also would not let him start another game till after July 31.

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  26. Author
    Rice Cube

    @ dylanj:
    I know the Dodgers didn’t want to give up Zack Lee yet, but what in the Dodgers’ system is equivalent to a Randall Delgado? I don’t think a trade to LA is out of the question if that’s what he wants, even though the Dodgers seemed kind of flaky about the situation last week.

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  27. Author
    dylanj

    you can’t say you support workers rights and then get pissed if the the worker doesnt want to get traded.

    That said, the Cubs are under no obligation to send him where he wants to go.

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  28. Author
    josh

    @ mb21:
    I have no emotion about it. The only emotion I’m feeling is the fun of the trade deadline. To me, these guys are all just pawns on a chessboard.

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  29. Author
    Rice Cube

    @ dylanj:
    The thing I wonder is…if the Cubs are playing hardball with Dempster and vice versa, would he accept the arb deal just to spite them, or would he decide that he’s no longer wanted and go elsewhere? *ponders*

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  30. Author
    mb21

    @ bubblesdachimp:
    Brilliant idea. This way the Cubs never get another free agent who is willing to sign with them because they might fear being penalized for the dumbest fucking shit imaginable. Just brilliant.

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  31. Author
    mb21

    @ bubblesdachimp:
    I don’t know. Because you aren’t ever going to get another free agent to sign a contract if you don’t let him pitch. That’s just one reason. That and the fact he’s earned the right to decline a trade. I”m sure there are others, but I figured the inability to ever sign any other free agent would resonate with you since you’re all owner, all the time.

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  32. Author
    josh

    @ Rice Cube:
    I gotta believe there’s 300% less emotion in the actual people involved than in the fans.

    Proposed storyline: Deal was close and the Braves got giddy and started leaking like rusty pipes. Demp and Theo talk meanwhile. Demp asked if Theo could try the Dodgers once more because he’d really love to live in LA. Atlanta’s not bad, but you know…it’s Atlanta. Theo said, ‘yeah, cool, man. I’ll give it a go and see what I can do.” Twitter explodes. Here we are.

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  33. Author
    WaLi

    @ Rice Cube:
    Rice, this shit happens in the real world. At my company they tell you to jump and move to a new location and you pretty much have to do it. And we don’t get paid millions. That’s how I ended up in NC this year. At least Dempster has a say in it. And it is only for two fucking months. If he can’t move away for two months then he has issues.

    Being traded is part of sports. It happens all over, not just in baseball. Players enter the sports world for the love of the game, but mainly for money. Yes, he earned is 10/5 rights but if he didn’t want to get traded then he shouldn’t tell Jed/Theo he’d accept a trade. Should he be upset he heard about it on Twitter first? Sure. But don’t be all pissy about it. It isn’t Thoyer’s fault. The leak came from the Braves side.

    I said this about Dempster but it holds true of any player.

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  34. Author
    WaLi

    Also I’d like to add I’m not mad or upset at Dempster, but I think fans have the right to be upset with him. As Omar says: All in the game yo, all in the game.

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  35. Author
    Rice Cube

    @ josh:
    I’d like to believe this is what happened and I blame the Braves for everything, including square wheels.

    @ WaLi:
    The fact that he has a say in it changes things substantially.

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  36. Author
    bubblesdachimp

    @ mb21:

    I doubt that would matter. Teams shut down players all the time when working out deals. Look at Greinke in Milwaukee.

    At this point

    either

    a) insist on Lee or a package of the equivalent
    b) if we dont get him go back to ATL
    c) offer arb if neither work

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  37. Author
    josh

    @ Rice Cube:
    Point is we have no idea what happened. What are we mad at D for? We don’t even know if he rejected a trade. We’re getting mad at the idea that he might have rejected a theoretical trade, maybe.

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  38. Author
    mb21

    WaLi wrote:

    Being traded is part of sports. It happens all over, not just in baseball.

    Yes, but Dempster can decline it. This isn’t any other business. He gave up money in his contract to have the NTC and then when he was 10-5 he had full no-trade rights. The Cubs reaped the benefits of his NTC in that they paid him less money and now when he wants to use it people are mad?

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  39. Author
    Rice Cube

    @ WaLi:
    I think from all stories it sounded like his first choice was LAD and his second choice was ATL, and Josh’s comment makes the most sense. Even if he’s eventually okay with ATL the media basically strongarmed him and while it might be silly to be butthurt about this, you can definitely understand why he’d want to sit back and digest all this before he gives the OK.

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  40. Author
    josh

    I think people are more just upset that they don’t know then anything. Brett just made a conjecture that Rosey’s story has hurt the trade to the Dodgers. How can you even speculate on something like that?

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  41. Author
    mb21

    @ WaLi:
    Your situation is similar to a player who has been way underpaid and has not yet reached free agency, but once players reach free agency they get to bargain for their contracts.

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  42. Author
    josh

    @ mb21:
    Exactly, that was the contract. If you don’t have that right, it’s because you didn’t have someone smarter than you negotiate your contract, or your company doesn’t value your skills on the same level as a professional athlete. Probably because you don’t bring hundreds of millions of dollars into the organization almost single handedly.

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  43. GW

    In this day and age fans of a specific breed (read: us) root primarily for trades, the draft, and other transactions. That should be abundantly obvious to the point that it needs no explanation. In light of that, it would be irrational for us not to be upset by the interference in what seems, at worst, to be a solid move by the front office.

    To suggest that you don’t understand that is just disingenuous.

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  44. Author
    mb21

    @ Rice Cube:
    I figure a player with 10-5 rights calls the shots and he can do whatever he wants as far as trades go. He owes nothing to the fans, nothing to the team and only does what he wants. I’m fine with that. That’s just how it is.

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  45. Author
    mb21

    GW wrote:

    In this day and age fans of a specific breed (read: us) root primarily for trades, the draft, and other transactions.

    Don’t include me.

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  46. Author
    mb21

    @ GW:
    I think I might have an idea, but not much of one. Consider just this morning the news was the deal would get done, Dempster would accept the trade, then it was that he was blindsided, then it was that he wants the Dodgers and in an hour it will be that he has too many obligations in Chicago and an hour after that it’s because he was butthurt and an hour later it’s because he has a toe fungus that started to concern the Braves and later tonight it will be that he was in a car crash.

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  47. Author
    Rice Cube

    @ GW:
    I think it’s fine to be upset about the trade potentially being nixed but the disproportionate amount of anger heaped on Dempster is what I have a problem with. Yeah, I’m annoyed, but I don’t think he’s the Devil or anything (dying laughing) It’s just one of those things that are out of my control, and while I wish he’d just GTFO, I begrudgingly understand why he is taking his time and might even nix the deal.

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  48. GW

    mb21 wrote:

    hen it was that he wants the Dodgers … an hour after that it’s because he was butthurt a

    these aren’t mutually exclusive. and this isn’t the first time we heard that he wanted the dodgers.

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  49. Author
    mb21

    @ Rice Cube:
    Agreed. Disappointed the Cubs didn’t get a prospect yet? Understandable. Disappointed enough to direct that anger at someone who has been a Cub for 9 years? Not understandable.

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  50. Author
    josh

    @ Rice Cube:
    yeah, exactly. People are ready to lynch the guy based on some rumors.

    Besides, how does this hurt the Dodgers trade? It’s not like they would realize they get Demp for free. That’s not what he said, he said he’d prefer LA. That means the Dodgers get one more chance to outbid the Braves. That’s part of negotiation, isn’t it? Whatever. Call me what this shit is hammered out.

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  51. Author
    Rice Cube

    @ Berselius:
    I think that forces one of several things…

    1. Demp stays with a miniscule chance of remaining a Cub past this season because everyone’s mad and wants the draft pick;

    2. Demp goes assuming the Braves didn’t force an extension (or even if they did) and then comes back as a free agent (assuming no extension), which would be ideal for him;

    3. Cubs have to figure out a new trade which is improbable because they may be running out of suitors and leverage.

    I’d like to think that Dempster acquiesces and just goes to ATL, but I’m often wrong.

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  52. Author
    Rice Cube

    @ josh:
    Depends on whether Demp said “I prefer LA” or “I demand LA”…if the latter, then negotiating doesn’t work because LA knows they can continue to lowball the Cubs, in my mind.

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  53. Author
    josh

    @ Berselius:
    I disagree. He basically granted the Dodgers a free life to make one more bid. If they don’t use it, he goes to ATL. How is that a collapse of negotiations? Sounds like a standard business deal to me.

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  54. Author
    mb21

    @ GW:
    No, and it definitely wasn’t the first time the Cubs heard that. I’m fairly certain that Dempster made his wishes known to the Cubs and even after an offer they went elsewhere. That’s fine. They can do that and Dempster can decline. Seems to me both made a decision (actually, Dempster hasn’t made one yet).

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  55. Author
    mb21

    But let’s be clear here, Dempster has always had the leverage as far as trading him goes. The Cubs didn’t really have any leverage. Dempster did.

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  56. Author
    josh

    @ mb21:
    Last report was that the Braves still wanted in. It’s not like they stopped needing pitching. If it goes on too long, then maybe that does kill the deal. Then we can all sit back and wait for the spin. At this point it sounds like nothing to panic about, to me.

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  57. GW

    @ mb21:

    yeah, well the two are sort of coupled, if you hadn’t noticed. and we are pretty isolated in this here corner of the universe. if dempster was friends with all of us and we ate dinner together on a weekly basis as a reward for our good behavior, i’m sure we would feel differently.

    look, i’m not saying it’s moral to be upset with dempster, and depending on how that anger is expressed it may be very wrong. but it is definitely understandable.

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  58. Author
    mb21

    Rice Cube wrote:

    1. Demp stays with a miniscule chance of remaining a Cub past this season because everyone’s mad and wants the draft pick;

    Except they have to offer arbitration to qualify for the compensation pick, which means a one year guaranteed offer of about $12 million. I doubt Dempster would accept, but stranger things have happened.

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  59. Author
    uncle dave

    mb21 wrote:

    I figure a player with 10-5 rights calls the shots and he can do whatever he wants as far as trades go. He owes nothing to the fans, nothing to the team and only does what he wants. I’m fine with that. That’s just how it is.

    I totally agree with you that what he’s doing is within his rights and that he needs to do what he can to protect his family and get his best deal.

    However, I can’t agree with the assertion that the fans would be wrong to be bent out of shape if he rejected a trade. I root for the laundry first and the guys who wear the uniforms second, and frankly the latter is usually a function of rooting for guys on your team to do well simply because you want your team to do well. If one of those players does something that damages the ability of the team to succeed, I have every right as a fan to decide not to support that player’s decision (and by extension the player himself) regardless of whether or not that decision is in his best interests and/or fully within his rights.

    If Dempster rejects a trade that’s beneficial to the Cubs and that hurts the organization, I don’t have a problem with ceasing my support of him as a Cub. That’s different than saying that he shouldn’t be able to excercise his rights, or that those rights shouldn’t be given to players. But I want to see the rebuilding process go as quickly as possible, and I don’t feel bad at all about maintaining that attitude.

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  60. Author
    WaLi

    .@ mb21:
    Demp doesn’t owe anything to the Cubs and the Cubs don’t owe anything to him. But he had teams on a list and he allegedly backed out on that. He has had his career taken care of by the Cubs organization and has been greatly compensated. It’s a shame that if these reports are true, it may dampen his relationship with the Cubs and fans.

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  61. Author
    mb21

    GW wrote:

    look, i’m not saying it’s moral to be upset with dempster, and depending on how that anger is expressed it may be very wrong. but it is definitely understandable.

    You can be disappointed there is no transaction without being upset at the player. It’s a trick most baseball fans don’t know is possible, but it is. There is no reason to be upset at Dempster. It isn’t understandable. I wasn’t especially happy the Cubs signed Soler, but it would be ridiculous if I was upset at Soler. It would be equally ridiculous if I directed my anger at Samardzija because I though the decision to move him to the rotation was dumb. Being upset at either one of those two isn’t an understandable position. Being upset at the decision, I think, is.

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  62. Author
    mb21

    How many times have people said hate the contract, but not the player? Well, if it’s understandable to be upset at a player over a transaction then we should expect people to hate the player and not the contract.

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  63. GW

    mb21 wrote:

    You can be disappointed there is no transaction without being upset at the player

    yes, well it just so happens that there is no transaction explicitly because of the player.

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  64. gaius marius

    Berselius wrote:

    This Demp prefers LA news is sure going to kill the Cubs leverage with the Dodgers

    this is what pisses me off. players (whether Dempster does or not) get upset about rumors of negotiations involving them in the media all the time, even though it does nothing material to diminish their professional position — but do not hesitate to have their agent flap their gums in the wind about what they want, materially hamstringing the team trying to move them on.

    letting players get to ten-and-five is one of the least desirable things in the management of major league baseball clubs. it was a bad idea when Sammy got there, it was a bad idea when Derrek Lee got there, and it was a bad idea when Dempster got there.

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  65. Author
    mb21

    WaLi wrote:

    It’s a shame that if these reports are true, it may dampen his relationship with the Cubs and fans.

    It will with the fans, but teams are used to this shit.

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  66. Author
    WaLi

    mb21 wrote:

    You can be disappointed there is no transaction without being upset at the player

    To be fair I think bubbles said dempster was making him mad, not he was mad at dempster (I know you were talking to GW, but bubs started this whole arguement (dying laughing))

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  67. Author
    WaLi

    gaius marius wrote:

    this is what pisses me off. players (whether Dempster does or not) get upset about rumors of negotiations involving them in the media all the time, even though it does nothing material to diminish their professional position

    And how often do you see players say stupid ass shit on twitter? They represent the team whether they like it or not. If I say stupid as shit on Twitter and my company found out about it, my ass is getting fired.

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  68. Author
    mb21

    @ gaius marius:
    I’m not the biggest fan of letting players get to 10-5, but it also doesn’t bother me. The guys who usually get there are the ones who will negotiate a no trade clause in their contract so I don’t think it actually matters. If 10-5 didn’t exist Sammy and Lee would have had that included in their contract. Dempster’s expired when it did ONLY because he’d then have 10-5 rights, which are better than nearly any team will add to a contract.

    As for Dempster and his agent, I don’t see it as any differently than what the Cubs do. Each want to improve their position and each try to do so through the media.

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  69. Author
    mb21

    @ WaLi:
    The difference between you and them is that they do something few people can do. As a result, they get away with a lot of shit that you won’t. A fry cook will get fired for the most meaningless shit. Anybody can be a fry cook. There aren’t many people in this world who can play Major League Baseball. That’s why they make the money.

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  70. TheVan

    I think you guys are all wrong about the average fan. The average fan wants Dempster to stay because they become attached to these players. Especially when said player is having a career year. The fact that his career year is a BABIP anomaly induced career year is probably something that the average fan does not understand. I don’t think the fans would be mad if Dempster nixed any trades. The difference with Derrek Lee was he was in an obvious decline, he led the league in GIDP’s and it was getting frustrating to watch. Plus Dempster has whiteness on his side, which is huge in the land of Cubdome.

    That said, I think he should do what’s best for him and his family, and he’s got every right to do so.

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  71. Author
    mb21

    TheVan wrote:

    I think you guys are all wrong about the average fan. The average fan wants Dempster to stay because they become attached to these players. Especially when said player is having a career year.

    I think you’re right. Good point. We tend to think the average fan is someone who posts non-stop about them online, but they’re not even close to the average fan. The average fan still misses Carlos Zambrano. That makes me feel better, TV.

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  72. Author
    mb21

    @ GW:
    We think he just handed Thoyer a list with some names on it without comment? Wasn’t it most likely a list that went something like this?

    Dodgers; first choice, if at all possible, trade me here
    Braves: If Dodgers aren’t possible, Braves are next. Would accept trade if no deal possible with Dodgers
    blah blah blah

    I highly doubt the list was just this:

    Dodgers
    Braves
    Spiders
    Colt 45s
    Browns
    Expos

    We know Dempster and Thoyer have had several conversations. If it was as simple as a list, there’s no need for that.

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  73. Author
    WenningtonsGorillaCock

    mb21 wrote:

    We tend to think the average fan is someone who posts non-stop about them online, but they’re not even close to the average fan.

    If the random people who sit around me at Wrigley are any guide, the average fan not only thinks Kerry Wood is still on the team, but that Ron Santo is still in the radio booth.

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  74. gaius marius

    mb21 wrote:

    The guys who usually get there are the ones who will negotiate a no trade clause in their contract so I don’t think it actually matters. If 10-5 didn’t exist Sammy and Lee would have had that included in their contract.

    perhaps and perhaps not, but in any case this forfeiture of rights on the part of the team should be made to come at a very heavy price.

    having to replace the expected value of a guy like Delgado in the free agent market is probably impossible given what he represents as a controlled-cost starting pitcher. the Cubs sustain quite a lot of damage to their on-field prospects if they are compelled to go to the Dodgers and can get nothing similar. it might cost the Cubs something on the order of three wins a year for the next five years (the years when Delgado would’ve been cost controlled).

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  75. gaius marius

    mb21 wrote:

    As for Dempster and his agent, I don’t see it as any differently than what the Cubs do. Each want to improve their position and each try to do so through the media.

    but the difference is that the Cubs (and Braves and Dodgers) can’t materially change the equation by grousing in the media unless they make spurious accusations that people take at face value (which no one does), such as implying something about work ethic or whatever.

    a player with veto rights, on the other hand, can materially alter trade negotiations by removing potential competing suitors by fiat. adding information as a third party into negotiations can be devastating.

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  76. TheVan

    @ GW:
    What was mentioned early was that fans would be upset with Dempster if he nixed a trade. What should’ve been said is the people on this site would’ve been upset. And that’s because you guys understand the business side of things, the money side of things, and the fact that Dempster isn’t as good as his 2012 stats say he is. But you guys are the minority. The drunk guy sitting in the left field bleachers wearing his Dempster jersey doesn’t care what prospects the Cubs could get by selling high on Dempster. He probably hates everything about the fire sales involved with rebuilding a team, and trading players they’ve been watching for the last 4-9 years. And he’s in the majority.

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  77. Author
    mb21

    @ gaius marius:
    Not at this time, but how much do they benefit by paying minor leaguers next to nothing, having the lowest minimum salary in the major sports, having a guy under club control for up to 12 to 15 years and having the player perform for cheap until he has 6+ years of service time? It’s not like the Cubs aren’t getting benefits here that the players don’t. That Ryan Dempster in his later years gets some of them back is absolutely fine with me.

    That Ryan Dempster and other veterans refuse to pay more for league minimum, figure out a way to pay minor leaguers more, set up a more fair system for those with between 0-6 years of service time isn’t. If I’m going to complain about Dempster it’s that and he’s just a small part of the problem.

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  78. Doogolas

    As a fan, Dempster isn’t much more to me than an asset to my team. Like you’ve said many times on here MB, outside being a rapist or some shit you don’t care if a guy is an asshole. Well I don’t really give a shit about Dempster’s life. So him having told me he’d do what’s best for my favorite team and now not doing that pisses me off. Because he, as a person, doesn’t mean shit to me.

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  79. Author
    mb21

    gaius marius wrote:

    a player with veto rights, on the other hand, can materially alter trade negotiations by removing potential competing suitors by fiat. adding information as a third party into negotiations can be devastating.

    I agree, but we can’t talk about the unfairness of this without addressing the unfairness of how long teams can control players and how little they can pay them. Dempster is one of the few who play professional baseball who get paid even close to what they are worth while the owners get to pay the rest of them well under their actual value.

    Dempster was drafted in 1995 and wasn’t able to file for free agency until after 2003. The Marlins and Reds controlled him for 9 years and paid him below market value.

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  80. gaius marius

    @ mb21:

    the teams do definitely benefit from the old reserve clause reasonsing, no doubt. i’d prefer to see something more like the European football transfer market myself. but someone is going to have to overturn that Supreme Court exemption first.

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  81. Author
    mb21

    @ Doogolas:
    I know what you’re trying to do, but that’s not really what I meant. I meant I don’t care what these people do. If they can play, great, I’ll root for them. I’ve also always been a big fan of the player’s rights. Even the asshole ones.

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  82. pinetar

    @ mb21:

    Boo f’n hoo wish I could have been so unfortunate to be paid as much as he was during that time. Welcome to the real world. If the Braves were on his list and now he is back peddling if I’m the Cubs I tell him to go FUCK himself. He can finish the season in Chicago plain and simple. If he really wants on a contending team he accepts the deal even with his 10-5 and NTC the Cubs hold all the marbles like it or not.

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  83. Doogolas

    @ mb21:
    I’m not doing anything except explaining why I feel I have every right to be annoyed at Dempster. Anyone who is, I’m pretty sure, doesn’t actually hate the human being. But I feel like, as fans, we have every right to be annoyed right now. Both at the media or Braves or whomever leaked this crap way too early and at Dempster for, possibly, talking out his ass. If you’re going to tell the whole world something, follow through on it. I care about this team and was told good news about this team. Then that person took that good news away from me. I’m not saying Dempster doesn’t have the right to do this at all, I’m just saying him doing it pisses me off.

    Hell, Milton Bradley had every right to be a dick. It doesn’t mean people have to like it.

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  84. Author
    mb21

    @ gaius marius:
    I’d like to do away with the draft and let players sign with whoever for as much as they want and as long as they want. Then if they’re stuck with a team we can at least say it was a contract they agreed to, but a situation agreed to by people who aren’t even affected by it is ridiculous.

    This is one reason why I don’t often complain about how much a person makes. Yeah, Soriano was overpaid and he was overpaid at the time, but he was probably underpaid and if he wasn’t, many others were.

    I don’t think anyone can deny that with the current system the owners are a hell of a lot better off than the players. As such, I don’t have any sympathy for them if they can’t make a trade with one team or another because a veteran nixes it.

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  85. Author
    mb21

    pinetar wrote:

    If he really wants on a contending team he accepts the deal even with his 10-5 and NTC the Cubs hold all the marbles like it or not.

    Cubs don’t hold shit. Dempster gets to say if he goes or stays. All the Cubs can do is play him if he stays. If they don’t, they’ll never find another free agent to sign and they’ll suck the rest of our lives. I’m pretty sure the Cubs would rather not suck the rest of our lives than give Dempster some piddly little penalty.

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  86. Author
    mb21

    Doogolas wrote:

    I’m not saying Dempster doesn’t have the right to do this at all, I’m just saying him doing it pisses me off.

    That just doesn’t make sense to me.

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  87. Doogolas

    @ mb21:
    See, I couldn’t care less about the owners either. I mostly skimmed this particular thread(?) but if anyone is arguing that, I don’t really get it. I don’t give a single crap about the owner’s rights, and I’m totally cool with a player having 10-5 rights. But as a fan I feel I have every right to be pissed when Dempster said he’d do one thing and is now doing another and it negatively impacts my favorite team.

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  88. Doogolas

    @ mb21:
    Why? He told me that my favorite team could do what is best for them and now he’s not letting them. Why can’t I be upset about that?

    If he didn’t say that a month ago, I would absolutely support him in his decision to veto the trade. But he did say it. He did it to himself.

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  89. Author
    Mercurial Outfielder

    Goog lord, I have been strawmanned to death.

    1.) I AM NOT DISPUTING THAT IT IS HIS RIGHT. I FULL FUCKING ACCEPT THIS AS IRREFUTABLE FACT.

    2.) I AM NOT MAD AT RYAN DEMPSTER. THAT WOULD BE ASININE.

    What I am saying is, it strikes me as more than a little duplicitous of Dempster to put a team on the list, let his GM go through all the work to get the deal hammered out, and then turn down that deal.

    But it is right to do so, and good for him for trying to use the bit of leverage he has to get the deal he wants. But jsut because I recognize those things doesn’t mean I have to pretend that Dempster is some blameless fucking Eugene Debs clone instead of a dishonest clown with a fantastic set of pitches. (dying laughing)

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  90. pinetar

    @ mb21:

    You are so full of shit your eyes are brown. The Cubs hold the entire bag of marbles. He has already stated he wanted to go to a contending team. He can’t do shit unless the Cubs try and move him and until they do then he has no say in the matter. Who said anything about not playing him and why would they do that? They hold all the marbles because they don’t have to move him and I’m sure they’d be just as happy with the draft compensation for his ass almost as much as they would the return on a trade. The front office is doing nothing more than looking to the future and he is not a part of it.

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  91. Doogolas

    @ Mercurial Outfielder:
    Basically. That’s the better way to word it. I’m not even mad at Dempster, I’m just kind of mad that the series of events took place that they did. And Dempster is partly to blame for it by being, as you so eloquently put it, a dishonest clown with a fantastic set of pitches.

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  92. Author
    mb21

    @ pinetar:
    That’s what I’m saying. The Cubs want to move him, but because Dempster has the leverage here it’s not really up to them. I’m also sure they’d be content with the compensation pick.

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  93. TheVan

    @ Doogolas:
    What’s the point of having the NTC if you can’t use it? If LA is his first choice, he should be able to refuse any trade until he’s sure he won’t be going there, even if Atlanta is also on his list. It sounds like he carefully structured his contract to include that right, and the Cubs agreed to it. In fact, he doesn’t even have to accept a trade to one of the teams on his list, because it’s a full no-trade clause. He won’t do that, but I’m just saying it’s well within his rights if he wanted to.

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  94. Author
    Mercurial Outfielder

    @ mb21:
    Agreed. The Cubs cannot and will not hold Dempster’s feet to the fire here. That would be FA market suicide.

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  95. Author
    Mercurial Outfielder

    @ mb21:

    Yeah, I’m sure the Cubs don’t really care about Dempster holding out, given that they can snag two picks if he stays, and it won’t piss him off to stay here.

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  96. Doogolas

    @ TheVan:
    He publicly stated that he would do what is best for the Cubs. He then proceeded to give a list of teams that he’d be OK with being moved to. Now he is going against it.

    It’s fine that he’s doing it .But the fact that he lied makes me angry because it hurts my favorite team. Seriously if he’d just kept his stupid mouth shut I wouldn’t have a problem at all. Hell, like I’ve said here, at least twice, he has every right to do it, but I still think it’s a bit of a dick move and it annoys me as a fan of the Cubs who are being hurt by it.

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  97. Author
    mb21

    @ Mercurial Outfielder:
    The only thing I’d add is that we don’t know what his list was. We have no idea what he said to the Cubs. We have no idea if the Cubs misunderstood him. We have no idea if it wasn’t the Cubs who tried to go the 2nd team on his list without first talking to Dempster. All we know is that the Braves were one of the teams he was WILLING to accept a trade to. That’s if the supposed list is even true. There’s any number of things here that could have happened and only one of them is that Dempster is a liar. Why, after bashing the media as we have, would we take every word they say as fact? Why would we assume that what has been reported isn’t done to put pressure on Dempster? There’s just too many possibilities here to immediately jump to liar.

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  98. pinetar

    @ mb21:

    But the issue is Dempster has no leverage until the Cubs take a proposal to him then all leverage transfers to him, until that occurs the Cubs hold all of the leverage. All I know is this entire fiasco has been fucked from the beginning and that’s the last thing I would have expected out of the current front office. I’m not really sure they had anything to do with it either.

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  99. Author
    Mercurial Outfielder

    @ Doogolas:

    There’s still a possibility that he is doing what’s best by giving the Cubs another shot at Zach Lee or at the comp pick. Delgado is good, but he projects as a middle of the rotation guy, at best. Maybe the Cubs think they can do better. Maybe Dempster thinks the Cubs can do better. Who knows. This whole thing is a massive clusterfuck.

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  100. Doogolas

    @ mb21:
    If he declines this trade he’s a liar regardless of the list though. Because he publicly stated he’d do what is best for the Cubs organization. Accepting this trade is exactly that.

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  101. Author
    Mercurial Outfielder

    @ pinetar:
    The Cubs have taken two proposals to him, one from the Dodgers last week, and one fromt he BRaves this week. Dempster has the power now.

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  102. Author
    mb21

    @ GW:
    I did some, but not as much as my friends did. I was also a lot dumber about baseball then. The last time I’ve been upset at a player was in 2004 when Sosa walked out on the team. It wasn’t long after that I realized it was stupid and haven’t been upset with any player since. Michael Barrett made me upset because he was a horrible defensive catcher, but that’s different. (dying laughing)

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  103. Author
    mb21

    @ pinetar:
    We’re looking at this differently. The person who makes the final decision about a trade is the one with leverage. The team has the leverage as far it comes to whether or not they want to trade him. Dempster can’t tell them to trade him and expect it. The Cubs could say fuck that and not trade him, but I’m talking about trades. Knowing the Cubs want to trade him, Dempster has the leverage here.

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  104. Doogolas

    Mercurial Outfielder wrote:

    @ Doogolas:

    There’s still a possibility that he is doing what’s best by giving the Cubs another shot at Zach Lee or at the comp pick. Delgado is good, but he projects as a middle of the rotation guy, at best. Maybe the Cubs think they can do better. Maybe Dempster thinks the Cubs can do better. Who knows. This whole thing is a massive clusterfuck.

    1) That makes no sense. If he declines this trade the Dodgers have more leverage, not less. if they weren’t going to get Lee with other teams as a possibility, why in the world would they change their minds now that they aren’t?

    2) Delgado projects as a middle of the road guy who could become a nice #2 starter. There’s a much, much, much, much better chance that he is a good MLB pitcher than that Zach Lee even sees the majors, much less becomes a better pitcher than him.

    3) Maybe he does, but assuming he follows the news one might assume that he knows the Cubs talked pretty extensively with the Dodgers about moving him there and they didn’t make a good enough offer. The Braves made an offer they accepted, so the Cubs couldn’t do better in LA or they’d have accepted a tarde.

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  105. GW

    @ mb21:

    right, so my only point in this argument (i know you are in the midst of about five), is that you understand fans being upset with a player, you just think it is unenlightened, petty, and potentially harmful.

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  106. Doogolas

    @ Mercurial Outfielder:
    Why would they though? It doesn’t make sense for them to do that. If they did that I’d have to think they were completely insane.

    EDIT: They are run by Ned though. So who knows.

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  107. gaius marius

    @ Mercurial Outfielder:

    the trick is curating those that pick into a similar probable value distribution as Delgado represents — and that will be really fucking hard, because Delgado is a 22-y/o starter with 20+ starts under the belt already.

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  108. Author
    mb21

    GW wrote:

    right, so my only point in this argument (i know you are in the midst of about five), is that you understand fans being upset with a player, you just think it is unenlightened, petty, and potentially harmful.

    Fair enough. I understand it, but I also don’t understand it if that makes any sense (dying laughing)

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  109. Berselius

    mb21 wrote:

    The only thing I’d add is that we don’t know what his list was. We have no idea what he said to the Cubs. We have no idea if the Cubs misunderstood him. We have no idea if it wasn’t the Cubs who tried to go the 2nd team on his list without first talking to Dempster. All we know is that the Braves were one of the teams he was WILLING to accept a trade to. That’s if the supposed list is even true. There’s any number of things here that could have happened and only one of them is that Dempster is a liar. Why, after bashing the media as we have, would we take every word they say as fact? Why would we assume that what has been reported isn’t done to put pressure on Dempster? There’s just too many possibilities here to immediately jump to liar.

    This. The fact is we have no fucking clue what the facts are. All we know is that the Braves were on *a* list, with no qualifications, and have no other clue as to what the Cubs and Dempster have communicated to one another since then.

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  110. Berselius

    dylanj wrote:

    i think its pretty damn early to pigeon hole Delgado into middle of the rotation at best.

    He’d look great as a mid-rotation guy when the other guys in the rotation are the likes of Chris Volstad, Casey Coleman, Rodrigo Lopez (dying laughing)

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  111. Author
    mb21

    It appears right now the Cubs might be talking to both teams. The Braves trade isn’t off so at this moment Dempster’s refusal to agree to a trade may have given them more leverage. At some point that will wear off and Dempster and the Cubs will either have to accept the Braves trade or accept they will likely have less leverage in trying to move him over the next week. Right now though, they don’t have less leverage. They might have more since Dempster could be off the market at any moment. That won’t last long though.

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  112. pinetar

    @ mb21:

    I agree we are standing on opposite sides of the fence. Until the Cubs agree to move him he has no leverage 😉 If they wanted to play hardball all they’d have to do is announce they were removing him off the market and they intended to keep him until the end of the year. What’s he going to do then? Nothing because he doesn’t have a say in it. If I’m the Cubs and he is flip-flopping that is exactly what I do and he can ride the rest of the year out in 5th place in the NL Central.

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  113. Doogolas

    Rice Cube wrote:

    Can we at least continue to blame the Braves for leaking this early? (dying laughing)

    dylanj wrote:

    i think its pretty damn early to pigeon hole Delgado into middle of the rotation at best.

    Both of these are things I agree with also.

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  114. Author
    Mercurial Outfielder

    @ Doogolas:
    Wrong. With the Braves offering Delgado, the market has changed and will require and improved offer from them if they really want Dempster. You can’t deny that without contradicting your previous position that Delgado is a better return than Lee.

    pinetar wrote:

    Not sure the Dodgers one was an actual proposal. All I’ve heard was preliminary conversations which I’m sure they were keeping Dempster in the loop with.

    Semantics.

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  115. Author
    mb21

    @ Rice Cube:
    Do we even know if it was the Braves? Any other team’s beat reporter involved with the Cubs is also the acting Cubs beat reporter these days. So in essence, Bowman was the acting Cubs beat reporter yesterday.

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  116. Doogolas

    @ mb21:
    I agree with that. And until Dempster officially actually does something I’m not going to be upset. It’s possible that Dempster is waiting to say anything to give the Cubs an extra minute to negotiate with the Dodgers and see if you can get them to give you the shiny toy you really, really want. Which would be swell .

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  117. Author
    Rice Cube

    @ mb21:
    Everything leaked from the Atlanta side so there’s a good chance it was the Braves but I will concede that the Cubs may just hate Paul Sullivan and decided to call Bowman instead (dying laughing)

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  118. TheVan

    I don’t think Dempster has fucked anything up, because he hasn’t declined anything. By not accepting the trade yet, he’s opened the door for other teams to offer more if they’re still interested in trading for him. I don’t see how this is a bad thing.

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  119. Author
    Mercurial Outfielder

    @ mb21:

    Bowman is MLB.com’s Braves writer, and was the first to report it, and then it showed up on the Braves MLB.com site for a bit.

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  120. Author
    Mercurial Outfielder

    @ Doogolas:
    I’ll answer this with your own comment above:

    Doogolas wrote:

    @ mb21:
    I agree with that. And until Dempster officially actually does something I’m not going to be upset. It’s possible that Dempster is waiting to say anything to give the Cubs an extra minute to negotiate with the Dodgers and see if you can get them to give you the shiny toy you really, really want. Which would be swell .

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  121. gaius marius

    @ dylanj:

    yeah, it is, but the projections are the projections. he may fail, and he may become a #1 (however unlikely).

    the distributions of the probabilities in between is what the compensatory draft picks would have to approximately recreate for the Cubs to be uninjured by Dempster’s refusal to go to Atlanta (netted of course by anything he yields in trade to the Dodgers or anyone else).

    and that wouldn’t be easy. how many compensatory picks turn into kids in the majors at his age projecting to be a #3? not many.

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  122. pinetar

    @ Doogolas:

    If that’s the case and I’m the Cubs I take him off the market. Good luck making the playoffs next year when he has a chance to jump into the middle of it this year. Seriously who would take L.A. over Atlanta? You’d have to chain and shackle me to get me to L.A.

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  123. Doogolas

    @ Mercurial Outfielder:

    I said those two things under entirely different premises though.

    If he comes out and rejects the trade to the Braves. We’re completely screwed negotiating with the Dodgers.

    If he’s just sitting on his hands and planning on accepting if the added leverage of a deal on the table doesn’t work, great. And in this situation, then the Dodgers may up the ante.

    But as soon as (if) it comes out and he says no to a Braves trade outright. The Dodgers have absolutely all leverage in negotiations.

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  124. Author
    mb21

    @ gaius marius:
    Delgado’s rest of season ZiPS and Oliver is right around 4.44. His rest of season PECOTA is 4.65. The average is about 4.5. I still think much of Delgado is projection in that he’ll get better. Of course, there’s evidence that pitchers are at their peak when they enter MLB and as they accrue innings they get worse.

    If you look at his 10 year PECOTA (projections prior to the season) his best season is in 2016 at -.3 WARP.

    His best Oliver projection is in 2018 at -.4 WAR.

    Those multi-year forecasts were before the season so it’s safe to say they’ve improved somewhat, but as far as projections go I don’t think the Cubs got a huge win here if they complete the trade. Based on potential/upside/whatever-you-want-to-call-it, I think they come out looking pretty good.

    I agree with DJ that I wouldn’t say mid rotation at best. BA did say number 2 if he reaches his ceiling so I’d probably go with that and that’s a lot of value. As you say though, there are a lot of possibilities. Penciling him in for 3 wins a year is way too high in my opinion.

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  125. Author
    mb21

    @ dylanj:
    I’m with you, but I wouldn’t say superb.

    2007: 0 WARP
    2008: 1.1
    2009: 2.3 WARP
    2010: 2.2 WARP (-3 in AA, 5.2 in A+)
    2011: -.3 (combined between MLB, AA and AAA)
    2012: .7

    I’d say he’s been good despite being young for his level. That’s a good thing obviously.

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  126. Author
    mb21

    mb21 wrote:

    2010: 2.2 WARP (-3 in AA, 5.2 in A+)

    By the way, this is a rather remarkable season. Ridiculously awesome in a partial season in High A and unbelievably awful after his promotion. Weird.

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  127. gaius marius

    @ mb21:

    i did nothing so scientific (dying laughing) — my reasoning was based on the fact that a normal mid-rotation guy will usually chalk up 2.5 or 3 WAR if they stay healthy.

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  128. Author
    mb21

    @ gaius marius:
    I think they’re expecting a number 3 starter or 2 if all goes well. As it is right now, it’s just a lot of projection. Good trade if it happens, but I’m not penciling him in for anything just yet. I think he’ll go to AAA to finish the AAA season and then get called up.

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  129. Author
    mb21

    I think DJ mentioned Zach Lee and KG earlier. No idea what KG said about Lee, but I’m also not sure he’s better than Delgado even though he probably has more hype. Lee is younger and has less experience and maybe a higher ceiling, but Lee’s numbers have been pretty bad this year. Way young for his level though.

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  130. Author
    Rice Cube

    As of right now, the Dodgers have one of the wild cards and the Braves are a half game back.

    Not that it means anything come the end of the season, but just something I noticed.

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  131. Author
    EnricoPallazzo

    i fully defended derrek lee’s right to excercise his NTC and got really mad that people were badmouthing him (or his decision). I liked derrek lee a lot. i am indifferent about dempster. therefore, dempster is a selfish dick for excercising his NTC.

    on an semi-related note, i once listened to pat and ron talk for about 25 minutes about how 50% of the letters in bill hall’s name are “L”. they tried to come up with another name like that and the closest they came was derrek lee, who has “E” representing 44% his name.

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  132. Author
    Mercurial Outfielder

    Says takng time to mk bst decision for him and family. Has said priority is opp to win. But “theres all kinds of things that come into play”— Gordon Wittenmyer (@GDubCub) July 24, 2012

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  133. Author
    SVB

    EnricoPallazzo wrote:

    on an semi-related note, i once listened to pat and ron talk for about 25 minutes about how 50% of the letters in bill hall’s name are “L”. they tried to come up with another name like that and the closest they came was derrek lee, who has “E” representing 44% his name.

    (dying laughing)
    (dying laughing)

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  134. Author
    Mercurial Outfielder

    Dempster starting tomorrow for the Cubs knocks about 10% of his remaining value off for whoever trades for him.— Joe Sheehan (@joe_sheehan) July 24, 2012

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  135. Doogolas

    According to a source, the offer of Delgado is no longer a current offer, and if the Cubs want back in, they would have to renegotiate. The Braves are again calling other teams about starting pitching, and Dempster is no longer seen as their top priority.

    That sucks.

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  136. Author
    EnricoPallazzo

    SVB wrote:

    @ Rice Cube:
    You can see the original image and others here from Ryan Dunlavey. The sci fi/comic crowd that hangs out here should have a look. My favorite is the Spy vs Spy.

    nice find skip. some good ones on there.

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