Javier Baez and projections

In Commentary And Analysis, Projections by dmick8933 Comments

It's the season of projections and they're all starting to come out or already have. About ten days ago I was looking at Javier Baez's page on Fangraphs and saw that Oliver projected him to have a .336 wOBA (109 wRC+) and 4.2 fWAR. Of course, about 15 runs of that was defense and from what we know, Baez isn't …

2014 Cubs Projections: CAIRO

In Commentary And Analysis, Projections by dmick896 Comments

SG has released version 0.1 of his annual project, CAIRO, to the public. Now it's time to post some of the Cubs players here and talk about a few things. First, this is version 0.1 and there are still some errors. Mike Olt is listed as a 1st baseman. He's not, but that will get fixed. Due to this, I have …

2014 Cubs Projections: Bill James ***UPDATED***

In Projections by dmick8914 Comments

The 2014 Cubs Projections are available now in the Bill James Handbook, or online. I thought I'd post them here and discuss a few things. First, the BJ projections tend to use a higher league average so please consider that when viewing the projections. In fact, please consider the league average of each projection system when you're looking at projections. …

2014 Cubs Projections: MusingsMarcel, Position Players

In Projections by dmick899 Comments

Baseball Musings published an early version of the Marels projection (MusingsMarcel). They did only position players right now, but it's always fun to look at projections. The Marcels are usually done by Tangotiger and he'll probably do them for 2014. These are based on Tango's Marcels method. Below are the Cubs players currently on their 40-man roster. Only players who …

Way Too Early Look at 2014 Cubs

In Projections by myles24 Comments

Well, the Cubs didn't trade anyone today. With DeJesus and Schierholtz in the fold for 2014 (though either could be traded in the offseason, I really doubt it), the Cubs 2014 roster (with no signings) looks like this: C: Welington Castillo 1B: Anthony Rizzo 2B: Darwin Barney SS: Starlin Castro 3B: Mike Olt LF: Junior Lake CF: David DeJesus RF: …

The Cubs Are “Lucky”

In Commentary And Analysis, Projections by myles13 Comments

Brett at the Nation had a good article about the Cubs' horrid luck this year, and so did frequent commenter on that site Dr. Wimsey. I agree with the main thrust of both arguments. However, I'm here to tell you it's the BEST thing that could have happened this year.  The Cubs are, by rights, a .500 team by any …

Obstructed View Season Predictions

In Projections by myles55 Comments

Our long national nightmare is finally over! The Cubs play today at 1:35 ET, and at around 5:00 ET I will be drunk and the Cubs will be a game out of first place. Now that the season is here, I rounded up all of our contributors and asked around for predictions. Without further ado, let me present them!   …