BS of the Day: 6-13-13

In Commentary And Analysis by Sitrick14 Comments

Hey, the Cubs decided to win today! This should be easy. Your Bright Spots:

  • I'd be remiss to not start with this one: much-maligned Starlin Castro had a 3-7 day, including a 450-foot home run that the wind somehow knocked down into the ivy for a double. Even more than that, though, his at-bats looked really good today, and he seemed to be seeing the ball really well. Am I going to go through all seven at-bats pitch by pitch? Yes, yes I am:
    • 1st inning: Ball 1 in the dirt; Strike 1 low in the zone, swung on and popped foul; called strike 2 high, really, really close pitch, looked out of the zone to me, but the kind of ball old Starlin might've taken a hack at; Fouled-off breaking ball out of the zone low; belt-high fastball popped foul; another fouled-off breaking ball low in the zone; check-swing on Ball 2 in the dirt; low and away offspeed pitch that Starlin flicks into center for a hit.
    • 3rd inning: Starlin takes a first pitch fastball up in the zone and drives a hard fly-ball to right center that gets run-down by Choo.
    • 5th inning: First pitch slider at the knees that Castro hits hard right at Phillips. 
    • 7th inning: Called strike 1: a two seamer low and inside; Ball 1: fastball inside; called strike 2: slider inside at the knees that PitchTrax later reveals was indeed out of the zone; Ball 2 low and away; Strike 3: tough-looking splitter in the dirt that Starlin waves at. Maybe his worst at-bat of the day, and it maybe looks worse than it was because of the bad strike 2 call.
    • 9th inning: Ball 1: high and way outside; Ball 2: belt high and just as far outside; then a fastball leaking over the heart of the plate that Starlin just destroys. Any other wind conditions and that ball ends up on Waveland.
    • 11th inning: Called strike 1: slider at the knees; Swinging strike 2: two seamer tailing off the plate inside that Castro swings over; Ball 1: really, really high fastball; Ball 2: really, really high fastball again; then a fastball up in the zone that Starlin pops up to short. Worth noting that there was a big shadow over the plate and sunshine over the mound, adding to the degree of difficulty.
    • 14th inning: Fastball up in the zone fouled straight back for strike 1; Ball 1: a breaking ball outside; Breaking ball low and inside fouled off for strike 2; Ball 2, fastball outside; Ball 3: touuuuuugh slider diving below the knees that Starlin checks his swing on — that's the Soriano Strike, and it's really nice to see Castro holding off from it; then a belt-high fastball that gets smacked into center for a single

What's the takeaway from his day, then? When Castro's swinging early in the count he's making contact and hitting the ball hard. That seems to suggest that what Sveum & Co. are trying to get him to do — look for balls he can drive and wait for his pitch — is taking. If he's not getting his pitch early in the count, he's seeing a lot of pitches, working deep counts, and letting his contact instincts take over when he gets to strike 2. All of that strikes me as a really, really positive sign that he's through the worst of it and is succeeding at making himself a tougher out. It's worth noting that about half of these ABs were against Latos as well, one of the tougher right handed hurlers in the game right now.  Seeing the results show up in the box score is great for Starlin's confidence, but even if he'd gone 1-7, with the PAs he put together today, there's plenty of reason to be encouraged.

 

  • Beef Castle had a 3-5 day, more than doubling his hit output for the month of June. Castillo's been in a nasty slump of his own, his season line dropping to .246/.294/.326 after a scorching hot start to the year. Castillo is what he is, but at .080 ISO seems like it's due for at least a bit of regression upward. Hopefully today's nice output at the plate is the sign of Beefy finding his way a bit.

 

  • Good Marmol(TM) sighting! Three Ks in his inning of work.

 

  • Cubs relievers put up 8 innings of 3 hit shutout ball today, walking 1 and striking out 13. For as much shit as we give them when they suck, it's worth acknowledging: damn good work today, boys.

 

  • The Cubs won today. We should probably feel pretty good about that.

 

  • The win today snapped an 11 game home losing streak against the Reds. Always good to end those.

 

  • Aroldis Chapman sat unsued in a 14 inning game. This makes me happy, at least.

 

Minor League Performance of the Day:

It's early, but the I-Cubs are getting perfect-gamed through 4 innings against the Astros AAA-affiliate. Our AAA-squad is being perfect-gamed by guys not good enough to be on the Astros major league roster right now. Let that sink in. I was going to give this to the Oklahoma City food vendors, but they don't even seem to have any specialty foods designed to shorten your life.

Nobody else is really doing anything noteworthy so far in the system. So, I'm giving the Minor League Performance of the Day to the Snappy Burger, the specialty burger of my hometown Beloit Snappers, Midwest League affiliate of the Oakland A's. The Snappy Burger is a cheeseburger with a brat on top of it. It's fantastic.

EDIT: I take it all back. Albert Almora is 3-4 with a double and a triple. He's now hitting .413/.451/.547/.998 in 18 games at Kane County. He's really, really good, and much deserving of the Minor League Performance of the Day.

That said, you should still eat a Snappy Burger if you ever get the chance.

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Comments

  1. Pezcore

    I’d be remiss to not start with this one: much-maligned Starlin Castro had a 3-7 day, including a 450-foot home run that the wind somehow knocked down into the ivy for a double.

    If he keeps up pace we can ship him out at the deadline for a quality SP prospect. The Yankees have some good farmhands. Teams on the outside looking in, trying to hold onto meager playoff hopes, will shell out at the deadline.

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  2. Rice Cube

    The Snappy Burger is a cheeseburger with a brat on top of it. It’s fantastic.

    This sounds divine. Almost as awesome as my hypothetical Italian Beef Helmet.

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  3. Berselius

    sitrick wrote:

    I’m really nervous about extending Spellcheck. He’s already 28, and he wants a big payday. Do we really need to lock that guy up til he’s 34, 35? Ditto Garza. Seems awful risky to me.

    If Samardzija was a free agent, I’d hope the Cubs were making a big play for him. If he wants big money, fine. It’s not like the Cubs have a lot of payroll on the books at this point, and they can’t just shovel $50m in the farm system to improve it. And it’s not like there are a lot of free agent pitchers looming either. Phil Hughes is the only pitcher under 30 in next year’s list, and maybe Max Scherzer is the only big name I see in the 2015 list who doesn’t have a team option that will likely be picked up. He’ll be 30. Homer Bailey (29) is there too, though I’ve never been a fan. Oh, and that Clayton Kershaw guy, but I’d be shocked if the Dodgers don’t make him Oprah-rich.

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  4. J

    Trading Castro now is crazy. He’s at the absolute nadir of his value. If the Cubs really wanted to get rid of him, the time would be this offseason if he rebounds in a big way, or the 2014 allstar break after a strong start.

    Castillo can’t draw a walk or hit for any pop. He can’t be a starter on a winning team unless he’s a #8 hitter. And in that case, you can find a guy like Soto who will draw tons of walks if hitting 8th, if not anywhere else in the order. If the Cubs were trying to win now, and Navarro weren’t such an abhorrent defender, I’d start him.

    At the deadline, I’d take any good offer for Gregg, Garza, Dejesus, Marmol, or Feldman. I doubt someone will make a decent offer for Soriano, but he’s probably valuable enough in the clubhouse to keep around.

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  5. dmick89

    @ Berselius:
    I’d rather extend Jeff Samardzija too.

    As for Castro, I agree with J. His vaue is really low right now and his contract is never going to be one that hurts a team all that much even if he never gets better. Odds are very good he will so you’d be better off waiting for that to happen.

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  6. Author
    sitrick

    @ dmick89:
    @ Berselius:

    i see your guys’ point as far a spellcheck goes. And if he’s still got another level of growth in him you’re probably right. I think I’ve just never quite seen enough to fully buy into him, and maybe that’s just my fault for being stubborn, hah.

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  7. dmick89

    @ sitrick:
    I’m possibly the least optimistic person when it comes to this guy. I keep waiting for this good Samardzija to leave and the real one to return. I think the reality at this point is that it’s as likely that happens as it does with any other similarly talented pitcher. It could happen, but you have to think about his future value based on the most likely scenario. That’s a valuable pitcher.

    I also lean toward re-signing him because the Cubs starting pitching in the minors is horrible. Maybe Maples turns it around and Underwood comes on strong. Pierce Johnson has been good in the low minors so there’s that. Kyle Hendricks has been impressive. These are still guys who are going to be, at best, number 2 starters and more likely 3s and 4s if it all works out.

    The Cubs have some very talented bats, but lack the impact pitching in the minor leagues. Spend money on pitching right now and hope to improve the farm system so you don’t have to later one. Right now though, the Cubs aren’t there. The talented bats should easily allow them to invest more heavily in pitching if some of them work out. I think that’s what they have to plan for at this time.

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