Unclench, Cubs Clinch

There is some word out there that Boston was fine playing the final series at Wrigley but the Padres and Phillies raised a stink, so bah…not that they weren’t justified but that is annoying (dying laughing)

Listening to the postgame at work, Happ seemed pretty emotional, I’m not entirely sure he’s a Cub next year

Back of the envelope-ish calculations as of right now

Cubs get top WC: 48% (dads roughly 2x more likely than phillies as opponent)
Dads get top WC: 46%
Phillies get top WC: 6%

I lazily assumed a 50-50 chance of every remaining game, if you think the Rays lay down for the Phillies and get swept:

Cubs have top WC: 39%
Phillies have top WC: 33%
Dads have top WC: 27%

well at least the Packers will have a high second round draft pick

They’re going to have to figure out a plan B, because I’m putting it at a 15% probability they get more than one game played in Boston all weekend, if that.

If you haven’t seen the Murakami postgame champagne celebration interview yet, I highly recommend it.

https://youtube.com/shorts/aeXz4us8Vqw?si=2Y2HpeWBD9FFjCT9

andcounting,

Nice tribute to the great Munenori Kawasaki (dying laughing)

Jose Canseco and John Rocker twitter fight

berselius,

And first dibs on a new coach?

The dodgers should score some runs

The dads have no hits.

andcounting,

Sorry.

dmick89,

Dare one ask what about?

Rice Cube,

Canseco: John Rocker is the worst thing MLB ever produced

Rocker: You’re a dirty old perverted liberal Jose

Go back to smelling your daughters underwear

Canseco: it’s ok John I already know you don’t like me you made that clear already in 1999 based on how you talked to your Hispanic teammates

Just remember I played in 2000 games and you played in 200. Clown

———————

There may be more. I’m not sure.

dmick89,

Amazing

There is a little more. https://x.com/captain2corner/status/2103074597541200289?s=46

The Cubs should have won more games but that doesn’t mean the Dodgers aren’t a bunch of bitches

Dads —–> playoffs

The Diamondbacks are on life support and can still catch the Phillies so hopefully everyone tries their best to help the Cubs snag home field

Rice Cube,

If it is his last game at Wrigley, I’ll miss Happ. But I definitely won’t miss his walk up music. In the last month or two it’s reached Ben Zobrist territory for how much it annoys me when I hear it pop up in the background of a broadcast (dying laughing).

berselius,

Well it would seem the bleachers folks will have to buy their own beers if Happ leaves except for those days he comes in to town from wherever he ends up

Red Sox announce they’ve moved the start time for Game 2 of today’s doubleheader against the Chicago Cubs at Fenway Park from 6:05 p.m. to 5:35 p.m. The change was made in consultation with Major League Baseball due to potential weather impacts later this evening.

https://bsky.app/profile/jcmccaffrey.bsky.social/post/3mwdytrn2222r

Just make it a straight doubleheader dudes

berselius,

or even better move it to Tampa or something

or Milwaukee

Bregman in the lineup for game 1 👀👀👀👀👀👀

Bregman Magneto helmet FTW

Predicting two Michael Busch homers today.

41/41 hang a second banner

After the whole political dumpster fire the second thing I would be baffled by if I was teleported ten years into the future from 2016 would be the anime horse girls game ad behind home plate on a broadcast (dying laughing)

Bleh

Sim now has the 4/5 matchups as

Cubs @ Dads 64.04%
Phillies @ Dads 14.19%
Phillies @ Cubs 4.96%
Dads @ Cubs 11.32 %
Cubs @ Phillies 0.72%
Dads @ Phillies 4.78%

Yeah if the Cubs don’t win tonight and the Padres don’t lose they might as well just pack for SD

game 162 officially in tampa on Sunday

So Peterson did well
Cubs should consider scoring a run, or even many runs

berselius,

Perhaps also the rest of game 161 if it’s suspended 🤔

Javy Assad!

Fenway has walking chowder vendors?

updated odds:

Cubs @ Dads 61%
Phillies @ Dads 26%
Dads @ Phillies 8%
Dads @ Cubs 2%
Phillies @ Cubs 2%
Cubs @ Phillies 0.8%

Guess we are going to San Diego, got the Anchorman clip chambered

Update the third

Cubs @ Dads 81.7%
Phillies @ Dads 12.3 %
Dads @ Cubs 3.3 %
Phillies @ Cubs 1.5%
Dads @ Phillies 1.2 %
Cubs @ Phillies no longer possible

I gotta tinker with my script in a bit to add the dbacks (dying laughing)

full wild card matchups odds

CHC @ SD, PHI @ ATL: 66.6%
PHI @ SD, CHC @ ATL: 13.5%
CHC @ SD, ARI @ ATL: 13.0%

SD @ CHC, PHI @ ATL: 4%
PHI @ CHC, SD @ ATL: 2.1%
SD @ CHC, ARI @ ATL: 0.8%

SD @ PHI, CHC @ ATL: 1.7%

Go Sneks

berselius,

Assuming you didn’t have to divert a river to run these simulations

Pete only needs 0.1 more to reach 10 bWAR, so here’s hoping he hits a homer or something on Sunday.

Sneaky

Daily Walkoff
Cubs #756

🟢🟢🟢🟢🚀

dailywalkoff.com

Rice Cube,

This is just a dumb python script on my macbook (dying laughing)

Rice Cube,

Though river diversion might be in the cards because we got the entire summer’s average rainfall in the past 7 days

Snakes alive!

berselius,

Cubs @ Padres, Phillies @ Braves: 55.1%
Cubs @ Padres, DBacks @ Braves: 17.9%
Phillies @ Padres, Cubs @ Braves: 10.0%

Padres @ Cubs, DBacks @ Braves: 9.5%
Phillies @ Cubs, Padres @ Braves: 4.1%

Padres @ Phillies, Cubs @ Braves: 3.4 %

Briefly flipped over to this Justin Verlander retirement game and saw Cubs Legend Zach McKinstry’s batting line, Uffda.

berselius,

.201/.286/.296

But somehow he’s peak Jason Heyward in 60 games in RF this year

What a sendoff for Verlander. I must have been cutting onions.

Perkins,

I crumbled to dust when someone mentioned that Konnor Griffin was born after Verlander’s debut

Perkins,

Smh he couldn’t even strike out the last batter of his career, Kerry Wood gets the last laugh

For real though, doesn’t get much better than that

berselius,

Wood’s final strikeout immediately came to mind. Both just exceptional ways to go out.

Oh no Phillies

(dying laughing) @ Michigan

Arizona gonna be extra motivated tonight methinks

dmick89,

See also: Penn State

berselius,

Chaos!

Rice Cube,

I hadn’t seen that. I don’t think the Big Ten is very good this season. Indiana struggled with Northwestern.

SNEKS

dmick89,

Oh I was talking baseball, I’m still pissed that Cal got sucked into the ATLANTIC Coast Conference (dying laughing)

Sox lose
Cleveland gets the division and the bye

So ready for chaos Sunday if the Dbags hold on

Rice Cube,

They did not, must score at some point before the Padres put in the big guns

That may be all she wrote

Snakes alive

I think if these scores hold up the 4/5 series is locked in as Cubs @ Padres

one of CHC/MIL/SD will be in the NLCS

Cubs-Dads games the late slot, 9 pm CT

berselius,

Snakes on ventilator

Oh hey Braxton Garrett

berselius,

Did not expect to be pleasantly surprised by this game

Wow Bregman

Scherzer might throw a 180 pitch CG in an attempt to pass Verlander on the career strikeout list before they’re both retired (dying laughing)

Screw the nonexistent closer!

To San Diego! Glad the Breg Man did well

New shit you can listen to –> https://www.obstructedview.net/podcast/dreamcast-134-que-sera-sera/