PECOTA Percentiles are live No Comments
Baseball Prospectus has updated their player pages to show the PECOTA percentile forecasts.
PECOTA percentiles are now available to subscribers.
Those of you new to BP, or to PECOTA, ...
How much is Ryan Dempster’s Trade Value? 117 Comments
Ryan Dempster entered the 2012 season in the final year of his contract. He was coming off season in which his ERA had ballooned to 4.80, but his FIP and xFIP were in line with what ...
No Love For Jeff Samardzija 7 Comments
I was checking out the stats for most of the Cubs players today (and some other players too). When I was looking at what Jeff Samardzija had done so far this year it wasn't how ...
Updated End of Season Projections 21 Comments
Using Baseball Prospectus rest of season PECOTA projections I figured it might be fun to see just how many games the Cubs are expected to lose at this point. Since this is OV and we're ...
5th worst start for the Cubs ever 27 Comments
Chris Jaffe looked at the Cubs worst starts and found that this 15-31 bunch ties for 5th worst with the 1962 team. Jaffe's article is worth a read. It's a brief article so it ...
Projecting the 2012 Cubs: Michael Bowden 15 Comments
Yesterday the Cubs traded Marlon Byrd to the Red Sox for Michael Bowden and a player to be named later. Bowden was drafted in the 1st round (47th overall) in 2005. He was the last of ...
Projecting the 2012 Cubs: Backups 77 Comments
We've already published the projections for some of the backups along the way. Jeff Baker's was posted with the infield backups and the two possible back-up catchers were published ...
Projecting the 2012 Cubs: Chris Volstad 104 Comments
It looks like Chris Volstad has the last rotation spot locked up. If you looked up "serviceable" in a dictionary there would probably be a picture of Volstad next to it. ...
Projecting the 2012 Cubs: Right Field 28 Comments
The Cubs signed DeJesus on November 30th to a 2-year guaranteed contract with a 3rd year option. He's guaranteed $10.5 million over the contract. I think a couple of the reasons ...
Projecting the 2012 Cubs: Jeff Samardzija 58 Comments
Since Jeff Samardzija is now a "near-lock" to make the rotation, per Dale Sveum. Let's take a look at his projections for 2012. Just about everyone projected him as a ...
Position Battles: Back-up Catcher 108 Comments
The Cubs roster is mostly set with a few exceptions. Welington Castillo and Steve Clevenger are battling it out for the back-up catcher spot. There's been this invented competition ...
Projecting the 2012 Cubs: Center Field 34 Comments
Marlon Byrd is entering the final year of his contract and will earn $6.5 million in 2012. He's been a very good producer for the Cubs relative to what he's been paid. He's ...
Ballhawks can take 2012 off 69 Comments
One thing I've noticed while looking over the projections the past couple months is just how little power the Cubs have. Their starting lineup is practically filled with singles ...
Projecting the 2012 Cubs: Left Field 159 Comments
We've yet to show the projections for any of the outfielders and since I've been going around the horn, we'll start with left field. I'm breaking this into four posts: ...
Projecting the 2012 Cubs: Paul Maholm 239 Comments
Next we move to the newest Cubs starter, Paul Maholm. Maholm stat-gathered 13.9 fWAR (11.1 rWAR) in his seven seasons with the Pirates, but it seems like he's been around a lot ...
Projecting the 2012 Cubs: Ryan Dempster 84 Comments
We haven't looked at any of the pitcher projections yet, so we might as well start with the longest tenured starter on the squad. Last year, Dempster looked utterly awful in the ...
Projecting the 2012 Cubs: Shortstop 27 Comments
Shortstop is the last infield position we have to look at it and it's without a doubt the most exciting position. If you look at Starlin Castro's fWAR you can't help but ...
Projecting the 2012 Cubs: 3rd Basemen 150 Comments
So far we've looked at catchers, 1st basemen and 2nd basemen. 1st and 2nd base appear to be very weak for the 2012 Cubs and I can tell you before you read further that 3rd base ...
2013 Cubs Projections: Ian Stewart and Luis Valbuena 50 Comments