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70-win 2012 Cubs

In Projections by Obstructed View Staff

On RLYW, SG ran the code to create his own Marcel projections since Tangotiger has yet to publish them. He then simulated the season and the Cubs finish 5th in the NL Central, 4 games ahead of the Astros. The forecast has the Reds winning the division with 89 wins, which is tied for second in the NL with the …

CAIRO’s Extremely Early Projected Standings

In Projections by dmick89

SG published the first projected standings for his CAIRO projections (version .3) yesterday. They make a lot more sense to me than the early Oliver projections. TM W L RS RA Div WC PL Brewers 92 70 700 646 52.5% 14.3% 66.7% Cardinals 90 72 708 648 36.8% 19.3% 56.2% Reds 84 78 724 704 10.1% 10.8% 20.9% Cubs 74 …

“You better know who your ninth starter’s going to be”

In News And Rumors by dmick89

I’ve been a bit confused by one of Theo’s comments since taking over as President of Baseball Operations. “We need starting pitching. You can’t take your chances very seriously as a club if you go in to the season without, not just five guys you can point to, but six, seven and eight guys. You better know who your ninth …

Kerry Wood wants a raise, but is he deserving of one?

In News And Rumors by dmick89

Jon Paul Morosi tweeted that Kerry Wood would like a raise. My first thought was this: why would the Cubs give him a raise if his only other option is to retire? Wood has said he’ll retire or play for the Cubs so I see no reason to offer more money than the $1.5 million he earned last year. My …

What the Cubs have to consider at the Winter Meetings

In News And Rumors by dmick89

We haven’t talked a lot about what the Cubs need to do this offseason. When the season ended they were without a GM so it made no sense. After they hired Theo and he assembled his front office it was difficult to know which direction the Cubs may go. There have been indications they’re willing to trade anybody and everybody, …

2012 Cubs Oliver Projections, Part 2

In Projections by dmick89

We took a look at the Oliver projections for the Cubs hitters yesterday and realized how bad the offense currently is. The pitching projections are below: Name IP H HR K BB ERA FIP WAR Matt Garza 205 191 21 180 66 3.69 3.74 4 Ryan Dempster 205 207 23 183 78 4.36 4.01 2.4 Carlos Zambrano 200 198 19 …

2012 Cubs Oliver Projections, Part 1

In Projections by dmick89

The Hardball Times has released their Oliver projections for the 2012 season. Berselius will once again be writing the player comments. Like the other projections, I’ll break them into multiple parts and then as we move closer to the season add a third part for each one. It’s kind of useless to calculate the team WAR at this point considering …

Cubs news and rumors

In News And Rumors by dmick89

Manager MILWAUKEE — The Cubs will meet Wednesday with Brewers hitting coach Dale Sveum about their vacant managerial position. Sveum was already scheduled to travel here to meet with the Red Sox about a their manager job. Chicago general manager Jed Hoyer said there is no favorite among the candidates and no deadline to select one. Hoyer and Theo Epstein, …

2012 Cubs Bill James Projections, Part 2

In Projections by dmick89

It’s Bill James week here at Obstructed View. We published the hitter’s projections a few days ago, our interview with Bill James and now the pitcher projections. I calculated the FIP. Pitcher W L G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA FIP Sean Marshall 5 4 78 0 75 71 6 21 65 3.24 3.43 Andrew Cashner 9 6 …

2012 Cubs Bill James Projections, Part 1

In Projections by dmick89

Over the years a lot of people have claimed that the Bill James projections are optimistic. In a straight player to player comparison it will often seem that way, but the league average of these projections is important to consider. For example, let’s consider a couple examples. Player A is projected to hit .330 wOBA, league average is .330 wOBAPlayer …