I feel extremely vindicated in my confidence that the Rockies were going to be good this year. Please disregard any comments that I may have made in the podcast to open the season about how they would end up with a worse record than the Padres, that must have been deceptively edited.
Oddly enough, the Rockies record is not built on their offense. While their team wOBA of .330 ranks fifth in MLB, when you work in that whole park factor thing their offensive contributions actually rank 27th in baseball, just ahead of the Padres (vindicated!). Instead, it's pitching and defense that have led to this resurgence. The Rockies rank second in MLB with +27 defenive runs, and their team 4.09 ERA/4.06 FIP puts them at seventh in the bigs in pitching WAR. A 4.09 ERA with half your game in Coors is incredible – the Rockies team ERAs over the previous five years were 4.91, 5.04, 4.84, 4.44, and 5.22.
- OBP: Tony Wolters (.408)
- ISO: Nolan Arenado (.282)
- HR: Mark Reynolds (16)
- R+RBI: Charlie Blackmon (95)
- wRC+: Blackmon (137)
- BSR: Blackmon (2.0)
- Defense: Arenado (8.0)
- SP K/9: Tyler Anderson (8.85)
- SP BB/9: Antonio Senzetala (2.58)
- SP FIP: Kyle Freeland (3.34)
- RP K/9: Greg Holland (12.46)
- RP BB/9: Chris Rusin (1.72)
- RP FIP: Jake McGee (1.71)
- WAR: Arenado (2.4)
- OBP: Jon Jay / Kris Bryant (.389)
- ISO: Bryant (.263)
- HR: Bryant/Anthony Rizzo (13)
- R+RBI: Rizzo (69) (nice)
- BSR: Jay (1.9)
- Defense: Willson Contreras (6.3)
- SP K/9: Jake Arrieta (9.96)
- SP BB/9: Arrieta (2.62)
- SP FIP: Jon Lester (3.66)
- RP K/9: Wade Davis (11.95)
- RP BB/9: Koji Uehara (2.33)
- RP FIP: Davis (2.08)
- WAR: Bryant (2.0)
Injuries, Transactions, vengeance pacts, etc.
The biggest surprise in the Rockies pitching staff's performance is that they have largely done it without (Lord) Jon Gray, who has made just three starts this season. He's out with a stress factor in his left foot but might be back later this month. Starter Tyler Anderson is out with a minor hamstring injury, but given his 5.85 ERA he's not exactly the guy who has propelled the Rockies to this record.
Ben Zobrist is apparently still dealing with a wrist issue that has robbed him of his switch hitting ability. Addison Russell may be suspended at some point as MLB investigates domestic violence allegations.
K%, BB%, ERA, projected ERA listed for each starter. No time to blurb them, so just the stats today.
Thursday: Tyler Chatwood, RHP (20.3%, 11.8%, 4.60, 4.47) vs Jon Lester, LHP (23.8%, 8.7%, 3.91, 3.26), 7:05 PM CT
Sunday: Antonio Senzatela, RHP (16.1%, 7.1%, 3.56, 4.98) vs Jake Arrieta, RHP (26.1%, 6.9%, 4.46, 3.22), 1:20 PM CT