Series Preview: Chicago Cubs (91-51) at St. Louis Cardinals (75-67)

In Series Previews by berselius75 Comments

The Cubs magic number is down to five, so there’s an outside chance that they clinch the division on the Cardinal’s home field. This would be something that I would be okay with. Their last division clincher was also against the Cardinals and witnessed by yours truly, though it was at Wrigley. It’s been a long road back to the top.

Team Leaders

Cubs

  • OBP: Kris Bryant (.395)
  • ISO: Bryant (.273)
  • HR: Bryant (37)
  • R+RBI: Bryant (206)
  • wRC+: Bryant (156)
  • BSR: Bryant (6.0)
  • SP K%: Jon Lester (24.7%)
  • SP BB%: Kyle Hendricks (6.2%)
  • SP K-BB%: Lester (17.9)
  • SP FIP: Hendricks (3.36)
  • SP ERA: Hendricks (2.10)
  • RP K%: Aroldis Chapman (44.4%)
  • RP BB%: Hector Rondon (3.5%)
  • RP K-BB%: Chapman (35.5%)
  • RP FIP: Chapman (0.71)
  • RP ERA: Chapman (1.37)
  • WAR: KB (7.8)

Cardinals

  • OBP: Matt Carpenter (.390)
  • ISO: Brandon Moss (.276)
  • HR: Jedd Gyorko (26)
  • R+RBI: Stephen Piscotty (159)
  • wRC+: Carpenter (143)
  • BSR: Randal Grichuk (1.6)
  • SP K%: Carlos Martinez (20.4%)
  • SP BB%: Mike Leake (3.8%)
  • SP K-BB%: Leake (12.9%)
  • SP FIP: Adam Wainwright (3.65)
  • SP ERA: Martinez (3.05)
  • RP K%: Seung Hwan Oh (34.3%)
  • RP BB%: Seth Maness (6.0%)
  • RP K-BB%: Oh (27.9%)
  • RP FIP: Oh (2.01)
  • RP ERA: Zach Duke (0.59)
  • WAR: Carpenter (3.2)

Pitching Matchups

K/9, BB/9, ERA, FIP, projected ERA listed for all pitchers

Monday: Cyle Hendricks, RHP (7.91, 2.24, 2.07, 3.36, 3.59) vs Mike Leake, RHP (6.39, 1.44, 4.61, 3.84, 3.81), 7:15 PM CT

Leake spent a few weeks on the shelf with shingles, which is not something you usually hear come across the baseball newswire. He’s still got a little rust to knock off, as evidenced by his 4.1 innings in his first start back.

Tuesday: Jason Hammel. RHP (7.54, 2.91, 3.50, 4.38, 4.16) vs Jaime Garcia, RHP (7.67, 2.93, 4.58, 4.30, 3.89), 7:15 PM CT

Something has been going on with Garcia lately, as he has given up five or more runs in five of his last six starts. It could be that he’s given up nine homers in that span. Not sure if these two things are correlated ?

Clinchday?: Jon Lester, LHP (8.74, 2.40, 2.51, 3.55, 3.26) vs Carlos Martinez, RHP (7.56, 3.26, 3.05, 3.65, 3.59), 12:45 PM CT

For all the incongruous headlines Hendricks has been getting, Lester has been just about as good. Of course, Lester is making something like 40 times what Hendricks is making, so I guess not quite as much surprise. Still, the Cubs are getting their money’s worth.

Unlike Garcia, Martinez has been rolling lately. This will be his fourth time facing the Cubs this season, and results have been mixed. He shut them down back in April, then got shelled a month later. He had the most nominal of quality starts in August, part of a streak of three straight 70+ game score outings.

 

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Comments

  1. Author
    berselius

    Kind of cool that the last six series of the year are all against divisional opponents. Last eight if you include the Astros for nostalgia reasons (dying laughing).

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  2. Rizzo the Rat

    I guess I’m overreacting a bit. I know Maddon likes to give multiple days off in a row, and probably even more so for catchers.

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  3. SK

    I think he thinks Montero is on a hot streak, and he also seems to want to keep Baez playing, which means an OF spot has to go to an infielder.

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  4. BVS

    Who was the guy around here some years ago who was the eternal optimist from South Carolina? No amount of analytics could knock him off the idea that Campana, Volstad, and Brett Jackson wold be superstars, iirc.

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  5. JKV

    BVS:
    Who was the guy around here some years ago who was the eternal optimist from South Carolina?No amount of analytics could knock him off the idea that Campana, Volstad, and Brett Jackson wold be superstars, iirc.

    Bubblesdachimp?

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