The Cubs dropped two of three to the Brewers, and now travel to the west coast to face an actual good team. Now that I’m west coast adjacent I wish this was a weekday series, it’s nice when the games start after I get home for once (dying laughing). The Giants are coming off of a three game sweep of the Cubs other recent thorn, the Padres.
- OBP: Ben Zobrist (.447)
- ISO: Anthony Rizzo (.317)
- HR: Rizzo (11)
- R+RBI: Rizzo (63)
- wRC+: Dexter Fowler (161)
- BSR: Fowler (2.1)
- SP K/9: Jake Arrieta (8.84)
- SP BB/9: Kyle Hendricks (1.98)
- SP FIP: Arrieta (2.61)
- RP K/9: Hector Rondon (15.07)
- RP BB/9: Rondon (1.26)
- RP FIP: Rondon (1.07)
- WAR: Fowler (2.5)
Fowler has been dethroned as the Cubs OBP leader! I thought this wouldn’t happen until at least June, if at all.
- OBP: Brandon Belt (.429)
- ISO: Hunter Pence (.199)
- HR: Pence (7)
- R+RBI: Pence (55)
- wRC+: Belt (154)
- BSR: Panik (1.3)
- SP K/9: Madison Bumgarner (10.89)
- SP BB/9: Johnny Cueto (1.62)
- SP FIP: Cueto (2.23)
- RP K/9: Santiago Casilla (10.91)
- RP BB/9: Cory Gearrin (1.53)
- RP FIP: Derek Law (1.84)
- WAR: Cueto (2.2)
The top three of the Giants staff have posted incredible numbers, the back half of the rotation, not so much. Luckily that’s who the Cubs will get in the first two games of the series.
K/9, BB/9, ERA, FIP, projected ERA listed for each player
Friday: Jay Carrieta, RHP (8.84, 2.89, 1.29, 2.61, 2.59) vs Jave Peavy, RHP (8.10, 3.38, 7.43, 4.76, 3.91), 9:15 CT
Peavy has a huge BABIP this year (.372) which, along with sequencing, probably explains that lofty ERA. It’s not like he’s giving up a ton of line drives or anything, it just looks like a lot of balls are finding holes. He’s a fly ball pitcher so the Cubs offense could have a good day. Or it could be a long day for the Gianrs outfielders.
Saturday: Jon Lester, LHP (8.72, 2.05, 1.88, 3.13, 3.08) vs Matt Cain, RHP (6.46, 2.15, 5.87, 4.48, 4.36), 6:15 PM CT
It’s strange to think that Cain went from ace to struggling late rotation guy but here we are. It happened much longer ago than I thought – his last mostly full season was in 2013, and in the two years plus hence he has been a hot mess. He started off this season badly byt has righted the ship of late, going 7 or more innings in his last two starts. He has a relatively high BABIP this year, but unlike Peavy it’s more easily explained away by a big line drive rate.
Sunday: Kyle Hendricks, RHP (8.12, 1.98, 3.51, 2.72, 3.55) vs Madison Bumgarner, LHP (10.89, 2.76, 2.45, 3.02, 2.80), 7:05 PM CT
The biggest mystery of this game is which inning Bumgarner will homer off of Hendricks.