It’s Bill James week here at Obstructed View. We published the hitter’s projections a few days ago, our interview with Bill James and now the pitcher projections. I calculated the FIP.
| Pitcher | W | L | G | GS | IP | H | HR | BB | SO | ERA | FIP |
| Sean Marshall | 5 | 4 | 78 | 0 | 75 | 71 | 6 | 21 | 65 | 3.24 | 3.43 |
| Andrew Cashner | 9 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 137 | 120 | 8 | 54 | 121 | 3.35 | 3.48 |
| Carlos Marmol | 5 | 4 | 74 | 0 | 76 | 52 | 5 | 52 | 97 | 3.43 | 3.87 |
| Matt Garza | 12 | 12 | 31 | 31 | 214 | 204 | 22 | 69 | 185 | 3.70 | 3.89 |
| Kerry Wood | 3 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 52 | 45 | 5 | 26 | 57 | 3.81 | 3.99 |
| Ryan Dempster | 11 | 12 | 32 | 32 | 203 | 195 | 21 | 80 | 185 | 3.95 | 4.01 |
| Carlos Zambrano | 10 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 181 | 167 | 16 | 78 | 149 | 3.83 | 4.13 |
| Randy Wells | 8 | 11 | 27 | 27 | 174 | 183 | 20 | 59 | 126 | 4.24 | 4.35 |
| Casey Coleman | 5 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 105 | 110 | 10 | 43 | 66 | 4.29 | 4.50 |
| Jeff Samardzija | 4 | 6 | 75 | 0 | 87 | 83 | 10 | 51 | 71 | 4.66 | 4.92 |
| James Russell | 2 | 4 | 60 | 2 | 54 | 63 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 5.17 | 5.24 |
The only thing that really jumps out here is Andrew Cashner. No idea how he’s projected to be the best starting pitcher on the staff by a wide margin. I included Kerry Wood because I figure there’s a decent chance he’ll be back.
lulwut @ Cashner
That’s weird.
Penn State Sex Scandal on Unobstructed Views so we don’t fill every thread with that stuff (dying laughing): http://www.obstructedview.net/unobstructed-views/general/penn-state-sex-scandal.html
DPLEETED
If Z is a 4ish FIP pitcher, he’s worth keeping…right?
[quote name=Rice Cube]If Z is a 4ish FIP pitcher, he’s worth keeping…right?[/quote]No, because ninja pie lamp pickles.
[quote name=Rice Cube]If Z is a 4ish FIP pitcher, he’s worth keeping…right?[/quote]If you think you can get production from him while not pissing off every player on the team, including the manager.
[quote name=Mercurial Outfielder]No, because ninja pie lamp pickles.[/quote]That sounds like something Ozzie would tweet.
Yeah, I think the Theo meeting with Z that’s supposed to happen soon will determine whether they think he can be a good boy. $18MM is spent but it just seems like a lot of money to eat.
I also think at least one of the would-be managers has offered to give Z a hug. Maybe they could get along after all.
Damn it. Here’s another post I put together to help distract us from Penn State, but MB beat me to it.
http://www.obstructedview.net/chicago-cubs/articles/lets-distract-ourselves-from-child-molestation-at-penn-state-with-some-cubs-stuff.html
We can keep this one on the front page though. It has more actual content that might be worth discussion.
[quote name=Aisle424]We can keep this one on the front page though. It has more actual content that might be worth discussion.[/quote]I like your post better. I moved it to the top of the page. This post was basically just to create a new thread for some Cubs talk and then one on Unobstructed Views for the Sandusky crap.
[quote name=Suburban kid 22]Whereabouts in England?[/quote]Souwf London. I can never believe how many foxes there are in urban areas here.
[quote name=fang2415]Souwf London. I can never believe how many foxes there are in urban areas here.[/quote]Sorry if I should have posted that in the unobstructed view. I get a little confused when there’s no good instructions about posting.
Just read your review of BB season 4 MB. Nice work. I’m glad I waited to read it b/c I got away from the show for awhile and was re-immersed. I left several comments.
Also, (dying laughing) at the Veron Wells/Dex S6 comp GBTS.
I’m not sure I understand the low win total expected from Z, as it throws the whole analysis into serious doubt. Big Z is only going to be 31, still in his prime, and usually averages far more starts. The last two seasons of 11 and 9 wins each were in large part due to the team under Jim Hendry moving him to the bullpen in 2010 because of a bad 3-week start to the season.
Another thing that jumps out to me is that which such sparkling sub-4.00 ERAs predicted for Cubs pitchers, the low Win totals are indicative of poor run support expected. If so, the Cubs solidifying their RBI production with big bats like Prince Fielder off free agency might improve those expected Wins, not just for pitchers but for the entire team.