
Last I checked, the White Sox were doing pretty well in the AL central and there was talk of contention. They have a losing record now, but it's only a half game back from the heavily favorited Tigers and the surprising Indigenous Peoples. Much like the Cubs they have a solid rotation with a shaky bullpen and a bunch of question marks on offense, aside from Konerko and the resurgent Adam Dunn. The record between the two teams is only separated by a bullpen meltdown or two.
Team Overviews
Respective league ranks in parens
| Sox | Cubs | |
| wOBA | .309 (10th) | .298 (14th) |
| BSR | 1.6 (4th) | 3.4 (2nd) |
| UZR | -0.4 (7th) | 7.9 (4th) |
| DRS | -2 (12th) | 3 (5th) |
| SP FIP | 3.87 (3rd) | 3.47 (5th) |
| RP FIP | 4.27 (12th) | 4.63 (16th) |
Injuries
The Cubs are down two catchers with Geovany Soto (tear in knee, out 3-4 weeks after surgery) and Steve Clevenger out. Yesterday, Clevenger began swinging a bat for the first time since hitting the DL so he's not coming back anytime soon. Castillo is now the starter with Blake Lalli as the backup. Another injury and we could even see Michael Brenly at this point.
Robin Ventura (brain). Adam Dunn is going to stand in LF for this NL series, which should be fun to watch. Sox SP Chris Sale has been returned to the rotation after being threatened with a bullpen test. To be fair, the move was prompted by shoulder soreness, but you shut a guy down when that happenes unless it's something that's much more chronic (see: Kerry Wood). Marmol is on the DL with a hamstring strain, and Lendy Castillo was shelved for David Patton Syndrome.
Position Players
Adam Dunn and Paul Konerko has carried the offense, but the White Sox have also received solid numbers from notorious douchebag A.J. Pierzynski and Alejandro De Aza, who had a quietly great season last year as a bench player. The rest of the offense has been miserable, most notably SS Alexi Ramirez (.222 wOBA) and 3B Brent Morel (.199 wOBA). There's obviously not enough data to say much of anything about defense, but according to ZiPS no one is particularly standout either way on this team, aside from the non-DHed Adam Dunn. On the basepaths, De Aza is the only real threat to steal a base.
Pitching Matchups
Friday: Philip Humber, RHP (5.77, 4.48, 4.06, 4.46) vs Jeff Samardzija, RHP (2.89, 2.53, 2.90, 3.92), 1:20 PM CT
Humber threw a perfect game against Seattle in his second start of the season, but since then things haven't gone so well. He's given up 21 runs in the four starts since then, including 8 and 9 run meltdowns. His only decent one was his most recent outing against the Royals, where he struck out seven and walked three while giving up just one run in just under seven innings. He's had a big jump in his strikeout rate this year, but his walk rate is also double his career rate. Sounds like he's been throwing a ton of pitches, so the Cubs are a great matchup for him.
There's not much to say about Jeff Samardzija at this point that we haven't said. The Cubs are in Houston next week, and I can't believe I'm picking a Samardzija start over a Matt Garza start for which game to attend. He's been relatively efficient this year with his pitches, but racked up a big count early after the Brewers fouled off a ton of his pitches in his last start.
Saturday: John Danks, RHP (6.46, 5.25, 5.02, 4.21) vs Ryan Dempster, RHP (1.74, 2.10, 2.87, 3.73), 6:15 PM CT
Danks signed a five year, $65m extension with the White Sox this offseason which could prove to be the model for a possible Matt Garza extension for the Cubs. If the Cubs and Garza do reach a similar agreement, hopefully he doesn't get off to a start similar to Danks. Danks's strikeout rate has dropped by over two batters per nine and his walk rate has shot up. At least aside from his difficulty finding the plate he hasn't had much bad luck. Danks is the only one of the Texas "DVD" trio to have any real success, though Edinson Volquez still has a chance to win rookie of the year.
Dempster didn't show any rust from his short DL stint at the end of April, averaging seven innings and less than two runs per game over three starts. He's still bafflingly winless on the season.
Sunday: Jake Peavy, RHP (2.65, 2.78, 3.79, 3.47) vs Paul Maholm, LHP (4.35, 5.13, 4.46, 4.12), 1:20 PM CT
Due to injuries, Peavy has only pitched ~100 innings per season since the White Sox acquired him, but they've been pretty good innings by every measure but ERA. He had a miniscule 1.93 BB/9 last year and it's an even smaller 1.40 this season. Since coming to the Sox his strikeout rate has dropped by one or two batters per nine, but that's not too surprising considering the lack of easy pitcher K's.
Maholm continues to do Maholm things. He got double digit grounders in his last start, but more hits got through than usual. He's been solid since his back to back six run outings to start the season. His option for next year is only $6.5m, so the Cubs could get a decent piece for him at the deadline.
Prediction
Instead of picking the winner, I'm going to predict that 80% of the runs scored this series will be off of relief pitchers.





Indeed they do:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/37092674@N06/5183587209
Although, on further reflection, it may well have been a robin. That was in 1996, so hopefully I’ll be forgiven if the exact species escapes me.
i remember him getting drafted, the subsequent hand-wringing over his workload in the texas state high school tournament, that 98 season when it really started to look like the cubs were building something… and 14 years later they are still horrible.
I sincerely wish the Indians would change their name to Indigenous Peoples. Not only is it less derogatory, but it’s also kind of awesome.
@ josh:
Ironic.
I have it on good authority that the Cubs plan is to give Wood a relief appearance this weekend, and whenever that happens, he’ll retire immediately after that game.
Volstad ———-> Iowa
Anyone want a stream feed of the game?
@ pinetar:
yes, please
http://www.rojadirecta.me/goto/442fever.com/2.html
@ Berselius:
DFA? Or does he have options still?
@ pinetar:
Awesome! Thanks!
@ Mercurial Outfielder:
He still has options.
Has Wood announced his retirement yet? What’s up with that?
Soto to have knee surgery.
http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball/cubs/chi-soto-to-have-knee-surgery-20120518,0,5803963.story
Woah.
http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/05/18/aroldis-chapman-sued-for-18-million-for-working-with-the-cuban-state-security-apparatus/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
@ Berselius:
I’m warming up my singing pipes by downing a 6-pack of Alpha King
@ pinetar:
Sweet!
He already cleared option waivers, apparently the Cubs put him up a while ago.
Too bad it’s Stevie Stone.
@ Smokestack Lightning:
That almost makes you imagine shady government dealings to make “defecting” easier.
But I won’t speculate.
Sorry about the White Sox feed guys can’t find a Cubs feed. The Sox announcers make me want to gouge my ears out. Their radio guys are even worse.
@ Smokestack Lightning:
That could get interesting
Bad start for Smardge.
Konerko got all of that one
Berselius wrote:
Could have been blind and hit that one.
Mercurial Outfielder wrote:
Do you have a source? If not, it’s not true.
Besides, everybody knows that only retirements that nobody talks about are the ones that happen.
Perfect bunt from the little leaguer
Good start for the Cubs. I’m cautiously optimistic about this inning.
@ Berselius:
Time to run now.
@ Berselius:
Yes, more like that from Campy.
That looked like a good pitch from Humber. I don’t know what that umpire was thinking.
Wasted opportunities, the story of this team.
@ WaLi:
This is how I know I will never time travel. Because if I could, there would be HD video of this.
kinda shocked that Pierzynski didn’t “trip” and tackle Ian Stewart there
@ Berselius:
I loathe Pierzynski. I’m looking forward to the day he retires.
Kind of funny how Barney was the first Cub to hit a HR and hasn’t hit one since.
Mucker wrote:
@ WaLi:
That fucking asshole. What did that bird do to him?
josh wrote:
Identity theft
AJ is an asshole. Stewart should have drilled that ball into his fucking neck.
Shit, hope Knoerko’s okay. And that this doesn’t start a beanball war
Ugh. Hope Konerko is OK. At least it was a breaking ball.
Where did it hit him?
@ Mucker:
Looked like it snuck under the bill and got him in the cheek/eye area. Nasty stuff.
@ Mercurial Outfielder:
That was bad. Very bad. Yeah, it was a mistake, but you know the white sox aren’t going to be happy. I wouldn’t be.
@ Mercurial Outfielder:
Damn.
@ Brian Fellow:
That’s bad times.
Is Castro allergic to pitches?
@ josh:
Considering their catcher ankle-stomped the Cubs 3B, while understand their anger, I find it to be somewhat moot.
F7′s splitter is just dirt. Unhittable.
That was definitely intentional.
@ Mercurial Outfielder:
Pierzinsky is the worst human being alive, don’t forget. He was likely to do that anyway.
Humber should have been tossed. That’s straight bullshit.
@ Mucker:
Yes. Is his OBP even 10 points higher than his average?
Thanks for the free baserunner, asshole.
@ Mercurial Outfielder:
They always give the team that one though. They let them police the game themselves. Not saying it’s good or bad. Just saying.
F7 yelling at Humber from the bench. (dying laughing) He’s got a point. If you’re going to throw at someone, throw at the pitcher that hit your guy.
I just think it’s weird that LaHair is the best hitter so that’s who they hit. That’s fucking odd. It’s LaHair. This team blows. (dying laughing)
How epic would it be if the Cubs brought in Wood to plunk A.J.?
Former Playgirl Model Steve Stone thinks Barney is a “tough out.” Yes. And I’m Brad Pitt.
@ mb21:
Gameday said he walked. Was Humber’s control that bad?
@ mb21:
12 points higher.
I just saw that Nolan Ryan threw 12 one hitters in his career………….unreal.
Sit down, weak one.
@ GBTS:
That would be the hardest thrown ball of his career.
Hawk has now changed his mind and decided F7 hit Konerko intentionally, because F7 yelled at Humber from the bench when he threw behind LaHair. Worst announcer in the bigs, and it’s not even close.
@ Mercurial Outfielder:
He’s horrible, but Stone annoys me a lot more than Hawk these days. Hawk is just a joke. Stone actually thinks he’s decent at his job.
How do you call him out on that? Isn’t that interference? WTF
Still one of my favorite series by The Onion.
http://www.theonion.com/video/everyone-in-baseball-suspect-in-attempted-murder-o,19630/
You can’t knock the runner off the base.
That is some shit.
@ mb21:
He just fucking tackled him!
The fucking fuck??
That’s bullshit. Fuck you, umpires. HUMAN ELEMENT
That is horrible. That’s one of the worst calls I have ever seen in my life.
That’s fucking horseshit.
@ Mercurial Outfielder:
Hawk is almost as bad a human being as Perizynski.
I hate that I have to listen to his idiot ass. I may have to go to radio.
That WAS a fantastic play by Viciedo, though, to get over and make an fantastic throw.
@ josh:
I know. Next time some Sox dude is running down to first base Lahair should run into him and knock him out of the baseline. Automatic out!
new shit: http://www.obstructedview.net/news-and-rumors/geovany-soto-dl-chris-volstad-aaa.html
Dear Umpires,
We could do your job better than you.
Sincerely,
The Blind
Switching to radio.
I will say that I really hated Zonk last year, but he’s been more tolerable this year.
Seriously, what kind of retarded umpire makes that call?
MLB teams take note: if you collide with a baserunner so hard that he comes off the bag, tag him out. That’s fine.
The shift on Dunn is hilarious.
@ GBTS:
GRINDER BASEBALL. OF COURSE YOU WHITE CAWLER HOMO CUB FANS DON’T KNOW WHAT DA REAL GAME IS LIKE.
/everyone in Kincaide’s right now