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  • Series Preview: Chicago Cubs (22-44) at Chicago White Sox (35-31)

    I think the White Sox have already claimed the Dead Pelican Cup, even if their entire team comes down with the plague and the Cubs eke out a sweep this week. The White Sox are a legit contender in the AL Central, in fact they're the only team with a positive run differential in the whole group. Their +36 is third best in the AL, trailing only the Yankees and Rangers. They're still only 1.5 games ahead of Clevelad and 3 in front of the lurking Tigers.

    Team Overview

    Respective league ranks in parens

      Cubs Sox
    wOBA .297 (14th) .322 (5th)
    BSR 3.4 (3rd) -0.4 (9th)
    UZR 3.8 (7th) 1.1 (9th)
    DRS +8 (4th) -6 (12th)
    SP FIP 3.97 (11th) 4.03 (5th)
    RP FIP 4.69 (16th) 4.08 (13th)

    Cubs bullpen: still last in MLB! Though they've managed to halve the gap with Toronto since the last preview. Progress!

    Position Players

    Not surprisingly, Paul Konerko leads the Sox offense with a .437 wOBA. It's a slugg-y team all around, with regulars Konerko, Adam Dunn, A.J. Pierzynski (ugh), and Alex Rios all posting SLG at or near .500. It's been mitigated by some pretty lousy performances elsewhere in the lineup, most notably Alexei Ramirez, but the offense is firing just fine. The best baserunner on the  team has been journeyman OF Alejandro De Aza, who has swiped 14 bags and has generally been putting up unexpectedly solid numbers in RF. Not surprisingly, Dunn and Konerko, along with sometime LF Dayan Viciedo have been even bigger negatives on the basepaths. De Aza and Ramirez project as the best defenders, while Vicedo and Konerko do the best statue impressions (other than DH Adam Dunn).

    Pitching Matchups

    ERA, FIP, xFIP, ZiPS FIP listed for each pitcher

    Monday: Matt Garza, RHP (4.04, 3.88, 3.50, 3.64) vs Zach Stewart, RHP (5.18, 5.51, 3.95, 5.09), 7:10 PM CT

    This is Stewart's first start of the year. He's filling in for the injured John Danks. He's pitched in the bullpen all season, and while he has a 1.48 BB/9, he only struck out five and a half batters per inning and gave up plenty of homers. That more or less follows his time as a starter last season, where he put up a 5.88 ERA / 4.70 FIP in eleven starts.

    Garza has come back to earth this season, merely giving good performances rather than great ones. He still has the fantastic GB rate from last year, but the biggest difference this year has been HRs. Hopefully he has another nice start, and his AL East Mentality entices some team to back up the prospect truck for him.

    Tuesday: Travis Wood, LHP (4.58, 5.79, 4.30, 4.30) vs Jake Peavy, RHP (2.91, 3.33, 4.04, 3.57), 7:10 PM CT

    Poor Travis Wood seemingly gets matched up against the other team's ace each time out. He went into the seventh inning against Verlander in his last outing, giving up three runs while striking out three and walking two.

    The oft-injured Peavy has managed to avoid the DL this year and put up great numbers in the process. He's had some BABIP luck (.239) but he's pretty much the pitcher the White Sox were hoping they'd get when they acquired him.

    Wednesday: Randy Wells, RHP (4.50, 5.09, 5.80, 4.45) vs Gavin Floyd, RHP (5.63, 4.92, 4.05, 4.03), 7:10 PM CT

    I've finally fallen off the Randy Wells bandwagon, though if the Cubs do unload the top of their rotation he'll have another chance to regain his value from two years ago. He was awful in AAA, and has been lousy as the swingman.

    Floyd has always been the forgotten White Sox pitcher for me, and at first glance he's been especially forgettable this year. He's had a lot of bad HR luck, but otherwise his numbers look good. He's seen a significant jump in his strikeout rate.

    Berselius
    He's got a two day head start on you, which is more than he needs. He's got friends in every town and village from here to the Sudan, he speaks a dozen languages, knows every local custom, he'll blend in, disappear, you'll never see him again. With any luck, he's got the grail already.
    Berselius

    69 Responses to “Series Preview: Chicago Cubs (22-44) at Chicago White Sox (35-31)”

    1. Rice Cube 1 Rice Cube says:

      LaHair cuaght something.

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    2. 2 Berselius22 says:

      Great catch by LaHair, especially in this crazy wind

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    3. Rice Cube 3 Rice Cube says:

      Alexei Ramirez is pretty good at this defense thing.

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    4. josh 4 josh says:

      If the Cubs bullpen was last, wouldn’t they be like 30th? So confused!

      I see that the Cubs aren’t losing. I’m not used to that.

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    5. Rice Cube 5 Rice Cube says:

      @ josh:
      B is talking about just the NL.

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    6. 6 Berselius22 says:

      @ josh:
      They aren’t winning either, which should help ease the confusion

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    7. Rice Cube 7 Rice Cube says:

      BOOM

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    8. GBTS 8 GBTS says:

      It’d be great if the Cubs just came in here this weekend and buried these fuckers.

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    9. 9 Berselius22 says:

      LABOMB

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    10. josh 10 josh says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      I thought that, too…until he mentioned Toronto!

      No I get it, the numbers are NL and the fact that they are dead last is just extra information.

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    11. GBTS 11 GBTS says:

      I think Bob just implied that Dusty Baker fucked Derek Lowe’s wife.

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    12. 12 Berselius22 says:

      Lil Garza fucks up every batted ball that he touches.

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    13. Rizzo the Rat 13 ACT says:

      R.A. Dickey is at it again.

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    14. 14 Berselius22 says:

      @ ACT:
      You can go blind doing that

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    15. 15 Berselius22 says:

      Garza has his good stuff tonight

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    16. josh 16 josh says:

      I wish they wouldn’t do that directional hitting with Campy already on 2nd. If you get a basehit, you’re almost guaranteed to hit him in. Or you could hit it out like Castro just did.

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    17. Rice Cube 17 Rice Cube says:

      Castro angry. Castro SMASH.

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    18. josh 18 josh says:

      What’s up with Gameday showing the Alexei play throwing out Barney and not LaHair’s homerun?

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    19. Rice Cube 19 Rice Cube says:

      @ josh:
      Because MLB hates us.

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    20. Rizzo the Rat 20 ACT says:

      Second straight 1-hitter for Dickey. 6th straight start going at least 7 innings. 5th straight start without an earned run.

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    21. Rizzo the Rat 21 ACT says:

      Also, that homer from Sori was a bomb.

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    22. josh 22 josh says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      I think a White Sox fan must be posting the clips or something. No homerun clips yet.

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    23. 23 Berselius22 says:

      Castro HR/BB = 1

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    24. 24 Recalcitrant Blogger Nate says:

      Is Garza’s pitch type ratio similar to last years when he increased his GB rate and his K%? Or has he gone back to throwing FB all the time?

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    25. 25 Berselius22 says:

      Cubs are returning the favor to the Tigers after they sold out Wrigley last week

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    26. Rizzo the Rat 26 ACT says:

      @ Berselius22:
      Also 3B/BB.

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    27. josh 27 josh says:

      @ ACT:
      That’s impressive.

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    28. josh 28 josh says:

      @ ACT:
      Also, GDP/BB

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    29. Rizzo the Rat 29 ACT says:

      Last five starts for Dickey: 41.2 IP, 16 H, 1 R, 0 ER, 5 BB, 52 K. I’ll bet decent coin no knuckleball guy has had a run like that.— Kevin Goldstein (@Kevin_Goldstein) June 19, 2012

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    30. GBTS 30 GBTS says:

      @ ACT:
      Five fucking walks?!?!?!?! For a knuckleballer?!?!?!?

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    31. Rizzo the Rat 31 ACT says:

      From espn.com:

      RA Dickey’s 2012 League Ranks:
      • 1st in NL in W (11)
      • 1st in NL in IP (99.0)
      • 1st in NL in SO (103)
      • 1st in NL in ERA (2.00)
      • 2nd in NL in WHIP (0.89)
      • 1st in NL in W% (.917)
      • 1st in NL in CG (2)

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    32. Rizzo the Rat 32 ACT says:

      Soto!

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    33. josh 33 josh says:

      Damn. Cubs are murdering the ball.

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    34. josh 34 josh says:

      Soto hit a homerun. A moment later they posted a clip! Of De Aza making a catch on a Soto hit 2 innings ago.

      Seriously, the person posting the clips is clearly a White Sox fan.

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    35. Rizzo the Rat 35 ACT says:

      @ GBTS:
      I’m even more impressed by the strikeouts.

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    36. Rizzo the Rat 36 ACT says:

      Nice to see Castro comfortably over .300 after falling to .290 a couple days ago.

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    37. GBTS 37 GBTS says:

      BOB DEFENDED THE SORI PLAY

      BOB DEFENDED THE SORI PLAY

      BOB DEFENDED THE SORI PLAY

      BOB DEFENDED THE SORI PLAY

      BOB DEFENDED THE SORI PLAY

      BOB DEFENDED THE SORI PLAY

      BOB DEFENDED THE SORI PLAY

      BOB DEFENDED THE SORI PLAY

      BOB DEFENDED THE SORI PLAY

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    38. josh 38 josh says:

      @ GBTS:
      OMG!

      No, but seriously, I don’t get the ire on that. Maybe just fans in the moment got upset. Just how it goes.

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    39. josh 39 josh says:

      Holy shit poop.

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    40. 40 Recalcitrant Blogger Nate says:

      How has LaHair looked in the OF? or DeJesus in CF?

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    41. mb21 41 mb21 says:

      cubs.com scoreboard is broken.

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    42. 42 Berselius22 says:

      @ mb21:
      To be fair, it’s reasonable to think the cubs wouldn’t score double digit runs

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    43. Rizzo the Rat 43 ACT says:

      @ Recalcitrant Blogger Nate:
      LaHair made a really nice running catch in the first.

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    44. josh 44 josh says:

      @ mb21:
      No, the Cubs really are leading 12-3.

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    45. SVB 45 SVB says:

      Regarding the Soriano bullet link. Wouldn’t it make some sense to work out a trade to a team like Cleveland that included both Soriano and LaHair? They could have both halves of the platoon. We might get something better in return than a bag of peanuts and a warm half of a cup of beer that someone left in the upper deck.

      I get LaHair has upside, but he’s already 29, doesn’t appear he’ll be strong against lefties, etc. Enough ?’s to make him trade-bait, if you ask me. Plus we still have to kick in the $35MM or so for Sori’s salary…

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    46. josh 46 josh says:

      @ ACT:
      No highlight video clip, of course. They just recently got Lahair’s homer up.

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    47. SVB 47 SVB says:

      @ Josh

      Sometimes I think you are just saying stuff like that so I’ll forget how bad the Cubs are.

      (dying laughing), (dying laughing), (dying laughing)

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    48. Rizzo the Rat 48 ACT says:

      Back to Dickey. According to a reliable source (Twitter) R.A. is the first person in history to pitch 5 straight games with no earned runs and at least 8 strikeouts.

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    49. Rizzo the Rat 50 ACT says:

      Today’s game made me feel more confident about Sveum as a manager. His new strategy of hitting tons of home runs worked brilliantly. I’d like to see more of this type of play in the future.

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    50. SVB 51 SVB says:

      @ ACT:
      Careful to remove tongue from cheek before chewing.

      (dying laughing)

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    51. josh 52 josh says:

      @ ACT:
      I concur. I also liked his strategy have having the bullpen give up fewer runs than the Cubs have scored. He could be onto something there.

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    52. josh 53 josh says:

      @ SVB:
      That’s been one of my most popular posts so far, ignoring the one Goldstein twittered, b/c that shit was bananas.

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    53. Rice Cube 54 Rice Cube says:

      Looks like tonight, only two balls were hit in LaHair’s direction. One was that nice catch and the other was a single to RF.

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    54. 56 J says:

      Have you guys seen some of the DHs that teams like Detroit, Cleveland and Tampa have been running out there? LaHair is a massive upgrade for them. The dude can hit for big power and take walks. And this team is doing him and themselves a disservice by sticking to the platoon so rigidly. No one is going to want Baker. Reed Johnson hits righties better, even, and can play pretty good defense at the same time.

      Detroit, Tampa, and Cleveland (if they are serious about competing) could really use an OPS .950 bat. LaHair is has tons of value. Arguably enough that the Cubs should not trade him until they get blown away with an offer. I feel the same way about Garza. The Cubs had better be blown away. Where else is the pitching going to come from?

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    55. 57 Berselius22 says:

      @ ACT:
      This is all due to Rudy Jaramillo leaving (dying laughing)

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    56. Suburban kid 58 Suburban kid says:

      Mish, I heard you finally got a date last weekend. Nice one.

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    57. Mish 59 Mish says:

      Suburban kid wrote:

      Mish, I heard you finally got a date last weekend.

      False

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    58. Suburban kid 60 Suburban kid says:

      @ Mish:
      Yeah, I didn’t think capturing women qualified as attracting them, but I was trying to cut you some slack.

      Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

    59. mb21 62 mb21 says:

      mlb.com still has the Cubs score wrong.

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    60. mb21 63 mb21 says:

      The Braves released Livan Hernandez. I think the Cubs should pick him up for the stretch run. They’re about to make their move in this division.

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    61. Suburban kid 64 Suburban kid says:

      @ mb21:
      What is this Cubs of which you speak?

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    62. Berselius 65 Berselius says:

      @ mb21:

      He’s a Proven Winner

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    63. Berselius 66 Berselius says:

      I might need to go see the I-Cubs sooner rather than later this week (dying laughing). They’re in town from Tue-Fri this week and Rizzo might already be in Chicago on Friday

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    64. mb21 67 mb21 says:

      @ Suburban kid:
      Since this is mostly a solicited opinion I’ll refrain from critiquing it.

      Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

    65. mb21 68 mb21 says:

      dj’s minor league shit is up

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    66. 69 yard lights says:

      Hello, yeah this piece of writing is actually fastidious and I have learned lot of
      things from it on the topic of blogging. thanks.

      Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

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