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  • The Children Are The Future-Cubs Minor League Update Sponsored by RockSkew Grill

    Iowa

    Anthony Rizzo just keeps hitting. He knocked out his 10th HR of the year last night and is now hitting .356. Luis Valbuena is also doing very well but at this point isn't anything but injury insurance. Frank Batista is really struggling in the bullpen since his promotion but is young-ish for the level so maybe he just needs time to adjust.

    Smokies

    Kansas native Logan Watkins was about the only thing going on for the offense as he went 3-4. Watkins profiles as a utility IF as he can play 2B/SS. I think you'll see him in the majors by 2014. 

    Daytona

    Nobody did anything worth writing about. Zach Cates continues to be really really bad as a SP.

    Peoria

    Kyle(r) Burke put in another decent start working 6.1 innings of 2 ER ball. 1B Paul Hoilman went 2-4 with a triple and has really come on strong as of late. Taiwan Easterling is also finally showing some signs of life at the plate and is now hitting ..233 after a horrid start. 

    dylanj
    DylanJ was born in a secret military base on Baekdu Mountain. His coming was foretold by a rare double rainbow and marked the sight of a new star in the sky. After defeating Jaime Lannister in battle at the age of 15 in the 77th Hunger Games he became an internet expert at staring at minor league box scores. His thoughts on said box scores can been seen Mon-Fri at Obstructed View.
    dylanj

    82 Responses to “The Children Are The Future-Cubs Minor League Update Sponsored by RockSkew Grill”

    1. Rice Cube 1 Rice Cube says:

      Here’s the video re: my last comment on the previous thread:

      http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=5874075&c_id=mlb

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    2. Rice Cube 2 Rice Cube says:

      @ Rice Cube:

      Lou Piniella did some crazy stuff in 2009 that I enjoyed.

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    3. WaLi 3 WaLi says:

      Speaking of defense, has there ever been any research put into platooning defense with the pitcher?

      For instance, let’s say you have a low strikeout GB pitcher at the mound. I might be more inclined to put Darwin Barney at 2nd and lose some offense but gain some defense since I know there will be a lot of balls in play. It seems like if managers were to do this, you may be able to create a low BABIP for the pitcher that is real and not luck.

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    4. Rice Cube 4 Rice Cube says:

      @ WaLi:
      I think that would probably be an endgame approach and managers already seem to do that. I think at the beginning of the game you play to get as many runs as possible before you worry about defense, but I don’t have 20+ years of MLB knowledge so that’s just my video game mode talking.

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    5. WaLi 5 WaLi says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      I was thinking more about starting pitcher pairings, not so much taking out Soriano for Reed Johnson in the 8th inning.

      Sure you are always going to keep your best hitters in (Castro, LaHair) but if you were thinking about playing Cardenas or Barney, maybe you go with the better glove instead of the better bat.

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    6. mb21 7 mb21 says:

      @ WaLi:
      I think there has been some stuff written on it and it makes sense.

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    7. 8 Marilyn Hagerty says:

      Needs more eroticism.

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    8. Rice Cube 9 Rice Cube says:

      @ WaLi:
      I could imagine a manager and his statmonkey running the numbers to see how many runs each “platoon” could score and prevent and then use that information accordingly. If runs against >>>> runs scored then they’d probably use your idea in an ideal situation. I think most managers go for optimal offense though. I’ve also never heard of a pitcher requesting a personal defender other than a catcher, but that’s an interesting idea to explore.

      (got myself mixed up there)

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    9. mb21 10 mb21 says:

      I was just cleaning out my gmail account and there must have been at least 300 emails to and from Dreamhost. Unreal.

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    10. Rice Cube 11 Rice Cube says:

      @ mb21:
      You should e-mail them back and suggest they change their name to Nightmarehost.

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    11. Rice Cube 12 Rice Cube says:

      These…are pancakes.

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    12. WaLi 13 WaLi says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      I’m not sure if I am supposed to use Maple Syrup or Tartar Sauce

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    13. Berselius 14 Berselius says:

      Rice Cube wrote:

      These…are terrifying.

      Fixed

      /Jellyfishopobe

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    14. Berselius 15 Berselius says:

      Also, Pancake Cthulhu or GTFO

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    15. Rice Cube 16 Rice Cube says:

      @ Berselius:
      This might be more appropriate given the upcoming election…

      Seems you need a certain consistency of pancake as your starting material or else it won’t shape right. I wonder what kind of knife or blade he used.

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    16. Berselius 18 Berselius says:

      Mish wrote:

      http://www.geekosystem.com/assassins-creed-3-bear/

      I hope the bear talks, and is from a long line of bear Assassins.

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    17. Rice Cube 19 Rice Cube says:

      Brad had a FG article about LaHair:

      http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/bryan-lahair-success-sustainable/

      One of the commenters used a pigeonholed sample to compare LaHair to Adam Dunn at the same age.

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    18. mb21 20 mb21 says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      Surely he’s not saying he’s going to sustain a .500+ wOBA because that’s just retarded.

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    19. Berselius 21 Berselius says:

      @ mb21:

      17 batters since 1964 have done so in two year windows, so you never know

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    20. Rice Cube 22 Rice Cube says:

      @ mb21:
      The tone of the article didn’t seem to give a solid conclusion one way or the other, but just that LaHair was an interesting case.

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    21. Berselius 24 Berselius says:

      @ bubblesdachimp:

      It sounds like they’re getting half-seasons. I’d love for the shows to stick around but NBC has every reason to cancel them. They routinely get beaten by Univision or BBt reruns on TBS in the ratings. 13 episodes is also plenty to wrap things up, which would be nice instead of a sudden ending.

      That’s just a rumor anyway, now that we’ve heard about it it won’t happen. FWIW none of the Parks/Community-obsessed TV writers I follow have picked this up, and they’re at upfronts right now.

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    22. Berselius 25 Berselius says:

      I would love it if Community ended with everyone drinking hemlock, ala Cougarton Abbey (dying laughing)

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    23. 26 Al Yellon says:

      bubblesdachimp wrote:

      Fuck you

      Language.

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    24. bubblesdachimp 27 bubblesdachimp says:

      @ Al Yellon:

      (dying laughing)
      (dying laughing)

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    25. bubblesdachimp 28 bubblesdachimp says:

      @ Berselius:

      how did the office survive?

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    26. Berselius 29 Berselius says:

      @ bubblesdachimp:

      It didn’t say that it would

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    27. bubblesdachimp 30 bubblesdachimp says:

      bubbles=====>>>> Bubblesdasadchimp

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    28. Berselius 31 Berselius says:

      @ bubblesdachimp:

      You legally changed your name?

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    29. WaLi 32 WaLi says:

      @ bubblesdachimp:
      bubbles ====> drunk??

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    30. bubblesdachimp 33 bubblesdachimp says:

      Not yet.. Will be in about 5 hours

      Bubbles is still recovering froma broken hand from last fridays bulls game

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    31. Mish 34 Mish says:

      @ bubblesdachimp:
      IS THAT REAL?

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    32. Rice Cube 35 Rice Cube says:

      @ Berselius:
      Metta World Bubbles

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    33. 36 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      OTOH, that Reynolds comp is interesting. They have somewhat similar MiLB slash lines.

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    34. mb21 37 mb21 says:

      Mish wrote:

      IS THAT REAL?

      The guy just said he’s legally changing his name to bubblesdachimp and you’re wondering whether or not the NBC comedies comment is for real?

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    35. Rice Cube 38 Rice Cube says:

      @ mb21:

      No reason, just a funny picture.

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    36. mb21 39 mb21 says:

      @ Mercurial Outfielder:
      Just got around to reading the article.

      Despite his 29 looong years of age, LaHair has only 322 PA in his MLB career. And since his last 103 PA have come with an unsustainable .510 BABIP, it has skewed his career BABIP to .390. In the minors, LaHair consistently displayed an ability to keep his BABIP above .330, so we can start there, but just guessing what his true talent BABIP is would be too tough.

      Using slash12′s xBABIP calculator, we get a .349 BABIP — still quite high, but in line with what we find in his minor league career (where his career BABIP was .347).

      I find it very hard to believe that a player’s BABIP doesn’t go down at the MLB level. If you start with the MiLB BABIP you have to take something off at the big league level. What we’d really want to do is regress his BABIP back to .300 or so based on the few PA he has. What we’d end up with is something like .302. xBABIP is the expected BABIP based on the events so far. It’s not the expected future BABIP.

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    37. mb21 40 mb21 says:

      BABIP at the MLB level is .290 for batters. It’s .328 in the PCL so far this year. I don’t know what the disparity is and whether or not you should just subtract X amount to estimate future BABIP, but there’s absolutely no way you can take minor league BABIP and act as if it will be the same at the big league level.

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    38. mb21 41 mb21 says:

      My guess is that BABIP decreases as you move up the system.

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    39. 42 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ mb21:
      Yeah, there’s holes in the analysis. And even if you stick with FG numbers, if you regress LaHair’s numbers, you get league average, or a bit below. Making the adjustments you suggest would make me take real caution in my expectations for LaHair going forward.

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    40. 43 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      LaHair has a better ISO right now than Albert Pujols has ever posted in a single season. Surely sustainable for a 30 YO career minor-leaguer.

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    41. Mish 44 Mish says:

      @ mb21:
      bubbles and all other foreigners can call themselves whatever the F they want. (dying laughing)

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    42. Rice Cube 45 Rice Cube says:

      This is new:

      http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/05/10/mlb-to-ban-the-fake-to-third-pickoff-play/

      I know it’s not a balk but I shout “BALK” anyway. It never seems to rattle the pitcher though.

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    43. 46 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      Here’s LaHair’s MLE’s, weighted for league and team, based on his best MiLB season (2011): 523 PA, 67 R, 128 H, 30 2B, 28 HR, 80 RBI, 45 BB, 120 K, .238/.298/.451

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    44. mb21 47 mb21 says:

      @ Mercurial Outfielder:
      As I mentioned yesterday, I’m fairly certain he’s a good ballplayer. I wouldn’t bet a lot of money on it, but based on what we know at this point I think it’s safe to say that. I also think it’s safe to be cautious about our expectations as you are.

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    45. 48 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ mb21:
      Yeah, I think he’s at least a league-average 1B. But he’s nowhere near as good as he looks now. I really want to see how he adjusts once the league adjusts. It looked like the Braves had a plan, and they got him to chase some bad pitches and get himself out.

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    46. WaLi 49 WaLi says:

      @ Mercurial Outfielder:
      Against the Braves LaHair had 11 PA (9 AB), 3 H, 2 BB, 1 HR, 2 RBI

      If that’s the plan against him, I’ll take it.

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    47. WaLi 50 WaLi says:

      http://espn.go.com/blog/chicago/cubs/post/_/id/9974/lahair-takes-a-step-outside

      The one way you could get LaHair out was to throw him a two-strike pitch away. In his first 19 games, he had 13 strikeouts and one hit on such pitches.

      But LaHair has more than made up for that since.

      LaHair’s last 33 swings against outside pitches have resulted in 16 balls in play and amazingly, 10 base hits. Of those, six have gone to the opposite field (four in the air, two on the ground), including the game-winner

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    48. 52 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ WaLi:
      Delgado had a lot of success pitching LaHair away.

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    49. Aisle424 53 Aisle424 says:

      So says Sullivan:

      One thing about Marmol: He faces reporters whenever he blows games. Not everyone in the clubhouse can say that.

      He’s looking at you, Woody.

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    50. 54 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ Aisle424:
      Kasper’s on the Score saying the same thing. Getting out the message?

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    51. 55 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ Aisle424:
      Kasper confirmed Sullivan is the one that pissed off Wood. Sully stirring shit. At least he’s being equal opportunity about it.

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    52. Rice Cube 56 Rice Cube says:

      @ Aisle424:
      Should all e-mail Sully a question and tell him how long we’ve been Cubs fans.

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    53. Berselius 57 Berselius says:

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    54. GW 58 GW says:

      flaherty leadoff homer off colbyashi. .185/.207/.296 in very limited at bats

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    55. Aisle424 59 Aisle424 says:

      Berselius wrote:

      He’s looking at you, B.

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    56. Aisle424 60 Aisle424 says:

      Rice Cube wrote:

      Should all e-mail Sully a question and tell him how long we’ve been Cubs fans.

      (dying laughing)
      (dying laughing)

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    57. Mish 61 Mish says:

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    58. Aisle424 62 Aisle424 says:

      MB, did your post ever run on ChicagoSide?

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    59. mb21 63 mb21 says:

      @ Aisle424:
      No. I had actually forgotten about that until today and checked over there and it’s still not up. It was supposedly going to run sometime this week. If it doesn’t I’ll publish it over here. I’ve got another article I’m going to work on for here, but I was wanting that article to be published first.

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    60. frysredjacket 64 frysredjacket says:

      @ Mish:
      Showing my age here:
      “Some days, you just can’t get rid of a bomb.”
      Or words of that nature.

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    61. Rizzo the Rat 65 ACT says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      Honestly, I’m fine with this. That move is annoying as hell.

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    62. 66 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ ACT:
      Agreed. I hate it almost as much as bunts.

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    63. mb21 67 mb21 says:

      @ ACT:
      It became annoying in 1986 and it always amazes me that there are still some runners who get caught on that move.

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    64. Rizzo the Rat 68 ACT says:

      Eduardo Nunez sure sucks at fielding.

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    65. Rice Cube 69 Rice Cube says:

      @ ACT:
      Is Jeter the DH again?

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    66. Rizzo the Rat 70 ACT says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      A-Rod is. Nunez played third and made 2 errors.

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    67. Rice Cube 71 Rice Cube says:

      @ ACT:
      At least he had the range to actually make those errors :D

      /silver lining

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    68. Rizzo the Rat 72 ACT says:

      re: the new balk rule, the announcers of the Yanks-Rays game say the fake-to-third is being outlawed because it’s unfair to southpaws. That is, it’s a balk if lefties fake to first, but not righties. I don’t know if this is true or not, but I don’t find this justification convincing. Lefties have a huge advantage in holding baserunners, why take a small one away from righties?

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    69. Rice Cube 73 Rice Cube says:

      @ ACT:
      That was talked about in one of the comments in the HBT blog as well as the BLS blog.

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    70. Rice Cube 74 Rice Cube says:

      Wow, Josh Beckett got rocked.

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    71. EnricoPallazzo 75 EnricoPallazzo says:

      Berselius wrote:

      /Jellyfishopobe

      jellyfish are the most terrifying thing ever. i’m not really sure why. i’ve been stung a few times and it doesn’t even really hurt.

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    72. Rizzo the Rat 76 ACT says:

      Colby Lewis got 12 strikeouts but allowed 5 home runs.

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    73. Rizzo the Rat 77 ACT says:

      Josh Hamilton now has 15 home runs.

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    74. Rizzo the Rat 78 ACT says:

      Steve Strasburg has better hitting numbers than Bryce Harper.

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    75. mb21 79 mb21 says:

      Anyone read Extra Innings yet? Just started tonight.

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    76. 81 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      Because Ryno isn’t here to do it:

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    77. mb21 82 mb21 says:

      dj’s minor league shit: http://t.co/uDjcEwfH

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