I didn't get around to doing a preview for this series so I'm going to link to one that is far better than anything I could have done. SG does fantastic work on RLYW and based on the Oliver projections he's calculated that the Tigers have a 50.3% chance of winning the series. Basically, flip a coin.
ALCS Preview: Tigers vs. Yankees
When I awoke, the Dire Wolf, six hundred pounds of sin,
Was grinning at my window, all I said was "Come on in"
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40 Responses to “ALCS Preview: Tigers vs. Yankees”
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My coin landed on its edge. WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?!
Baez apparently launched another monster HR.
@ GBTS:
Ugh, when is he going to learn that he needs to move runners over? *shakes head*
Eck doesn’t care how ridiculous he looks. His haircut was good enough in 1975 and it’s good enough now.
@ Berselius:
One could argue that a monster homer is the best and most stress-free way to move a runner over
My kingdom for a free live feed of tonight’s baseball match.
Ump isn’t giving Fister the low strike.
@ Rice Cube:
I’m surprised the Cubs haven’t made a baserunning mistake or two on a home run. It’s actually quite surprising.
I’m surprised Fister is back out there. That wrist has to hurt like a motherfucker.
Good comment here from MGL in response to something Dave Cameron wrote, but the last line just made me shake my head: http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/is_side_arming_darren_oday_a_lefty_killer/#comments
@ mb21:
There’s an awful joke in here somewhere.
(dying laughing) MGL is wrong and I didn’t even catch it. O’Day is a righty, not a lefty (dying laughing)
@ GBTS:
(dying laughing)
@ mb21:
His main point holds, though. It’s too small a sample to use his observed platoon splits.
@ Rizzo the Rat:
Agreed. That’s why I liked about the comment. It’s just way too small a sample to suggest what Cameron did. I think people look at reliever statistics and jump to conclusion without realizing that they can pitch for 3 years before they even pitch a full season that a starter would. And we know how much random variation starters have.
I’m going to be slightly disappointed if Detroit can’t luck into a run here.
@ mb21:
It wouldn’t be fangraphs if someone wasn’t making bold claims with small sample sizes. I wonder that O’Day’s SIERA was in Yankee Stadium night games this year.
That was the shortest triple I’ve ever seen
@ mb21:
Cameron just popped up in the thread, completely missing the point of what MGL was complaining about.
@ Berselius:
(dying laughing)
I never envisioned that the Yankees would be this bad at offense. I know it’s just one game, but they had the same issues with Baltimore too.
@ Rice Cube:
Have you considered writing for Fangraphs? I see potential for an article there.
Also just noticed that ALCS stats are reset and separate from ALDS stats, which is just as pointless as not listing regular season stats.
@ Rizzo the Rat:
I can analyze single-pitch data with the best of them.
Ichiro —> sayonara besuboru
(dying laughing)O(dying laughing)O(dying laughing)OL Valverde
(dying laughing)
(dying laughing)
(dying laughing)
(dying laughing)
Valverde.
http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/is_jose_valverde_a_very_good_closer/
Both the homers against Valverde today were by lefties, of course.
Ichiro is now batting .667 for the series. Because Gameday told me so.
On the other hand, Gameday says Cano has been absolutely useless in the ALDS so far.
Jeter broke
@ Rice Cube:
I’d thumbs down this if I could. Jeter out for postseason. Broken ankle.
RC –> sad
mgl is a fucking douchebag.
This sucks for the Yankees. I wonder if we saw Derek Jeter’s last appearance in a MLB game? He’s no spring chicken.
@ mb21:
The first rule of tautology club is the first rule of tautology club
http://www.rlyw.net/index.php/RLYW/comments/the_50_worst_postseason_hitters_in_mlb_since_2002
@ Berselius:
(dying laughing) mgl had get his ass kicked regularly when he was younger. There’s just no way someone as smug as he is managed to walk through life without taking a beating or three.
@ mb21:
He is truly an asshole
@ WaLi:
Yes he is. My favorite comment may have been from Sandy Kazmir (number 16):
What? MGL was right so the first part of that I can accept, but the only person being a typical smug prick was MGL and anybody who sees it differently is obviously blind.
new series preview shit from berselius who was too lazy to even publish it: http://www.obstructedview.net/previews/nlcs-series-preview-san-francisco-giants-94-68-vs-st-louis-cardinals-ugh.html