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  • Daily Facepalm 4.11.12

    1000 word recap of Paul Maholm's Cubs debut last night

    Other comments on last night's game

    You'd think that conditions like last night's (freezing, wind howling in) would be conducive to pitching, But when you can't locate multiple pitches, you're going to get hammered. Maholm walked two and hit two batters in the first inning, as well as a double, a homer, a sac fly, and a stolen base by none other than Aramis Ramirez. He settled down and got mostly grounders for the next three innings, though still managed to give up a homer to Lucroy in the third.

    For the pre-emptive complaining I've seen about the Cubs offense, which has scored 3.6 runs per game in only 5 games, keep in mind that it's April and the temperature has been cold. I'd hazard a guess that they're outperforming expectations! This is a year!

    News in lying eyes and small sample size

    Soriano has had a hit in every game so far this year, and has looked far better defensively than he has in the past. He's still not pre-Red Sox Carl Crawford out there, but I recently enjoyed watching him make a great diving catch the other day, and he made a running catch right up on the wall that he had shied away from in the past.

    Ian Stewart says bring it on to LHP

    Via Muskat, Stewart relishes the chance to prove he's an everyday guy, and was glad to get the start against Narveson. I figured Mather would vulture a lot of his starts against lefties at 3b, but I looked at the numbers today after Bubbles made a comment about it and he actually has a very small platoon split in his career numbers. Even when you add regression, his projected numbers vs lefties are still a tick better than Mather's. Later in that same piece Sveum recognizes that no such skill exists with LaHair, and we'll see a lot of Jeff Baker at 1B vs LHP.

    Terry Francona to his former team: STFU, GTFO

    This piece over at Aerys Sports breaks it down. The Red Sox apparently had NO IDEA that Francona would be annoyed with them after the team and Boston media took an enormous dump on him all offseason. LSA +1 Rec'd Chicken and Beer to Francona for saying thanks but no thanks.

    Various articles using pfx to say that Jeff Samardzija is the real deal

    This article at the Hardball Times from OV Excecutive Chairman Harry Pavilidis takes a look at Samardzija's start through the pfx levers he's been working with at Brooks Baseball. The most impressive thing I took away from this was that Samardzija was throwing just about as hard in his start as he was in relief last year. And that he was throwing 97 mph sinkers. Jeebus.

    Brad from Cubs Stats and Fangraphs wrote a piece on fangraphs using their own pfx tools framework to break down his awesome start. I've never been a fan of using his 2011 numbers for evidence of a transformation – for every mention of  SIERA and FIP, you can just as easily look at his HR/FB%, BABIP, and walk rate to cool your jets a bit, not to mention how those things would translate from relief to starting. The pfx data gives me a much better handle on what the scouts have been raving about, which we didn't have much of a framework to quantify in the offseason.

    RJ Anderson also has a piece up at BPro looking at the start, though it's subscription only.

    Forum highlight

    Justified had its season finale last night, and here's the thread for discussing it. One of these days I'll get around to actually watching the show.

    Minor league update

    In case you missed it this morning. Spoiler alert: the middle levels of the Cubs minor league system are not very good.

    Is there a Cubs game today?

    The Cubs play the Brewers at 1:20 today. The game is on WGN. Ryan Dempster faces Yovani Gallardo. Short declarative sentence.

    Berselius
    He's got a two day head start on you, which is more than he needs. He's got friends in every town and village from here to the Sudan, he speaks a dozen languages, knows every local custom, he'll blend in, disappear, you'll never see him again. With any luck, he's got the grail already.
    Berselius

    30 Responses to “Daily Facepalm 4.11.12”

    1. Suburban kid 1 Suburban kid says:

      Short declarative sentence.

      ‘Nuff said.

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    2. Rice Cube 2 Rice Cube says:

      Soriano has had a hit in every game so far this year, and has looked far better defensively than he has in the past.

      I agree with this for the most part, though in Monday night’s game he looked like he lost a few balls in the night because I swear there were two fly balls that he should have had time to get to but let get by him for whatever reason. Oh well. He’s getting to most of them though and that’s a good thing.

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    3. 3 Bob says:

      And great seats are still available for tomorrow’s game:

      http://www.stubhub.com/chicago-cubs-tickets/cubs-vs-brewers-4-12-2012-2049158/

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    4. Mish 4 Mish says:

      There was one play where the ball drifted on Soriano but Byrd backed it up, so it was fine. What was the other?

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    5. Berselius 5 Berselius says:

      @ Mish:

      There was one a game or two ago where he played a ball too shallow and it got past him, but it might be the same play you’re talking about.

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    6. dylanj 6 dylanj says:

      McNutt pitched again. Did alright.

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    7. 7 Mobile Rice says:

      @ Mish:
      I don’t even remember now so it clearly wasn’t important but I saw many a facebooker bitch about his lack of hustle.

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    8. Mish 8 Mish says:

      @ Berselius:
      Yeah I think it’s the same play.

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    9. Mish 9 Mish says:

      @ Mobile Rice:
      If I listened to facebook bitching (other than my own) I’d be much dumber. And angrier.

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    10. WenningtonsGorillaCock 10 WenningtonsGorillaCock says:

      (dying laughing)

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    11. josh 11 josh says:

      @ Mish:
      The times when I’ve felt worst as a human were 100% because of Facebook.

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    12. Mish 12 Mish says:

      @ josh:
      Really? I often feel better about myself after reading other people’s dim thoughts.

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    13. Suburban kid 13 Suburban kid says:

      Ah, the Aragon Ballroom. Still such a romantic place.

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    14. WaLi 14 WaLi says:

      @ WenningtonsGorillaCock:
      Is she talking about your cock Mr. Gorilla Cock?

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    15. WaLi 15 WaLi says:

      @ Mish:
      Yeah, feel better about yourself, but worse for humanity as a whole.

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    16. josh 16 josh says:

      @ WaLi:
      Bingo.

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    17. 17 Rice in limbo says:

      @ Mish:
      When I was at the game I saw Soriano get to the spot but he just pretty much whiffed on a couple plays. I’m glad you saw the first play because I thought it was either a bad read or the wind pushed it out of his immediate reach. The second play might have been the same. People were complaining that he should have dove, or that Tony Campana would have caught it. And I was just like, “Well, he got to the spot, or at least tried to, I’m not sure what happened but I doubt he was lazy.” It’s tough to know what was going on in Sori’s head on those plays but I don’t think it was lack of effort so much as he’s not that good of a defender.

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    18. Suburban kid 18 Suburban kid says:

      I hope Dempster has another great start, but I’m not holding my breath. In any case, 3.6 runs isn’t going to cut it against the Brewers.

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    19. Berselius 20 Berselius says:

      Braun out today with chest/ribcage tightness

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    20. Berselius 21 Berselius says:

      Look at the exploding TV contracts market, wondering if it’s sustainable. I’m skeptical, myself.

      http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118052488

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    21. Berselius 22 Berselius says:

      Brewers resting a lot of players today

      LF Aoki
      RF Morgan
      2B Weeks
      3B Ramirez
      1B Gamel
      SS Gonzalez
      C Kottaras
      CF Gomez
      P Gallardo

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    22. WaLi 23 WaLi says:

      @ Berselius:
      Everytime you post something now I think you are surprised at the content (dying laughing)

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    23. 24 Rice in limbo says:

      @ Berselius:
      I think they’re trying to take it easy with Corey Hart since he had that spring injury issue. I didn’t think he was a bad defender really, but they’ve been taking him out of games after the seventh inning as well.

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    24. Berselius 25 Berselius says:

      @ WaLi:

      That would be more like

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    25. 26 Rice in limbo says:

      Berselius is building character by being miserable.

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    26. Berselius 27 Berselius says:

      @ Rice in limbo:

      It’s a way of Life

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    27. Suburban kid 29 Suburban kid says:

      dpleeted

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    28. mb21 30 mb21 says:

      @ Berselius:
      I didn’t read the article, but one thing to remember is that fewer and fewer people are watching live television. They watch it on their DVR, Netflix, or other streaming device without commercial. One of the reasons why networks pay big money for sports is that people watch them live. I think live sports only becomes more valuable as more and more people watch less live tv.

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