This is the the NL Central for a few of the projection systems as of 5/31/13:
FanGraphs
Cards 95-67
Reds 89-73*
Pirates 89-73*
Cubs 76-86
Brewers 73-89
Cubs finish in a 3-way tie for 7th in Race To The Top (Padres, Royals)
Chance of 90 or more wins: 0.49%
95% confidence interval: 67-85 wins
BP
Cards 93-69
Reds 91-71*
Pirates 88-74*
Cubs 76-86
Brewers 72-90
Cubs finish in 9th in Race To The Top
Chance of Playoffs: 2.2%
95% confidence interval: 68-84 wins
Comments
4th place. Sweet!
dmick89Quote Reply
To paraphrase Myles’s point the other day: the Cubs are playing like an average team, and are still on track to get a top-10 pick. (And perhaps more importantly, the signing allotment associated with that spot in the draft.) That’s about as good an outcome as we could have expected coming into the year. Players are making major strides. And while it’s not quite enough to make them competitive in 2013, it’s making 2014 and beyond seem much more plausible. So does their shitty record.
shawndgoldmanQuote Reply
@ dmick89:
7th-9th place. Sweet!
Fixed.
shawndgoldmanQuote Reply