Time: 9:15 PM CT
TV: WGN
Series Preview
Gameday
LINEUPS
Cubs
Dexter Fowler, CF
Jason Heyward, RF
Kris Bryant, 3B
Anthony Rizzo, 1B
Ben Zobrist, 2B
Jorge Soler, LF
Miguel Montero, C
Javier Baez, SS
Jake Arrieta, P
Giants
Denard Span, CF
Joe Panik, 2B
Matt Duffy, 3B
Buster Posey, C
Brandon Belt, 1B
Hunter Pence, RF
Brandon Crawford, SS
Jake Peavy, P
Angel Pagan, LF
Click on the images below to visit Baseball Savant page and view larger image.
Zobrist has hit two of the four home runs against Peavy. Jason Heyward hit one and Travis Wood hit a grand slam against Peavy.
Not surprisingly, the Giants haven’t done much against Arrieta. They have only two extra base hits off of him.
Will the Cubs win? Yes. Arrieta’s dominance continues.
538 Forecast: 64% chance of winning
Comments
So Travis Wood should pinch-hit against Peavy then…
Rice CubeQuote Reply
Rice Cube,
Don’t give Joe any ideas.
dmick89Quote Reply
I dozed off. Did they win yet?
andcountingQuote Reply
Didn’t Peavy throw like 40 pitches in the 1st inning last time facesd the Cubs?
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
Yes, I think that included an infield double for Schwarber.
andcountingQuote Reply
They made him work. Hopefully that continues.
JoshQuote Reply
Oh god.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Oh fucking god damn it.
JoshQuote Reply
Jesus Christ. That looked like a hip or oblique injury.
JoshQuote Reply
That was not good. I’d be shocked if he didn’t break something.
andcountingQuote Reply
Not a mystical thinker, but really, I watch maybe one in 25 Cubs games, and within 5 minutes of my turning two of the 5 of I’ve watched this season I watch Schwarber and then Heyward fall to pieces. oog mad
oogQuote Reply
andcounting,
Yeah, rib or torn oblique. He was hurting
JoshQuote Reply
I missed it. Apparently looked pretty bad. That fucking sucks.
dmick89Quote Reply
Fucking amazing catch though
JoshQuote Reply
andcountingQuote Reply
Dislocated shoulder?
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
I was thinking that or broken collarbone/arm.
andcountingQuote Reply
‘pxerjdgs [aosidj f[0AFS [0S”PZXICJ”APSOZKFP’ISZEH
ceruleanQuote Reply
Unless, of course, my nine all-stars fall victim to nine separate misfortunes and are unable to play tomorrow. But that will never happen. Three misfortunes, that’s possible. Seven misfortunes, there’s an outside chance. But nine misfortunes? I’d like to see that!
EnricoPallazzoQuote Reply
Jake does it all.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Might be time to see what Almora can do.
dmick89Quote Reply
Nice little soft single by Jake
JoshQuote Reply
dmick89,
Hell yeah
JoshQuote Reply
Pitchers who rake ?
berseliusQuote Reply
berselius,
But suck at base running
JoshQuote Reply
The Cubs always score a ton of runs after an outfielder suffers a horrific injury.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
BOOM!
oogQuote Reply
Fuck yea
My son: “he’s winning!”
JoshQuote Reply
Bryant made that look easy.
dmick89Quote Reply
This game is a festival of mixed blessings.
andcountingQuote Reply
I go put kids to bed and find out the Cubs injured Peavy. Nice to see.
ceruleanQuote Reply
Just saw the Baez replay—what the fuck happened to “tie goes to the runner”? He was clearly safe.
ceruleanQuote Reply
dmick89,
That was a sweet swing.
I finally get to watch the cubs on TV at my parents new place in Utica
JoshQuote Reply
cerulean,
Not actually an official rule
JoshQuote Reply
cerulean,
It’s like breaking the plane on a check. The rule actually says “shows intent to swing” or something.
JoshQuote Reply
I approve this comment.
ceruleanQuote Reply
Not actually surprised. (dying laughing)
ceruleanQuote Reply
See I keep seeing that replay and focus on haywards leg underneath him and twisting almost the whole way around. I think hip or oblique
JoshQuote Reply
Josh,
I see that AND the trainer holding his arm as he walks off and think, shit, he’s probably just fucked up in multiple ways.
andcountingQuote Reply
Josh,
“Right torso, abdominal region”
It’s pretty vague. But hey, thinking of the Schwarber injury, maybe he also broke his collar bone and dislocated his shoulder. Pretty sure he didn’t break his spleen—that’s the left side of the body.
ceruleanQuote Reply
Exit velocities on those three singles: 76, 95, 69 mph. The hardest contact was an out at 102 mph.
ceruleanQuote Reply
cerulean,
I miss that outfield we had on opening day. (dying laughing) I hope they call Almora up even though he’ll probably have to have a .350 BABIP to be productive since he’ll walk in -3% of his plate appearances. He’s supposed to be excellent defensively so that should be enough, I’d think. I’m guessing they call up Kalish instead.
dmick89Quote Reply
Nice play, Jorge!
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Nice catch by Soler.
dmick89Quote Reply
Soler pays tribute to Heyward.
ceruleanQuote Reply
Jake’s lucky he hasn’t given up five runs today.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
My mom’s talking about how lazy Castro is, my dad’s talking about how much he loves Bob brenly, just so you so know what price I’m paying to watch the Cubs on TV.
JoshQuote Reply
All these deep fly balls aren’t very Arrieta-like.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Jake is really having to work to get through 5 tonight.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
Giants don’t strike out and they draw a lot of walks. Not too surprising, really.
Smokestack LightningQuote Reply
The Smokies were postponed tonight so Szczur has had only two plate appearances on his rehab. Think they go with him if Heyward hits the DL? They could sign Ryan Kalish. I doubt they call up Almora even though I think they may as well. Only question is, do they put him in CF? I’m sure Fowler wanted some assurances he’d remain in CF. I don’t think he’d mind moving to RF, but I’m not the one who could stand to lose a lot of money in free agency.
dmick89Quote Reply
Nice short at bats by the Giants all of a sudden.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
Works out nicely.
dmick89Quote Reply
So… looks like Julie is taking some serious heat on the twits for saying it might have been wiser for Heyward not to have risked so much to make a play that really wasn’t all that important to not only this game outcome but the ROS.
After losing Schwarber on something similar and seeing it happen again tonight, I’m thinking she raises a decent point.
Smokestack LightningQuote Reply
RIP Banshee, Pennsylvania
dmick89Quote Reply
Smokestack Lightning,
She raises a decent point in hindsight, but it’s not realistic to expect Heyward to process all that information at the time. If we want the players to analyze whether or not they should do certain things based on the likelihood of injury, the ball will be past them before they have reached a conclusion. Heyward did not have time to think about Kyle Schwarber and how an injury to him would affect the team. If Heyward thought like that, he’d be a less than stellar hitting corner outfielder who plays somewhat decent defense if the ball isn’t hit too far away from him.
dmick89Quote Reply
So basically, he’d be worth about 4 years and $60 million. Maybe.
dmick89Quote Reply
Really good start for Arrieta. Had to work in the middle innings, but was really good.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
I agree. It’s easy to say these things in hindsight, tough to know in the moment how dangerous a play is going to be. At the same time, I don’t think it’s one or the other either: either he plays somewhat decent defense or stellar defense that may risk serious injury. Going too far down the road one way or the other and it gets weedy pretty quick.
I’m mostly just musing on what I saw, because the same thought that occurred to her occurred to me when he went down.
Of course, I wouldn’t tweet that thought in a million years. And certainly not in the moment. (dying laughing)
Smokestack LightningQuote Reply
Big night for Soler.
dmick89Quote Reply
It only occurred to you or her because Schwarber was already injured. We never questioned Schwarber’s effort. Heyward has been in the league for 6+ years. I assume he better knows how to stay healthy and on the baseball field than I do. I think a Jason Heyward that plays defense tentatively is a pretty average right fielder. He’s certainly not someone you pay the kind of money to that the Cubs did.
What happened tonight is just baseball. Sometimes it can suck.
dmick89Quote Reply
For the record, from the time the ball was struck to the time Heyward dove, it took only 5.2 seconds. Heyward probably doesn’t have the time to think about Kyle Schwarber if it had taken 15 seconds.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
I’m sure that’s part of it (to be fair, in the moment, I was irrationally displeased that Schwarber went so bonkers over a ball I thought he had no shot at) Also part of it was Bryce Harper’s recent comments about being done running into walls, how it’s better if he’s in the lineup every day, and I found that tough to argue with. If he can pick and choose the right moments, good on him (I don’t think he can).
But yeah, it is baseball. It sucks. Time to go get Trout.
Smokestack LightningQuote Reply
I don’t actually think he should have been thinking about Schwarber. The proximity of the wall would be have been good enough (if the wall had much to do with the injury to begin; I can’t really tell for sure).
Smokestack LightningQuote Reply
dmick89,
Josh Hamilton used to make that argument. Do you want him to play a hundred percent or not? If he plays 80%, he’s going to miss a lot of plays we’d normally see him make. But how would you even tell a guy to play 80%? You can’t just override years of training by saying “hey don’t”
JoshQuote Reply
Hayward is going to be 100% fine and you’re all going to look like assholes /prediction>
JoshQuote Reply
It’s too late for me. Save yourselves.
Smokestack LightningQuote Reply
http://obstructedview.net/cubs-8-giants-1-heyward-injured/
berseliusQuote Reply
Smokestack Lightning,
(dying laughing)
berseliusQuote Reply