Cubs 9, Brewers 7 (4/18/2017 Recap)

In Uncategorized by myles58 Comments

OSS: The bats are alive!

Three Four Up

1. Miguel Montero had a very nice day, with a basket homer and two other singles. Nice to see him heat up after a relatively cold start to the season. I'm not opposed to him getting 55 starts or so this year, just to help preserve Contreras.

2. Jason Heyward is still routinely crushing the ball. Last year, there were times where you'd say that but follow it up with (0-4, strikeout). This time, he still went 2-4; it's not "consolation power." Heyward looks very good this year, though…

3… Kyle Schwarber is the best hitter on the team. It's sort of incredible how good Schwarber is already. He sees SO MANY PITCHES that everyone after him gets almost the whole book on the opposing pitcher. I don't think he'll keep up the 36.1% K rate, either – he's very choosy with his swing selection, and as he swings earlier in counts, he'll put more balls in play. Even if he has a 30% strikeout rate, that's livable if Schwarber gets on base 35% of the time and slugs .500 or better – the former is almost certain and I'd bet on the latter as well. Today, Schwarber eviscerated a ball and had another single and walk. He also saw 22 pitches in his 5 plate appearances.

4. Jon Jay had the high WPA play of the day, ripping a triple to tie the game. Jay is faster than he seems, and he flew down the basepaths.

Three Down

1. Brian Duensing is a horrible pitcher. Who woul d have thought that a league average reliever who was injured in 2016 and struck out 4.44 per 9 the year before that wouldn't have worked out? I'd just as soon see what Rob Zastryzny can do than trot this guy out. Cut the bait, already.

2. Looks like Brett Anderson is cooked again. Again, not a huge surprised. He was getting smoked early and often, and Almora wasn't precisely located to save him this time. If anything keeps this team from the playoffs, it's going to be the pitching, which is much, much shakier than it was last year. If Anderson isn't injured, he'd better rebound quickly. The cavalry at the moment is Mike Montgomery (who I'm high on, but has a great chance of being a AAAA starter), Eddie Butler (who isn't going to strike anyone out and will be something akin to Chris Rusin, and Alec Mills (an actual intriguing option at the back of the rotation, but a huge open question mark who is himself nursing a sore ankle). 

3. Ben Zobrist had a rough day, going 0-5 for 2 strikeouts. I'm also extremely sick of his walkup music and am not looking forward to hearing it 6 times tomorrow (the Cubs are scoring 11 runs). 

This game in LOL

The Brewers struck out 12 times and walked once.

Next Game

Wednesday, 1:20 PM CST start

Tommy "Organizational Filler" Milone (4.36 career FIP, 699.1 innings) vs. Cyle Hendricks (3.31 career FIP, 461.1 career innings)

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Comments

  1. Rizzo the Rat

    If anything keeps this team from the playoffs, it’s going to be the pitching, which is much, much shakier than it was last year.

    What? That’s not true at all. They added some good bullpen arms (Uehara and Davis), Duensing is no worse than Richard and the roation is 4/5 the same (and, let’s face it, Hammel was not very reliable).

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  2. Author
    myles

    Rizzo the Rat: What? That’s not true at all.

    Do you trust Brian Duensing, Justin Grimm, Pedro Strop, Brett Anderson, or John Lackey right now?

    The rotation is sort of the same, except Lackey is 38 instead of 37, and the 5th starter isn’t reliably mediocre like Hammel, he’s reliably injured. Clayton Richard pitched 14 innings for the Cubs last year, so having Duensing be him is not exactly a positive. Perhaps “very, very shaky” was stretching it, but I think the pitching is demonstrably worse.

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  3. Rice in limbo

    myles,

    I don’t trust that they’ll always shut the opponent down, but they’ll hopefully keep the Cubs in games. I guess that’s all we can hope for right now without wholesale changes and a lot of good fortune.

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  4. Rizzo the Rat

    IOW, I don’t “trust” Strop, Grimm and Lackey less than last year, other than the fact that they’re each a year older.

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  5. dmick89

    The pitching is worse because Lester isn’t nearly as good as he was last year and neither is Hendricks. Anderson is worse than Hammel and Arrieta and Lackey are each a year older. So yeah, the pitching is quite a bit worse than how they performed last year. It’s not a whole lot worse than their true talent.

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  6. Rizzo the Rat

    I hope Hendricks can throw a shutout today because that’s the only way he can win with today’s lineup.

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  7. TheVan

    Rizzo the Rat,

    The only real difference is no Schwarber. Zobrist is slumping, and Almora has swung the bat pretty well so far. I don’t mind this lineup. Maybe I’d swap Almora and Szczur in the 1 & 6 spots. But that’s probably why I’m an accountant and not a baseball manager.

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  8. cerulean

    I’m also extremely sick of his walkup music and am not looking forward to hearing it 6 times tomorrow (the Cubs are scoring 11 runs).

    Rejoice, no Zo today.

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  9. Perkins

    Edwin:
    I wonder which team will be the first to have a pitcher throw a pitch >90 mph.

    Brewers, probably. Joe’s got to get Hendricks at least one more plate appearance.

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  10. dmick89

    I miss last year when the Cubs scored approximately 8 runs per game in the early part of the season. That was a lot more fun. This is just the typical shit I’m used to watching.

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  11. Berzelius

    dmick89:
    I miss last year when the Cubs scored approximately 8 runs per game in the early part of the season. That was a lot more fun. This is just the typical shit I’m used to watching.

    Those bums only scored seven, smh.

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  12. Rizzo the Rat

    dmick89:
    I miss last year when the Cubs scored approximately 8 runs per game in the early part of the season. That was a lot more fun. This is just the typical shit I’m used to watching.

    Is seven runs OK?

    Edit: damn, beaten to the punch.

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