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  • Where We Stand Now 5.1.12 – Batters

    Now that a month has passed, let's take a look back at what's gone wrong (and a few things that have gone right). First, a look at the batters. Here are the regulars' current slash lines, wOBA, BABIP, and preseason projected wOBAs. I'm only doing Johnson and Mather because they've picked up the most PAs of the bench guys, and because I'm lazy.

    Player AVG OBP SLG wOBA BABIP Projected wOBA
    C Geovany Soto .135 .224 .250 .210 .154 .338
    1B Bryan LaHair .382 .470 .727 .489 .607 .341
    2B Darwin Barney .266 .310 .367 .299 .299 .296
    SS Starlin Castro .326 .344 .430 .344 .364 .334
    3B Ian Stewart .160 .222 .253 .209 .196 .317
    LF Alfonso Soriano .236 .250 .250 .212 .304 .321
    CF Marlon Byrd .070 .149 .070 .093 .091 .322
    CF Tony Campana .435 .458 .435 .461 .556 .289
    RF David DeJesus .254 .361 .310 .304 .327 .326
    UT Reed Johnson .226 .250 .419 .285 .318 .308
    UT Joe Mather .292 .414 .458 .397 .333 .289

    The Good

    Bryan LaHair, Castro….that's about it.

    LaHair has had *just* a bit of BABIP luck so far this year, but he's hitting the ball with enough authority not to worry so much about it.

    Tony Campana is going to be a guy who crushes in the BABIP department due to his speed, but a run like this obviously won't as long. I like seeing him batting second, because he's the prototypical two-hole hitter who actually has speed as opposed to the prototypical two-hole hitter that plays in the middle infield but has average speed.

    The Bad

    DeJesus has disappointed thus far, mostly in the power department. He is getting on base at a good clip though.

    Darwin Barney is doing Darwin Barney things. He probbaly shouldn't be doing them in the second spot in the order, but his bulked-up transformation hasn't paid much in the way of dividends so far

    The Ugly

    Geovany Soto has just done nothing at the plate this year, and is already threatened by additional playing time by Clevenger/Castillo. There's a lot to be optimistic about in his line, however. For one, the .153 BABIP says he's suffered from some bad luck. His walk rate is right on with his career numbers, and he's actually striking out less than he has over the course of his career.

    Soriano has been pants this month, collecting only two extra base hits following a scorching hot spring. Soriano is a streaky hitter so he will probably have one good month in him this year, but that's about it. He has looked significantly better on defense using the eyeball metric, but his past performance is a pretty low bar to clear. Unlike Geo there isn't a lot to read into his line, he's just sucked. We just have to wait for his power to come back.

    I liked what I saw from Ian Stewart for the first week or so of the season, but things aren't looking so great now. At least with Soriano you have some hope for his power returning, while Stewart has looked like just as much of a mess as he was last year in Colorado. His admitting that his wrist is still bothering him is a worrisome sign. Joe Mather and Jeff Baker could be sneaking more PAs away from him before long. Unlike Soriano he doesn't have as much of a skillset to back up on – when he was helthy he was only a ~1.5 win player.

    Marlon Byrd is gone. What a putrid line – I don't think I've ever seen a non-pitcher post a BABIP that low before. Since going to the Red Sox the hits have been falling in, but he's still yet to record and XBH this year.

    Berselius
    He's got a two day head start on you, which is more than he needs. He's got friends in every town and village from here to the Sudan, he speaks a dozen languages, knows every local custom, he'll blend in, disappear, you'll never see him again. With any luck, he's got the grail already.
    Berselius

    48 Responses to “Where We Stand Now 5.1.12 – Batters”

    1. 1 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      LaHair has had *just* a bit of BABIP luck so far this year, but he’s hitting the ball with enough authority not to worry so much about it.

      (dying laughing)

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    2. 2 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      Yikes. LaHair has K’d in 36% of his AB.

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    3. Rice Cube 3 Rice Cube says:

      @ Mercurial Outfielder:
      But in the other chunk he’s hitting the ball with enough authority not to worry so much about it.

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    4. 4 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      I just hope his regression isn’t so hard that the Cubs get tempted to bring up Rizzo before he’s past the risk of Super Two status.

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    5. Rice Cube 5 Rice Cube says:

      @ Mercurial Outfielder:
      I think they can guarantee the extra year once it gets past the All-Star Break so I do hope he doesn’t crash and burn until then. This front office doesn’t seem to give a shit what fans think though and so will probably just wait it out.

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    6. 6 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      I don’t expect a crash, FWIW, so my worry about Rizzo’s service time is probably overstated.

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    7. 8 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      WTF is this bullshit:

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    8. frysredjacket 9 frysredjacket says:

      @ Mercurial Outfielder:
      No kidding! That last pitch was clearly a ball!

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    9. Rice Cube 10 Rice Cube says:

      Ryan Braun is having a nice night.

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    10. 11 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ Rice Cube:

      He must have contracted herpes again.

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    11. Rice Cube 12 Rice Cube says:

      Go Valtrex!

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    12. Rice Cube 13 Rice Cube says:

      (dying laughing)
      (dying laughing)

      He just missed homer #4…settled for a triple. Should’ve kept running to the plate.

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    13. Mish 14 Mish says:

      OMG OMG
      OMG OMG OMG

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    14. bubblesdachimp 15 bubblesdachimp says:

      I see no reason Lahair cant keep doing this..

      In 70 plate appearences

      he has 23 hits 25 ks and 11 walks…

      Think about that only 11 times has he grounded out, lined out, or flown out…

      He is having the most insane statistical season ever. 84% of the time he gets on base or strikes out

      (dying laughing)
      (dying laughing)

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    15. Suburban kid 16 Suburban kid says:

      Berselius wrote:

      New motherfucking shit-ass shit

      http://www.obstructedview.net/commentary-and-analysis/where-we-stand-now-5-1-12-batters.html

      That’s more like it.

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    16. Suburban kid 17 Suburban kid says:

      bubblesdachimp wrote:

      I see no reason Lahair cant keep doing this..

      (dying laughing)

      I can think of a a few.

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    17. Suburban kid 18 Suburban kid says:

      @ Mercurial Outfielder:

      I know that the MLB 12 commercial and Buck’s speech are simply playful and optimistically light-hearted in nature, but you have to imagine that at some point, if we keep poking the sleeping bear – in this case the rage of a century of nightmares for Cubs fans – that bear is going to wake up and tear us to shreds.

      Soon, Cubs fans will just start showing up at baseball stadiums and start beating the crap out of everyone.

      All in favor?

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    18. Suburban kid 19 Suburban kid says:

      Insert random Stuart Turkeylink gif here.

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    19. bubblesdachimp 20 bubblesdachimp says:

      @ Suburban kid:

      Meh maybe he is just a dope hitter

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    20. Suburban kid 21 Suburban kid says:

      bubblesdachimp wrote:

      Meh maybe he is just a dope hitter

      He’ll be a dope hitter if he OPS’s .850, which is juuuust a bit more likely than 1.250.

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    21. bubblesdachimp 22 bubblesdachimp says:

      @ Suburban kid:

      I mean lets split the difference and say he finishes with a .900 OPS…

      What do the Cubs do then? Would they really put him out in LF?

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    22. Rice Cube 23 Rice Cube says:

      @ bubblesdachimp:
      Maybe they’d flip him for Nolasco.

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    23. Rice Cube 24 Rice Cube says:

      @ Mish:
      [spoiler title="BATMAN!!!"]It looks like they really are going to do Knightfall and Knights End. I’m not sure what I think of that. They were great stories, but they were also spread out and with a movie like this I don’t see how they can cram everything into 2.5 hours or less. But then again, I’m a comic book nerd and I probably expect too much perfection.[/spoiler]

      Yeah…Batman stuff.

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    24. bubblesdachimp 25 bubblesdachimp says:

      @ Rice Cube:

      Always a good idea…

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    25. bubblesdachimp 26 bubblesdachimp says:

      Also Bryce Harper is awesome. Bubbles gets to see him Friday when Strasburg starts

      http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/05/01/bryce-harper-already-made-his-home-debut-sorta/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

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    26. GBTS 27 GBTS says:

      @ Mish:
      Who posts home videos of themselves on a blog, honestly?

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    27. Mish 28 Mish says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      I haven’t read any comics really, so I don’t have any expectations.

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    28. Mish 29 Mish says:

      Looks like Longoria is out 6-8 weeks.

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    29. 30 Mobile Rice says:

      @ Mish:
      Considering the comic in question was released 20 years ago it should still be in your memory banks.

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    30. Mish 31 Mish says:

      Haha I never really read comics, of any type. I watched the cartoons and movies. I really don’t give a shit if it’s close to a comic line or not; it just needs to be a good movie.

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    31. GBTS 32 GBTS says:

      @ Mish:
      Where’d you hear that? That blows.

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    32. Mish 34 Mish says:

      @ GBTS:
      Twitter tho still waiting for a reputable link.

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    33. bubblesdachimp 35 bubblesdachimp says:

      Serious question say come all star break Bryan Lahair has close to a .900 OPS with 20 ish homeruns..

      Shouldnt the market for him be huge since he is in his prime and he is cost controlled for another 6 years?

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    34. Berselius 36 Berselius says:

      bubblesdachimp wrote:

      Shouldnt the market for him be huge since he is in his prime and he is cost controlled for another 6 years?

      He’s also pushing 30, which should put big downward pressure on his value. He’ll be worth something but it’s not like teams will expect him to hit like this for the next 6 years. He was only projected to hit in the mid .340s, which isn’t all that special for a 1b. Playing around the rest of these offensive nothings makes him look a lot better.

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    35. bubblesdachimp 38 bubblesdachimp says:

      @ Berselius:

      Well what he is doing right now is pretty special. he ahs a chance to break Ted Williams’s batting average!!!!

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    36. WaLi 39 WaLi says:

      Is LaHair’s BABIP high not only because of luck, but also because he hits HR? Or would the HR bring down his BABIP since they aren’t included.

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    37. Rice Cube 40 Rice Cube says:

      @ Mish:
      I’m sure it’ll be a good movie, as the comic book storyline was badass. I’m just having trouble wrapping my mind around how they’d squeeze that much into one movie.

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    38. Rice Cube 41 Rice Cube says:

      @ WaLi:
      HR isn’t included and since he strikes out like 40% of the time, they’re only measuring the other 60% of the time when he actually puts a ball in play. Very constricted sample.

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    39. Aisle424 43 Aisle424 says:

      One year ago:

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    40. GBTS 44 GBTS says:

      @ Aisle424:
      He was everywhere that day.

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    41. Rice Cube 45 Rice Cube says:

      Hope everyone who is or has family and friends in Cleveland stays safe…

      http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/five-arrested-suspected-bridge-bombing-plot-near-cleveland-142203758.html

      FBI > anarchy

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    42. 46 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ Mish:
      Does any single mainstream media contingent harbor more cretins per capita than the Chicago sports media?

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    43. Aisle424 47 Aisle424 says:

      GBTS wrote:

      He was everywhere that day.

      He’s like Forrest Gump, only dumber.

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