Now that a month has passed, let's take a look back at what's gone wrong (and a few things that have gone right). First, a look at the batters. Here are the regulars' current slash lines, wOBA, BABIP, and preseason projected wOBAs. I'm only doing Johnson and Mather because they've picked up the most PAs of the bench guys, and because I'm lazy.
| Player | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | BABIP | Projected wOBA |
| C Geovany Soto | .135 | .224 | .250 | .210 | .154 | .338 |
| 1B Bryan LaHair | .382 | .470 | .727 | .489 | .607 | .341 |
| 2B Darwin Barney | .266 | .310 | .367 | .299 | .299 | .296 |
| SS Starlin Castro | .326 | .344 | .430 | .344 | .364 | .334 |
| 3B Ian Stewart | .160 | .222 | .253 | .209 | .196 | .317 |
| LF Alfonso Soriano | .236 | .250 | .250 | .212 | .304 | .321 |
| CF Marlon Byrd | .070 | .149 | .070 | .093 | .091 | .322 |
| CF Tony Campana | .435 | .458 | .435 | .461 | .556 | .289 |
| RF David DeJesus | .254 | .361 | .310 | .304 | .327 | .326 |
| UT Reed Johnson | .226 | .250 | .419 | .285 | .318 | .308 |
| UT Joe Mather | .292 | .414 | .458 | .397 | .333 | .289 |
The Good
Bryan LaHair, Castro….that's about it.
LaHair has had *just* a bit of BABIP luck so far this year, but he's hitting the ball with enough authority not to worry so much about it.
Tony Campana is going to be a guy who crushes in the BABIP department due to his speed, but a run like this obviously won't as long. I like seeing him batting second, because he's the prototypical two-hole hitter who actually has speed as opposed to the prototypical two-hole hitter that plays in the middle infield but has average speed.
The Bad
DeJesus has disappointed thus far, mostly in the power department. He is getting on base at a good clip though.
Darwin Barney is doing Darwin Barney things. He probbaly shouldn't be doing them in the second spot in the order, but his bulked-up transformation hasn't paid much in the way of dividends so far
The Ugly
Geovany Soto has just done nothing at the plate this year, and is already threatened by additional playing time by Clevenger/Castillo. There's a lot to be optimistic about in his line, however. For one, the .153 BABIP says he's suffered from some bad luck. His walk rate is right on with his career numbers, and he's actually striking out less than he has over the course of his career.
Soriano has been pants this month, collecting only two extra base hits following a scorching hot spring. Soriano is a streaky hitter so he will probably have one good month in him this year, but that's about it. He has looked significantly better on defense using the eyeball metric, but his past performance is a pretty low bar to clear. Unlike Geo there isn't a lot to read into his line, he's just sucked. We just have to wait for his power to come back.
I liked what I saw from Ian Stewart for the first week or so of the season, but things aren't looking so great now. At least with Soriano you have some hope for his power returning, while Stewart has looked like just as much of a mess as he was last year in Colorado. His admitting that his wrist is still bothering him is a worrisome sign. Joe Mather and Jeff Baker could be sneaking more PAs away from him before long. Unlike Soriano he doesn't have as much of a skillset to back up on – when he was helthy he was only a ~1.5 win player.
Marlon Byrd is gone. What a putrid line – I don't think I've ever seen a non-pitcher post a BABIP that low before. Since going to the Red Sox the hits have been falling in, but he's still yet to record and XBH this year.





(dying laughing)
Yikes. LaHair has K’d in 36% of his AB.
@ Mercurial Outfielder:
But in the other chunk he’s hitting the ball with enough authority not to worry so much about it.
@ Rice Cube:
I just hope his regression isn’t so hard that the Cubs get tempted to bring up Rizzo before he’s past the risk of Super Two status.
@ Mercurial Outfielder:
I think they can guarantee the extra year once it gets past the All-Star Break so I do hope he doesn’t crash and burn until then. This front office doesn’t seem to give a shit what fans think though and so will probably just wait it out.
@ Rice Cube:
I don’t expect a crash, FWIW, so my worry about Rizzo’s service time is probably overstated.
http://withleather.uproxx.com/2012/04/joe-buck-teased-a-bunch-of-cubs-fans#more-82232
WTF is this bullshit:
@ Mercurial Outfielder:
No kidding! That last pitch was clearly a ball!
Ryan Braun is having a nice night.
@ Rice Cube:
He must have contracted herpes again.
Go Valtrex!
(dying laughing)
(dying laughing)
He just missed homer #4…settled for a triple. Should’ve kept running to the plate.
OMG OMG
OMG OMG OMG
I see no reason Lahair cant keep doing this..
In 70 plate appearences
he has 23 hits 25 ks and 11 walks…
Think about that only 11 times has he grounded out, lined out, or flown out…
He is having the most insane statistical season ever. 84% of the time he gets on base or strikes out
(dying laughing)
(dying laughing)
Berselius wrote:
That’s more like it.
bubblesdachimp wrote:
(dying laughing)
I can think of a a few.
@ Mercurial Outfielder:
All in favor?
Insert random Stuart Turkeylink gif here.
@ Suburban kid:
Meh maybe he is just a dope hitter
bubblesdachimp wrote:
He’ll be a dope hitter if he OPS’s .850, which is juuuust a bit more likely than 1.250.
@ Suburban kid:
I mean lets split the difference and say he finishes with a .900 OPS…
What do the Cubs do then? Would they really put him out in LF?
@ bubblesdachimp:
Maybe they’d flip him for Nolasco.
@ Mish:
[spoiler title="BATMAN!!!"]It looks like they really are going to do Knightfall and Knights End. I’m not sure what I think of that. They were great stories, but they were also spread out and with a movie like this I don’t see how they can cram everything into 2.5 hours or less. But then again, I’m a comic book nerd and I probably expect too much perfection.[/spoiler]
Yeah…Batman stuff.
@ Rice Cube:
Always a good idea…
Also Bryce Harper is awesome. Bubbles gets to see him Friday when Strasburg starts
http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/05/01/bryce-harper-already-made-his-home-debut-sorta/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
@ Mish:
Who posts home videos of themselves on a blog, honestly?
@ Rice Cube:
I haven’t read any comics really, so I don’t have any expectations.
Looks like Longoria is out 6-8 weeks.
@ Mish:
Considering the comic in question was released 20 years ago it should still be in your memory banks.
Haha I never really read comics, of any type. I watched the cartoons and movies. I really don’t give a shit if it’s close to a comic line or not; it just needs to be a good movie.
@ Mish:
Where’d you hear that? That blows.
http://www.awfulannouncing.com/2012-articles/april/silence-from-joe-cowley-and-the-chicago-sun-times-is-deafening.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
@ GBTS:
Twitter tho still waiting for a reputable link.
Serious question say come all star break Bryan Lahair has close to a .900 OPS with 20 ish homeruns..
Shouldnt the market for him be huge since he is in his prime and he is cost controlled for another 6 years?
bubblesdachimp wrote:
He’s also pushing 30, which should put big downward pressure on his value. He’ll be worth something but it’s not like teams will expect him to hit like this for the next 6 years. He was only projected to hit in the mid .340s, which isn’t all that special for a 1b. Playing around the rest of these offensive nothings makes him look a lot better.
http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/05/01/just-for-the-record-baseball-has-had-at-least-26-dui-arrests-since-2004/
@ Berselius:
Well what he is doing right now is pretty special. he ahs a chance to break Ted Williams’s batting average!!!!
Is LaHair’s BABIP high not only because of luck, but also because he hits HR? Or would the HR bring down his BABIP since they aren’t included.
@ Mish:
I’m sure it’ll be a good movie, as the comic book storyline was badass. I’m just having trouble wrapping my mind around how they’d squeeze that much into one movie.
@ WaLi:
HR isn’t included and since he strikes out like 40% of the time, they’re only measuring the other 60% of the time when he actually puts a ball in play. Very constricted sample.
I thought this was a nice effort:
http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/now-see-him-now-don-t-josh-reddick-132833140.html#more-37218
One year ago:
@ Aisle424:
He was everywhere that day.
Hope everyone who is or has family and friends in Cleveland stays safe…
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/five-arrested-suspected-bridge-bombing-plot-near-cleveland-142203758.html
FBI > anarchy
@ Mish:
Does any single mainstream media contingent harbor more cretins per capita than the Chicago sports media?
GBTS wrote:
He’s like Forrest Gump, only dumber.
Minor league shit up
http://www.obstructedview.net/news-and-rumors/the-children-are-the-future-cubs-minor-league-update-sponsored-by-sunny-d.html