Hopefully the site is back up and running for good now. Our host, Dreamhost, had a DDoS attack on one of its data centers. This led to multiple extended outages at Obstructed View beginning on Monday for a few hours and then Thursday for much of the day. They have reportedly made some hardware changes, which will supposedly protect against this type of attack in the future. We'll see.
We're sorry for the inconvenience and hope it doesn't happen again. If it does, we will have to find an alternative as this is unacceptable to us. Thanks for being patient. I'm sure most of you were more patient than mb21 was getting. Let's hope you were.
Since we don't like to publish short posts, let's talk about Ryan Dempster and the idea of pitching one inning too long. This was a complaint last season and I'm sure after his start the other day we'll hear about it again if we haven't already.
First of all, batters perform better the more times they see a pitcher in a game. The first time through the order the pitcher has a distinct advantage. The second time through it's basically neutral and the third time the batters have an advantage. By the fourth time through the order the average reliever is better than all but maybe a few starting pitchers in baseball.
We also have to consider the inning. We can't really say Dempster pitched an inning too long if he didn't even pitch in the 7th inning. By that time the pitcher will be close to through the order 3 times so the batters have an advantage. If we go with 4 runs per 9 allowed for Dempster as a true talent we'd have to increase that since he'd be facing lineups the third time and maybe even the fourth time. We can increase his R/9 to 4.5 and maybe even higher. That's what we'd expect him to allow at that point in the game.
Last season Dempster entered the 7th inning 14 different times. He threw a combined 13.1 innings and allowed 10 runs. Ignoring the fact that it's only 13 innings, we also have to factor in that by that point in the game it's often a pitcher may come out of the game after allowing a baserunner or two. He may not even be on the mound when those runs score. He often isn't given the chance to finish the inning so there's chance for more runs scoring in fewer innings.