2013 Cubs Prospects in Review: Zeke DeVoss

In Commentary And Analysis, Minor Leagues by Sitrick19 Comments

zeke-devossZeke DeVoss turned 23 in July and he played the entire season at High A Daytona. He's right handed, switch hits and moved to CF this season. 2nd base had been his position until 2013. As you can tell by the image at the right, he's a little guy. He's 5-10 and weighs 175 pounds. He was drafted out of Miami in the 3rd round in 2011. He was one of several overslot signing by the Cubs that year and his bonus was half a million dollars. He turned down a signing bonus with the Red Sox in 2009 out of high school (38th round pick). He made a wise choise.

Performance

Zeke DeVoss isn't going to show up on any top prospect lists. He may not even appear in the Cubs top 30 (he wasn't last year). He won't hit for a high average (.257 in his career, below .250 each of the last two seasons). He has little power (12 home runs in 1296 career plate appearances). He'll even strikeout more than you'd like for someone without power who has speed. He does have speed, but why are we even talking about DeVoss if all of this is true?

It's easy. The guy can get on base even though he's not hitting his way on. He's taken 162 walks over the last two seasons. He's been at 80 or higher each of the last two years in a full season league. In the Florida State League, only one player had a higher walk rate than DeVoss' 15.2% (Robert Refsnyder 15.4%).  He had only a .246 batting average yet he managed a ridiculous .393 OBP (third in the FSL). As soon as he gets on, he can steal the next base. He stole 39 of them in 2013 and 34 the year before.

Word is that he became Tom Ricketts' favorite player after 2011 when he saw him take 3 walks in a game and took out the catcher in a home plate collision. I would imagine Ricketts has found another favorite player in the minor leagues and his name is probably Javier Baez, but that's a nice impression to leave the game with.

Overall in 2013, DeVoss hit .246/.393/.354. That was good enough for a .361 wOBA and 125 wRC+. Along with that and the 15.2% walk rate, he lowered his strikeout rate to 18.0%, stole 39 bases in 49 attempts and hit 6 home runs. His 12 home runs have come in the last two seasons. He also had 17 doubles and 5 triples.

The batting stats are very similar to the previous year at A level Peoria (the Cubs now play at this level in Kane County). In 2012 he hit .249/.382/.370. He stole 34 bases, had a .354 wOBA and 119 wRC+.

Scouting

There hasn't been a lot of information about DeVoss over the last year or so, but there is this from the two years ago.

The Red Sox made a run at DeVoss as a 38th-round pick out of high school in 2009, but he opted to attend Miami, then signed for $500,000 as a sophomore-eligible in the third round last summer. He has all the tools to be a leadoff hitter, most notably on-base ability and speed. He ranked fourth in NCAA Division I with 57 walks last spring, and he drew more free passes (33) than he had strikeouts (32) in his pro debut. A switchhitter, he's adept from both sides of the plate, though he won't hit for much power. He can run the 60-yard dash in 6.45 seconds and knows how to use his speed, swiping 16 bases in 20 tries as a pro. DeVoss split time between second base and the outfield with the Hurricanes, and Chicago deployed him mostly at second. He has the quickness for the position, and his hands and arm are good enough to keep him there, though he made 14 errors in 31 pro games. DeVoss has the wheels and instincts to handle center field if he can't cut it at second base. The Cubs aren't afraid to push players, so DeVoss could wind up in high Class A at some point in 2012. — Baseball America)

Getting on base and then using his speed is what DeVoss will have to do to stay relevant. I don't expect him to wow scouts or fans with anything other than those two skills. His speed should play well in CF and I seem to remember reading how fun he was to watch out there at some point this year.

Outlook

DeVoss will move to AA Tennessee next year and be further challenged. It's difficult for guys without power to show high walk rates, but his has been so high that I'm not as worried as I might be if it was only around 10-12%. DeVoss clearly has a good idea of what to swing at and what to take and that should pay off. The question is going to be whether or not pitchers at the higher levels begin to challenge him more than he's been challenged so far. There's no way to know at what ratio the strikes and balls are. It's very possible he's still a dangerous enough hitter that he's not being pitched to as frequently because of it. If that changes, DeVoss is going to have to hit for a higher average.

Even if he doesn't, he could still prove to be a bench player at the MLB level. His walk rate actually increased over A ball. Considering there doesn't seem to be much difference in walk rates between A and High A, that's a promising improvement.

2013 Cubs Prospect Reviews

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Comments

  1. SVB

    You realize that in profiling DeVoss here and including a picture with a dirty uni, you are starting the next Campana bromance firestorm?

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  2. dmick89

    @ SVB:
    Unlike Campana, DeVoss can get on base. I’d love to see this guy continue to do what he’s done and take over in CF for the Cubs and leadoff. He does one thing very very well: get on base. I’ll take that.

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  3. Aisle424

    I guess we don’t know for sure yet, but he seems to be a guy like Brett Jackson who has a good eye, but not enough of a hit tool to warrant major league pitchers to be careful with him.

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  4. J

    @ Aisle424:
    I agree. I just don’t think that guys like DeVoss or Watkins have enough pop to sustain these walk rates at the MLB level. Maybe you can hide one guy like this in the 8th spot to try to help.

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  5. dmick89

    @ Aisle424:
    Could be. I think Mike Olt is probably in the same conversation though Jackson and Olt (nearly identical players) did have more power. They also struckout more than DeVoss.

    That said, what DeVoss has done with his size is impressive and I wouldn’t overlook it yet. There was an obvious reason to pitch around Brett Jackson and/or Mike Olt in the minor leagues. That same reason doesn’t exist for DeVoss. I think that’s potentially huge and maybe the difference.

    I think in the end he’s probably a backup outfielder, but one who can take a walk and steal you a base if needed.

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  6. Suburban kid

    dmick89 wrote:

    Couldbe. Ithink Mike Olt isprobably in the same conversation though Jackson and Olt (nearly identical players) didhave more power. They also struckout more than DeVoss.

    Fixed

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  7. Aisle424

    @ dmick89:

    I guess he’s probably not being pitched around now and still getting his walks, so that’s something. I just don’t think he’ll ever be a true leadoff guy that you want getting 4-5 PAs every game, like BA seems to be suggesting he could be.

    A fill-in here and there (assuming his defense is also decent enough to warrant not having a good bat) or pinch hitting/running seems like the best case scenario.

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  8. Aisle424

    The dirty uniform does suggest that he plays the game the right way, though. You can never put a price tag on the value of grit and hustle.

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  9. dmick89

    @ Aisle424:
    I actually agree and I think BA does as well. He hasn’t been in the Cubs top 30 for at least a year now and may not this year. That scouting was from after 2011 (the year he was drafted). Even 39th round picks get talked up as future stars around that time.

    I do think there’s a decent chance he could get by as a starter and even be average. All you really need to do to get to the MLB level is do one thing really well. Neifi Perez could flat out play SS and did it for a long time.

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  10. uncle dave

    @ Berselius:
    I was disturbed to learn that he’s somehow only 33 despite having been in the big leagues for as long as I can remember. Ronny Cedeno has played in the bigs for nine straight years as well. I get the sense that being a shortstop is the positional equivalent of being a left-handed reliever.

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  11. Aisle424

    Miguel Cairo was employed for 17 seasons and he was barely a shortstop. Middle infielders never die. I still expect to see Ryan Theriot playing again someday.

    Augie Ojeda played for 9 seasons. Unbelievable.

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