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  • Intentional Fallacy

    The trade deadline is three weeks away. Three long, looong weeks.

     

    josh
    Josh is the greatest living writer you've never heard of. Also, he likes bugs.
    josh

    Latest posts by josh (see all)

    josh

    65 Responses to “Intentional Fallacy”

    1. Mish 2 Mish says:

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    2. WaLi 3 WaLi says:

      I would like to welcome my wife who now reads this blog and loves the comics. She is trying to learn sabermetrics, which is awesome. I figure it’s better to point her here and share our misery than try to teach her myself. I don’t think she is commenting, just lurking. Be nice and try to limit the forest.gif (dying laughing)

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    3. bubblesdachimp 5 bubblesdachimp says:

      Jim Callis ‏@jimcallisBA
      #Cubs agree w/1st-rder Albert Almora on $3.9 mil (pick value=$3.25 mil). Florida HS OF w/lots of tools & polish. #mlbdraft

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    4. josh 6 josh says:

      @ mb21:
      Good article.

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    5. WaLi 7 WaLi says:

      @ bubblesdachimp:
      He got the most money he could (with our remaining allotted $) and we got our 1st round pick. Glad to see both sides come to an agreement.

      Does that mean we signed all of our top 10 picks?

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    6. dylanj 8 dylanj says:

      Cubs 22k away from losing a pick. Good job on spending right up to the limit.

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    7. bubblesdachimp 9 bubblesdachimp says:

      Very happy with our draft. Welcome to the Cubs Albert Almora!!!!

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    8. GW 10 GW says:

      Brett hears that the cubs had the highest offer on Puig

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    9. josh 11 josh says:

      @ WaLi:
      Yeah, that’s awesome. Maybe our front office guys aren’t so brain dead after all!

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    10. bubblesdachimp 12 bubblesdachimp says:

      Castro Rizzo, Soler, Baez, Almora, Jackson, Vitters, Lake, Candelario, Vogelbach

      some interesting bats that are pretty young.

      Pitchers?

      None

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    11. dylanj 13 dylanj says:

      no fucking way. If we bid OVER 42 million for that guy then Tom is just printing money

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    12. bubblesdachimp 14 bubblesdachimp says:

      @ dylanj:
      i dont think it is true becuase cubans just like everyone else tend to go to the highest bidder

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    13. josh 15 josh says:

      @ WaLi:
      Laughter brings us all together.

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    14. dylanj 16 dylanj says:

      i agree bubbles. If the Cubs offered a single cent more why would he be a Dodger?

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    15. Rice Cube 17 Rice Cube says:

      @ GW:
      I forgot if the random source wore an orange or a purple shirt. But I find this difficult to believe.

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    16. mb21 18 mb21 says:

      I don’t know if the Cubs offered more, but I’m glad he signed with the Dodgers.

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    17. GW 19 GW says:

      @ Rice Cube:

      I don’t. Brett said the guy didn’t go into details, so I find it very plausible that they offered more money at less per annum. Would that really surprise anyone? Clearly the FO decided to dig a money pit in Cuba and kidnap everyone who fell in it.

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    18. dylanj 20 dylanj says:

      i mentioned this to Harry P on twitter but the Cubs have spent about 50 mill on the farm system so far this year

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    19. josh 21 josh says:

      @ GW:
      Elian Gonzalez had to be forcibly removed twice.

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    20. mb21 22 mb21 says:

      @ GW:
      Yeah, it’s not hard to believe. Did he sign for something like 7/42? Cubs could have offered 8/43 and that’s technically more money.

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    21. dylanj 23 dylanj says:

      Cubs do have to pay the 75 % tax on the overage for this years draft.

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    22. josh 24 josh says:

      @ mb21:
      There might have been some opt-out option for him in their deal and not in the Cubs’ deal, too. Something other than straight cash.

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    23. WaLi 25 WaLi says:

      @ dylanj:
      You talk to Harry Potter on twitter?

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    24. josh 26 josh says:

      Keith was certain last night that the CBA would be tweaked after this draft, because so many #1 picks were still unsigned. I tend to think the agents are just holding out until the lower order picks sign, so they can claim every single loose penny the teams have.

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    25. mb21 27 mb21 says:

      @ josh:
      Lots of 1st round picks were unsigned in year’s past at this time too.

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    26. mb21 28 mb21 says:

      Any word on where the Cubs are sending Almora? I assume he needs to get back into playing condition so a few weeks in Mesa and then what?

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    27. dylanj 29 dylanj says:

      I bet he stays in AZL then does the Fall League. If they really love him maybe Peoria?

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    28. mb21 31 mb21 says:

      @ dylanj:
      The Fall League is usually for guys at AA or AAA. I think teams can only have 1 or 2 guys below that.

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    29. dylanj 32 dylanj says:

      well Boise has Trey Martin & Dunston. Peoria could be a fit but I just think he spends the rest of the year with AZL

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    30. josh 33 josh says:

      @ mb21:
      That’s kind of what I was thinking. I just think Keith Moreland finds change to be confusing and scary.

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    31. bubblesdachimp 34 bubblesdachimp says:

      i bet by august he is in peoria

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    32. Rizzo the Rat 36 Rizzo the Rat says:

      I know it’s fashionable to trash the All-Star Game (especially in these parts), but I decided to give it a try in 2010 for the first time in many years, and I was surprised to find I enjoyed it quite a bit. Marlon Byrd’s contributions actually made me temporarily proud to be a Cub fan. I’ll be watching it this year, at least in part. There’s no other game going on for four days, I’ll see good players I rarely see, and (who knows?) the game just might surprise me like it did in 2010.

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    33. Berselius 37 Berselius says:

      I’m enjoying all of the ZOMG AL Team X is playing its next 40 games against teams with .500 or better records!!! …when only three AL teams have a losing record

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    34. Rizzo the Rat 38 Rizzo the Rat says:

      Tim Lincecum has (pitching only): -2 rWAR, 1.1 fWAR, and -.1 PWARP.

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    35. Brett 39 Brett says:

      Berselius wrote:

      I’m enjoying all of the ZOMG AL Team X is playing its next 40 games against teams with .500 or better records!!! …when only three AL teams have a losing record

      Not only did I do a double-take, I’ll confess I was all, “Dude, there’s no way that’s true,” in my head. So I had to look.

      Holy crap. That’s kind of crazy.

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    36. Rice Cube 40 Rice Cube says:

      @ Brett:
      By contrast, half the NL teams have a losing record. I guess interleague has a lot to do with that, plus Minnesota and Seattle are pretty terrible.

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    37. Rizzo the Rat 41 Rizzo the Rat says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      The entire league’s record is .513. Also, there are 3 teams at .500, a few teams just above .500, and now teams slightly below .500 (though no teams quite so bad as the worst 4 teams in the NL, interestingly). It is a really odd set of circumstances.

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    38. josh 42 josh says:

      @ Rizzo the Rat:
      I hate all the theatrics and the lineup changes every other inning. It’s stimulus overdose to me. To me, half the fun of baseball is seeing if your favorite player X can get a hit after two hard lineouts earlier in the game. Without those mini tensions, it’s just dudes I wouldn’t want to hang out with running around in the grass.

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    39. Rice Cube 43 Rice Cube says:

      @ Rizzo the Rat:
      I’m not that good at math anymore but I think it has to do with teams playing a different number of games (due to off days and rainouts that have yet to be made up) plus unbalanced schedules allowing one set of teams to beat up on the NL’s crap and the Twins and Mariners so far.

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    40. Rizzo the Rat 44 Rizzo the Rat says:

      Awesome. ESPN 3 gives me the option to watch the Home Run Derby in Spanish.

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    41. Rice Cube 45 Rice Cube says:

      @ Rizzo the Rat:
      Please let me know if Mexican Chris Berman is less annoying than usual.

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    42. Rizzo the Rat 46 Rizzo the Rat says:

      It might be worth it in order not to hear Berman.

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    43. Rizzo the Rat 47 Rizzo the Rat says:

      Wow, I posted that before I read RC’s comment. Weird.

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    44. GBTS 48 GBTS says:

      @ Rizzo the Rat:
      ¡ Trumbo golpea un, reverso reverso reverso reverso reverso reverso reverso PASADO!

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    45. Rizzo the Rat 51 Rizzo the Rat says:

      Prince Fielder is merciless.

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    46. 52 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      Rizzo the Rat wrote:

      Prince Fielder is merciless.

      ,said every cookie within arm’s reach.

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    47. EnricoPallazzo 53 EnricoPallazzo says:

      why did bautista advance instead of trumbo? i forget the rules of this and i’m just watching the scoreboard on mlb.com.

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    48. Rizzo the Rat 54 Rizzo the Rat says:

      @ EnricoPallazzo:
      He tied Trumbo, then they had a swing-off (each got 5 swings; Trumbo hit 1 homer, Jose hit 2.)

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    49. BubbaBiscuit 55 BubbaBiscuit says:

      @ EnricoPallazzo:
      To get to finals, they add the 1st two round totals.

      Side note, apparently Jamie Moyer and Casey Coleman were asked to be HR Derby pitchers but declined. No telling who would have won if they did pitch for whoever asked for them.

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    50. josh 56 josh says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      Classic. Isn’t Zimmerman hurt right now?

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    51. EnricoPallazzo 57 EnricoPallazzo says:

      @ BubbaBiscuit:

      right but they both had 13 homers apiece from rounds 1 and 2. trumbo had 7 then 6 and bautista had 11 then 2. i would have assumed that round 2 would be the tiebreaker, not round 1.

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    52. EnricoPallazzo 58 EnricoPallazzo says:

      @ EnricoPallazzo:

      ha, never mind, didn’t see rizzo’s answer. thanks.

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    53. Rizzo the Rat 59 Rizzo the Rat says:

      @ EnricoPallazzo:
      See my post (#54).
      edit: too late.

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    54. Rice Cube 60 Rice Cube says:

      @ josh:
      I think he’s okay now but slumping. At least I thought I saw his name in the lineup in this weekend’s games.

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    55. josh 61 josh says:

      @ Rice Cube:
      I didn’t realize he had kind of a shitty season last year, by his normal standards. That stinks.

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    56. Suburban kid 62 Suburban kid says:

      I just learned there is a new album out called “Negative for Fun” by the Don’t Fucking Cares. It reminded me of ACB.

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    57. 63 Mercurial Outfielder says:

      @ Suburban kid:
      QUIT HACKING MY BLOG

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    58. Suburban kid 64 Suburban kid says:

      The Don’t Fucking Cares put up an event on Facebook for their album launch. Only one person is going and one is a maybe. (dying laughing)

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